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Stochastic simulators are non-deterministic computer models which provide a different response each time they are run, even when the input parameters are held at fixed values. They arise when additional sources of uncertainty are affecting…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-01 Nora Lüthen , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

Estimating the probability of failure for complex real-world systems using high-fidelity computational models is often prohibitively expensive, especially when the probability is small. Exploiting low-fidelity models can make this process…

Despite recent advancements in federated learning (FL), the integration of generative models into FL has been limited due to challenges such as high communication costs and unstable training in heterogeneous data environments. To address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Kyeongkook Seo , Dong-Jun Han , Jaejun Yoo

We introduce MF-Box, an extended version of MFEmulator, designed as a fast surrogate for power spectra, trained using N-body simulation suites from various box sizes and particle loads. To demonstrate MF-Box's effectiveness, we design…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-10-05 Ming-Feng Ho , Simeon Bird , Martin A. Fernandez , Christian R. Shelton

We present methods for emulating the matter power spectrum by combining information from cosmological $N$-body simulations at different resolutions. An emulator allows estimation of simulation output by interpolating across the parameter…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-11-17 Ming-Feng Ho , Simeon Bird , Christian R. Shelton

This paper introduces the notion of stochastic simulation-gap function, which formally quantifies the gap between an approximate mathematical model and a high-fidelity stochastic simulator. Since controllers designed for the mathematical…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-24 P Sangeerth , Abolfazl Lavaei , Pushpak Jagtap

The ability to generate samples of the random effects from their conditional distributions is fundamental for inference in mixed effects models. Random walk Metropolis is widely used to perform such sampling, but this method is known to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-29 Belhal Karimi , Marc Lavielle , Eric Moulines

In this work, we demonstrate that reliable stochastic sampling is a fundamental yet unfulfilled requirement for Large Language Models (LLMs) operating as agents. Agentic systems are frequently required to sample from distributions, often…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-09 Xiangming Gu , Soham De , Michalis Titsias , Larisa Markeeva , Petar Veličković , Razvan Pascanu

Multi-fidelity (MF) methods are gaining popularity for enhancing surrogate modeling and design optimization by incorporating data from various low-fidelity (LF) models. While most existing MF methods assume a fixed dataset, adaptive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-06 Yi-Ping Chen , Liwei Wang , Yigitcan Comlek , Wei Chen

Surrogate modeling is an essential data-driven technique for quantifying relationships between input variables and system responses in manufacturing and engineering systems. Two major challenges limit its effectiveness: (1) large data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Manan Mehta , Zhiqiao Dong , Yuhang Yang , Chenhui Shao

Outer loop tasks such as optimization, uncertainty quantification or inference can easily become intractable when the underlying high-fidelity model is computationally expensive. Similarly, data-driven architectures typically require large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Cristian J. Villatoro , Gianluca Geraci , Daniele E. Schiavazzi

Additive smooth models, such as Generalized additive models (GAMs) of location, scale, and shape (GAMLSS), are a popular choice for modeling experimental data. However, software available to fit such models is usually not tailored…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-17 Joshua Krause , Jelmer P. Borst , Jacolien van Rij

This article is concerned with learning and stochastic control in physical systems which contain unknown input signals. These unknown signals are modeled as Gaussian processes (GP) with certain parametrized covariance structures. The…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-08-15 Simo Särkkä , Mauricio A. Álvarez , Neil D. Lawrence

Modeling transformations between arbitrary data distributions is a fundamental scientific challenge, arising in applications like drug discovery and evolutionary simulation. While flow matching offers a natural framework for this task, its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Shiye Su , Yuhui Zhang , Linqi Zhou , Rajesh Ranganath , Serena Yeung-Levy

In the design optimization of metal forming, it is increasingly significant to use surrogate models to analyse the finite element analysis (FEA) simulations. However, traditional surrogate models using scalar based machine learning methods…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-10-08 Haosu Zhou , Qingfeng Xu , Nan Li

Likelihood-free Bayesian inference algorithms are popular methods for calibrating the parameters of complex, stochastic models, required when the likelihood of the observed data is intractable. These algorithms characteristically rely…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-23 Thomas P Prescott , David J Warne , Ruth E Baker

Multi-fidelity approaches combine different models built on a scarce but accurate data-set (high-fidelity data-set), and a large but approximate one (low-fidelity data-set) in order to improve the prediction accuracy. Gaussian Processes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Ali Hebbal , Loic Brevault , Mathieu Balesdent , El-Ghazali Talbi , Nouredine Melab

Computer simulations are becoming an essential tool in many scientific fields from molecular dynamics to aeronautics. In glaciology, future predictions of sea level change require input from ice sheet models. Due to uncertainties in the…

In this paper, we establish a set of criteria which are applied to discuss various formulations under which Lagrangian stochastic models can be found. These models are used for the simulation of fluid particles in single-phase turbulence as…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2015-01-13 J. -P. Minier , S. Chibbaro , S. B. Pope

In clinical trials, studies often present longitudinal data or clustered data. These studies are commonly analyzed using linear mixed models (LMMs), usually considering Gaussian assumptions for random effect and error terms. Recently,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Fernanda L. Schumacher , Larissa A. Matos , Celso R. B. Cabral