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Discrete diffusion models have gained increasing attention for their ability to model complex distributions with tractable sampling and inference. However, the error analysis for discrete diffusion models remains less well-understood. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Yinuo Ren , Haoxuan Chen , Grant M. Rotskoff , Lexing Ying

The Doss-Sussmann (DS) approach is used for uniform simulation of the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) process. The DS formalism allows to express trajectories of the CIR process through solutions of some ordinary differential equation (ODE)…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-04 Grigori N. Milstein , John Schoenmakers

We are interested in the Euler-Maruyama dicretization of the SDE dXt =b(t,Xt)dt+ dZt, X0 =x$\in$Rd, where Zt is a symmetric isotropic d-dimensional $\alpha$-stable process, $\alpha$ $\in$ (1, 2] and the drift b $\in$ L$\infty$…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Mathis Fitoussi , Stephane Menozzi

We consider a stable Cox--Ingersoll--Ross process driven by a standard Wiener process and a spectrally positive strictly stable L\'evy process, and we study asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for its growth rate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-23 Matyas Barczy , Mohamed Ben Alaya , Ahmed Kebaier , Gyula Pap

Identification of nonlinear dynamical systems is crucial across various fields, facilitating tasks such as control, prediction, optimization, and fault detection. Many applications require methods capable of handling complex systems while…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-05 Luc Brogat-Motte , Riccardo Bonalli , Alessandro Rudi

In this paper, we investigate the problem of strong approximation of the solutions of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) when the drift coefficient is given in integral form. We investigate its upper error bounds, in terms of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-20 Paweł Przybyłowicz , Michał Sobieraj

We present a novel deep learning method for estimating time-dependent parameters in Markov processes through discrete sampling. Departing from conventional machine learning, our approach reframes parameter approximation as an optimization…

Diffusion models have achieved great success in generating high-dimensional samples across various applications. While the theoretical guarantees for continuous-state diffusion models have been extensively studied, the convergence analysis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Zikun Zhang , Zixiang Chen , Quanquan Gu

In this paper, we consider static parameter estimation for a class of continuous-time state-space models. Our goal is to obtain an unbiased estimate of the gradient of the log-likelihood (score function), which is an estimate that is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-01 Marco Ballesio , Ajay Jasra

In this paper, we are concerned with convergence rate of Euler-Maruyama scheme for stochastic differential equations with rough coefficients. The key contributions lie in (i), by means of regularity of non-degenerate Kolmogrov equation, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-21 Jianhai Bao , Xing Huang , Chenggui Yuan

We study parameter estimation for interacting particle systems (IPSs) consisting of $N$ weakly interacting multivariate hypoelliptic SDEs. We propose a locally Gaussian approximation of the transition dynamics, carefully designed to address…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-19 Yuga Iguchi , Alexandros Beskos , Grigorios A. Pavliotis

This paper introduces a novel stochastic model for credit spreads. The stochastic approach leverages the diffusion of default intensities via a CIR++ model and is formulated within a risk-neutral probability space. Our research primarily…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-09 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Ahmed Kebaier , Djibril Sarr

In this paper, we continue to study the derivative-free extended Kalman filtering (DF-EKF) framework for state estimation of continuous-discrete nonlinear stochastic systems. Having considered the Euler-Maruyama and It\^{o}-Taylor…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-08 Maria V. Kulikova , Gennady Yu. Kulikov

Distributional regression aims at estimating the conditional distribution of a targetvariable given explanatory co-variates. It is a crucial tool for forecasting whena precise uncertainty quantification is required. A popular methodology…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-22 Clément Dombry , Ahmed Zaoui

We consider the one-dimensional squared Bessel process given by the stochastic differential equation (SDE) \begin{align*} dX_t = 1\,dt + 2\sqrt{X_t}\,dW_t, \quad X_0=x_0, \quad t\in[0,1], \end{align*} and study strong (pathwise)…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-08 Mario Hefter , André Herzwurm

In this paper, we provide the strong rate of convergence for the Euler--Maruyama scheme for multi-dimensional stochastic differential equations with uniformly locally (unbounded) H\"older continuous drift and multiplicative noise. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-09 Tsukasa Moritoki , Dai Taguchi

Stochastic gradient descent procedures have gained popularity for parameter estimation from large data sets. However, their statistical properties are not well understood, in theory. And in practice, avoiding numerical instability requires…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-29 Panos Toulis , Edoardo M. Airoldi

Univariate isotonic regression (IR) has been used for nonparametric estimation in dose-response and dose-finding studies. One undesirable property of IR is the prevalence of piecewise-constant stretches in its estimates, whereas the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-24 Assaf P. Oron , Nancy Flournoy

We consider the problem of Bayesian estimation of static parameters associated to a partially and discretely observed diffusion process. We assume that the exact transition dynamics of the diffusion process are unavailable, even up-to an…

Computation · Statistics 2023-09-26 Pierre Del Moral , Shulan Hu , Ajay Jasra , Hamza Ruzayqat , Xinyu Wang

Diffusion models, typically formulated as discretizations of stochastic differential equations (SDEs), have achieved state-of-the-art performance in generative tasks. However, their theoretical analysis often involves complex proofs. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Juhyeok Choi , Chenglin Fan
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