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Time series foundation models (TSFMs) are revolutionizing the forecasting landscape from specific dataset modeling to generalizable task evaluation. However, we contend that existing benchmarks exhibit common limitations in four dimensions:…

While recent advancements in foundation models have significantly impacted machine learning, rigorous tests on the performance of time series foundation models (TSFMs) remain largely underexplored. This paper presents an empirical study…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-09 Syamantak Datta Gupta

Conditional Normalizing Flows (CNFs) are flexible generative models capable of representing complicated distributions with high dimensionality and large interdimensional correlations, making them appealing for structured output learning.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Mohsen Zand , Ali Etemad , Michael Greenspan

Quasi-static time series (QSTS) simulations have great potential for evaluating the grid's ability to accommodate the large-scale integration of distributed energy resources. However, as grids expand and operate closer to their limits,…

We introduce a novel modeling approach for time series imputation and forecasting, tailored to address the challenges often encountered in real-world data, such as irregular samples, missing data, or unaligned measurements from multiple…

The standard approaches to neural network implementation yield powerful function approximation capabilities but are limited in their abilities to learn meta representations and reason probabilistic uncertainties in their predictions.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-05 Saurav Jha , Dong Gong , Xuesong Wang , Richard E. Turner , Lina Yao

Recent advancements in generative modeling, particularly diffusion models, have opened new directions for time series modeling, achieving state-of-the-art performance in forecasting and synthesis. However, the reliance of diffusion-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Marcel Kollovieh , Marten Lienen , David Lüdke , Leo Schwinn , Stephan Günnemann

Time series are generated in diverse domains such as economic, traffic, health, and energy, where forecasting of future values has numerous important applications. Not surprisingly, many forecasting methods are being proposed. To ensure…

Generating high-quality time-series data is challenging because real-world signals often exhibit multimodal patterns and multiscale dynamics, including oscillations and high-frequency variations. Flow Matching (FM) offers an efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Junru Zhang , Lang Feng , Jinbo Wang , Xu Guo , Yucheng Wang , Han Yu , Min Wu , Yabo Dong , Duanqing Xu

Time series forecasting serves as an essential tool for many real-world applications, supporting tasks such as resource optimization and decision-making. Despite significant architectural advancements, most modern models still treat…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Sheng Pan , Ming Jin , Bo Du , Shirui Pan

Language models are prone to dataset biases, known as shortcuts and spurious correlations in data, which often result in performance drop on new data. We present a new debiasing framework called ``FairFlow'' that mitigates dataset biases by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Jiali Cheng , Hadi Amiri

Time series forecasting is vital in diverse sectors such as energy and transportation, where non-stationary dynamics are deeply intertwined with external events in other modalities such as texts. However, incorporating natural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yunfeng Ge , Ming Jin , Yiji Zhao , Hongyan Li , Bo Du , Chang Xu , Shirui Pan

Time Series foundation models (TSFMs) deliver strong forecasting performance through large-scale pretraining, but their large parameter sizes make deployment costly. While knowledge distillation offers a natural and effective approach for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Yuqi Li , Kuiye Ding , Chuanguang Yang , Szu-Yu Chen , Yingli Tian

Process Model Forecasting (PMF) aims to predict how the control-flow structure of a process evolves over time by modeling the temporal dynamics of directly-follows (DF) relations, complementing predictive process monitoring that focuses on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Yongbo Yu , Jari Peeperkorn , Johannes De Smedt , Jochen De Weerdt

Recent studies have indicated that vision models pre-trained on images can serve as time series foundation models (TSFMs) by reformulating time series forecasting (TSF) as image reconstruction. However, effective cross-modal transfer from…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Lefei Shen , Mouxiang Chen , Xu Liu , Han Fu , Xiaoxue Ren , Jianling Sun , Zhuo Li , Chenghao Liu

Diffusion models have revolutionized generative tasks through high-fidelity outputs, yet flow matching (FM) offers faster inference and empirical performance gains. However, current foundation FM models are computationally prohibitive for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Johannes Schusterbauer , Ming Gui , Frank Fundel , Björn Ommer

Neural network observers (NNOs) are proposed for real-time estimation of fluid flows, addressing a key challenge in flow control: obtaining real-time flow states from a limited set of sparse and noisy sensor data. For this task, we propose…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-11-06 Tarcísio C. Déda , William R. Wolf , Scott T. M. Dawson , Brener L. O. Ramos

Functional time series analysis, whether based on time of frequency domain methodology, has traditionally been carried out under the assumption of complete observation of the constituent series of curves, assumed stationary. Nevertheless,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-02 Tomáš Rubín , Victor M. Panaretos

Data preprocessing is a fundamental part of any machine learning application and frequently the most time-consuming aspect when developing a machine learning solution. Preprocessing for deep learning is characterized by pipelines that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-11 S. Maetschke , R. Tennakoon , C. Vecchiola , R. Garnavi

Estimating the parameters of mathematical models is a common problem in almost all branches of science. However, this problem can prove notably difficult when processes and model descriptions become increasingly complex and an explicit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-09 Stefan T. Radev , Ulf K. Mertens , Andreas Voss , Lynton Ardizzone , Ullrich Köthe