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We introduce a novel framework for temporal causal discovery and inference that addresses two key challenges: complex nonlinear dependencies and spurious correlations. Our approach employs a multi-layer Transformer-based time-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Jihua Huang , Yi Yao , Ajay Divakaran

While generative modeling on time series facilitates more capable and flexible probabilistic forecasting, existing generative time series models do not address the multi-dimensional properties of time series data well. The prevalent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Haoran Zhang , Haixuan Liu , Yong Liu , Yunzhong Qiu , Yuxuan Wang , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

Accurate energy time-series forecasting is crucial for ensuring grid stability and promoting the integration of renewable energy, yet it faces significant challenges from complex temporal dependencies and the heterogeneity of multi-source…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Mingnan Zhu , Qixuan Zhang , Yixuan Cheng , Fangzhou Gu , Shiming Lin

Causal discovery in time-series is a fundamental problem in the machine learning community, enabling causal reasoning and decision-making in complex scenarios. Recently, researchers successfully discover causality by combining neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Yuxiao Cheng , Lianglong Li , Tingxiong Xiao , Zongren Li , Qin Zhong , Jinli Suo , Kunlun He

Accurately predicting stock repurchases is crucial for quantitative investment and risk management, yet traditional static models fail to capture the complex temporal dependencies of corporate financial conditions. This paper proposes a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-14 Xiang Ao , Jingxuan Zhang , Xinyu Zhao

State-of-the-art models for semantic segmentation are based on adaptations of convolutional networks that had originally been designed for image classification. However, dense prediction and image classification are structurally different.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-05-03 Fisher Yu , Vladlen Koltun

Data-driven model interpretability is a requirement to gain the acceptance of process engineers to rely on the prediction of a data-driven model to regulate industrial processes in the ironmaking industry. In the research presented in this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-27 Cedric Schockaert , Reinhard Leperlier , Assaad Moawad

Uncovering cause-effect relationships from observational time series is fundamental to understanding complex systems. While many methods infer static causal graphs, real-world systems often exhibit dynamic causality-where relationships…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-06 Tingzhu Bi , Yicheng Pan , Xinrui Jiang , Huize Sun , Meng Ma , Ping Wang

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is vital across various domains but remains challenging due to the need to simultaneously model temporal and inter-variate dependencies. Existing channel-dependent models, where Transformer-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Junwoo Ha , Hyukjae Kwon , Sungsoo Kim , Kisu Lee , Seungjae Park , Ha Young Kim

Distal myopathy represents a genetically heterogeneous group of skeletal muscle disorders with broad clinical manifestations, posing diagnostic challenges in radiology. To address this, we propose a novel multimodal attention-aware fusion…

Modelling various spatio-temporal dependencies is the key to recognising human actions in skeleton sequences. Most existing methods excessively relied on the design of traversal rules or graph topologies to draw the dependencies of the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Tailin Chen , Shidong Wang , Desen Zhou , Yu Guan

There is significant progress in recognizing traditional human activities from videos focusing on highly distinctive actions involving discriminative body movements, body-object and/or human-human interactions. Driver's activities are…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-01-19 Zachary Wharton , Ardhendu Behera , Yonghuai Liu , Nik Bessis

Accurate detection and diagnosis of abnormal behaviors such as network attacks from multivariate time series (MTS) are crucial for ensuring the stable and effective operation of industrial cyber-physical systems (CPS). However, existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-06 Haili Sun , Yan Huang , Lansheng Han , Cai Fu , Chunjie Zhou

Disentangling complex causal relationships is important for accurate detection of anomalies. In multivariate time series analysis, dynamic interactions among data variables over time complicate the interpretation of causal relationships.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Wonah Kim , Jeonghyeon Park , Dongsan Jun , Jungkyu Han , Sejin Chun

Dynamic causal discovery in wireless networks is essential due to evolving interference, fading, and mobility, which complicate traditional static causal models. This paper addresses causal inference challenges in dynamic fading wireless…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Oluwaseyi Giwa

Soft sensor modeling plays a crucial role in process monitoring. Causal feature selection can enhance the performance of soft sensor models in industrial applications. However, existing methods ignore two critical characteristics of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Shi-Shun Chen , Xiao-Yang Li , Enrico Zio

Multivariate Time Series (MTS) classification has gained importance over the past decade with the increase in the number of temporal datasets in multiple domains. The current state-of-the-art MTS classifier is a heavyweight deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-10 Kevin Fauvel , Tao Lin , Véronique Masson , Élisa Fromont , Alexandre Termier

The ability to understand and reason about cause and effect -- encompassing interventions, counterfactuals, and underlying mechanisms -- is a cornerstone of robust artificial intelligence. While deep learning excels at pattern recognition,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Ming Lei , Shufan Wu , Christophe Baehr

Causal discovery aims to learn causal relationships between variables from targeted data, making it a fundamental task in machine learning. However, causal discovery algorithms often rely on unverifiable causal assumptions, which are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Huiyang Yi , Yanyan He , Duxin Chen , Mingyu Kang , He Wang , Wenwu Yu

With the advancement of data science, the collection of increasingly complex datasets has become commonplace. In such datasets, the data dimension can be extremely high, and the underlying data generation process can be unknown and highly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-29 Yaxin Fang , Faming Liang