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In recent years, quantitative investment methods combined with artificial intelligence have attracted more and more attention from investors and researchers. Existing related methods based on the supervised learning are not very suitable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Sihang Chen , Weiqi Luo , Chao Yu

A new modelling approach that directly prescribes dynamics to the term structure of VIX futures is proposed in this paper. The approach is motivated by the tractability enjoyed by models that directly prescribe dynamics to the VIX,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-03 Alexander Badran , Beniamin Goldys

We derive a semi-analytical pricing formula for European VIX call options under the Heston-Hawkes stochastic volatility model introduced in arXiv:2210.15343. This arbitrage-free model incorporates the volatility clustering feature by adding…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-21 Oriol Zamora Font

In this paper, we show that the recent integration of statistical models with deep recurrent neural networks provides a new way of formulating volatility (the degree of variation of time series) models that have been widely used in time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-06 Rui Luo , Weinan Zhang , Xiaojun Xu , Jun Wang

In a stochastic volatility framework, we find a general pricing equation for the class of payoffs depending on the terminal value of a market asset and its final quadratic variation. This allows a pricing tool for European-style claims…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-12 Lorenzo Torricelli

We introduce a local volatility model for the valuation of options on commodity futures by using European vanilla option prices. The corresponding calibration problem is addressed within an online framework, allowing the use of multiple…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-16 Vinicius Albani , Uri M. Ascher , Jorge P. Zubelli

The ability to construct a realistic simulator of financial exchanges, including reproducing the dynamics of the limit order book, can give insight into many counterfactual scenarios, such as a flash crash, a margin call, or changes in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Namid R. Stillman , Rory Baggott , Justin Lyon , Jianfei Zhang , Dingqiu Zhu , Tao Chen , Perukrishnen Vytelingum

This paper studies pricing derivatives in an age-dependent semi-Markov modulated market. We consider a financial market where the asset price dynamics follow a regime switching geometric Brownian motion model in which the coefficients…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-21 Milan Kumar Das , Anindya Goswami , Tanmay S. Patankar

This paper develops a matrix-variate adaptive Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methodology for Bayesian Cointegrated Vector Auto Regressions (CVAR). We replace the popular approach to sampling Bayesian CVAR models, involving griddy Gibbs,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-23 Gareth W. Peters , Balakrishnan Kannan , Ben Lasscock , Chris Mellen

Standard methods and theories in finance can be ill-equipped to capture highly non-linear interactions in financial prediction problems based on large-scale datasets, with deep learning offering a way to gain insights into correlations in…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-22 Ben Moews , Gbenga Ibikunle

In this paper we derive a efficient Monte Carlo approximation for the price of path-dependent derivatives under the multiscale stochastic volatility models of Fouque \textit{et al}. Using the formulation of this pricing problem under the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-12 Yuri F. Saporito

This paper presents closed-form analytical formulas for pricing volatility and variance derivatives with nonlinear payoffs under discrete-time observations. The analysis is based on a probabilistic approach assuming that the underlying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-19 Nontawat Bunchak , Udomsak Rakwongwan , Phiraphat Sutthimat

We introduce a simple model for equity index derivatives. The model generalizes well known L\`evy Normal Tempered Stable processes (e.g. NIG and VG) with time dependent parameters. It accurately fits Equity index implied volatility surfaces…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-04 Michele Azzone , Roberto Baviera

We propose Monte Carlo calibration algorithms for three models: local volatility with stochastic interest rates, stochastic local volatility with deterministic interest rates, and finally stochastic local volatility with stochastic interest…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-09 Orcan Ogetbil , Narayan Ganesan , Bernhard Hientzsch

The key objective of this paper is to develop an empirical model for pricing SPX options that can be simulated over future paths of the SPX. To accomplish this, we formulate and rigorously evaluate several statistical models, including…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-24 Alessio Brini , David A. Hsieh , Patrick Kuiper , Sean Moushegian , David Ye

This paper introduces unified models for high-dimensional factor-based Ito process, which can accommodate both continuous-time Ito diffusion and discrete-time stochastic volatility (SV) models by embedding the discrete SV model in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-23 Donggyu Kim , Xinyu Song , Yazhen Wang

Given the promising results on joint modeling of SPX/VIX smiles of the recently introduced quadratic rough Heston model, we consider a multi-asset market making problem on SPX and its derivatives, e.g. VIX futures, SPX and VIX options. The…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-21 Mathieu Rosenbaum , Jianfei Zhang

In this paper, the valuation of European and path-dependent options in foreign exchange (FX) markets is considered when the currency exchange rate evolves according to the Heston model combined with the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross dynamics for the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-04-06 Andrei Cozma , Christoph Reisinger

This study aims to compare multiple deep learning-based forecasters for the task of predicting volatility using multivariate data. The paper evaluates a range of models, starting from simpler and shallower ones and progressing to deeper and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-26 Wenbo Ge , Pooia Lalbakhsh , Leigh Isai , Artem Lensky , Hanna Suominen

We show that the Realized GARCH model yields close-form expression for both the Volatility Index (VIX) and the volatility risk premium (VRP). The Realized GARCH model is driven by two shocks, a return shock and a volatility shock, and these…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-13 Peter Reinhard Hansen , Zhuo Huang , Chen Tong , Tianyi Wang
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