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Guyon and Lekeufack recently proposed a path-dependent volatility model and documented its excellent performance in fitting market data and capturing stylized facts. The instantaneous volatility is modeled as a linear combination of two…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-03 Marcel Nutz , Andrés Riveros Valdevenito

We propose a new framework for modeling stochastic local volatility, with potential applications to modeling derivatives on interest rates, commodities, credit, equity, FX etc., as well as hybrid derivatives. Our model extends the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-29 Igor Halperin , Andrey Itkin

We propose a model independent framework for generating SPX and VIX risk scenarios based on a joint optimal transport calibration of their market smiles. Starting from the entropic martingale optimal transport formulation of Guyon, we…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-20 Charlie Che , Hanxuan Lin , Yudong Yang , Guofan Hu , Lei Fang

Recently, deep learning techniques are gradually replacing traditional statistical and machine learning models as the first choice for price forecasting tasks. In this paper, we leverage probabilistic deep learning for inferring the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-25 Héctor J. Hortúa , Andrés Mora-Valencia

We examine a general multi-factor model for commodity spot prices and futures valuation. We extend the multi-factor long-short model in Schwartz and Smith (2000) and Yan (2002) in two important aspects: firstly we allow for both the long…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-05-31 Gareth W. Peters , Mark Briers , Pavel V. Shevchenko , Arnaud Doucet

In this paper, we price European Call three different option pricing models, where the volatility is dynamically changing i.e. non constant. In stochastic volatility (SV) models for option pricing a closed form approximation technique is…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-19 Natasha Latif , Shafqat Ali Shad , Muhammad Usman , Chandan Kumar , Bahman B Motii , MD Mahfuzer Rahman , Khuram Shafi , Zahra Idrees

We propose a neural network-based approach to calibrating stochastic volatility models, which combines the pioneering grid approach by Horvath et al. (2021) with the pointwise two-stage calibration of Bayer et al. (2018) and Liu et al.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-15 Fabio Baschetti , Giacomo Bormetti , Pietro Rossi

We present a new model for commodity pricing that enhances accuracy by integrating four distinct risk factors: spot price, stochastic volatility, convenience yield, and stochastic interest rates. While the influence of these four variables…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-28 Luca Vincenzo Ballestra , Christian Tezza

The multidimensional Uncertain Volatility Model leads to robust option pricing problems under joint volatility and correlation uncertainty. Their numerical resolution quickly becomes challenging because the associated stochastic control…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-11 Lokman A Abbas-Turki , Jean-François Chassagneux , Jean-Philippe Lemor , Grégoire Loeper , Simon Sananes

The Heston stochastic volatility model is a widely used tool in financial mathematics for pricing European options. However, its calibration remains computationally intensive and sensitive to local minima due to the model's nonlinear…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Arman Zadgar , Somayeh Fallah , Farshid Mehrdoust , Juan E. Trinidad Segovia

We present a neural network based calibration method that performs the calibration task within a few milliseconds for the full implied volatility surface. The framework is consistently applicable throughout a range of volatility models…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-26 Blanka Horvath , Aitor Muguruza , Mehdi Tomas

We price European-style options written on forward contracts in a commodity market, which we model with an infinite-dimensional Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) approach. For this purpose we introduce a new class of state-dependent volatility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-07 Fred Espen Benth , Nils Detering , Silvia Lavagnini

In this paper, we develop a 4/2 stochastic volatility plus jumps model, namely, a new stochastic volatility model including the Heston model and 3/2 model as special cases. Our model is highly tractable by applying the Lie symmetries theory…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-05 Wei Lin , Shenghong Li , Xingguo Luo , Shane Chern

The rough Bergomi model introduced by Bayer, Friz and Gatheral has been outperforming conventional Markovian stochastic volatility models by reproducing implied volatility smiles in a very realistic manner, in particular for short…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-17 Antoine Jacquier , Claude Martini , Aitor Muguruza

In mathematical finance, a process of calibrating stochastic volatility (SV) option pricing models to real market data involves a numerical calculation of integrals that depend on several model parameters. This optimization task consists of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-24 Josef Daněk , J. Pospíšil

We consider the pricing of VIX options in the rough Bergomi model. In this setting, the VIX random variable is defined by the one-dimensional integral of the exponential of a Gaussian process with correlated increments, hence approximate…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-28 Florian Bourgey , Stefano De Marco

We propose a new financial model, the stochastic volatility model with sticky drawdown and drawup processes (SVSDU model), which enables us to capture the features of winning and losing streaks that are common across financial markets but…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-20 Yuhao Liu , Pingping Jiang , Gongqiu Zhang

The multinomial probit (MNP) model is widely used to analyze categorical outcomes due to its ability to capture flexible substitution patterns among alternatives. Conventional likelihood based and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) estimators…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-08 Gyeongjun Kim , Yeseul Kang , Lucas Kock , Prateek Bansal , Keemin Sohn

Discrete choice models are commonly used by applied statisticians in numerous fields, such as marketing, economics, finance, and operations research. When agents in discrete choice models are assumed to have differing preferences, exact…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-04 Michael Braun , Jon McAuliffe

In this paper, we introduce a data-driven, single-parameter Markov diffusion model for the VIX. The volatility factor evolves in $(-1,1)$ with a uniform invariant distribution ensured by Legendre polynomials, mapped to the empirical…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-22 Ying-Li Wang , Cheng-Long Xu , Ping He