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Data assimilation is a vital component in modern global medium-range weather forecasting systems to obtain the best estimation of the atmospheric state by combining the short-term forecast and observations. Recently, AI-based data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Kun Chen , Tao Chen , Peng Ye , Hao Chen , Kang Chen , Tao Han , Wanli Ouyang , Lei Bai

Complex numerical weather prediction models incorporate a variety of physical processes, each described by multiple alternative physical schemes with specific parameters. The selection of the physical schemes and the choice of the…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2018-02-23 Azam Moosavi , Vishwas Rao , Adrian Sandu

High-resolution precipitation information is essential for climate impact assessment, yet global climate models remain too coarse to resolve key small-scale processes. Existing machine learning downscaling methods often require paired low-…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-19 Yue Wang , Daniele Visioni

For effective planning and management of water resources and implementation of the related strategies, it is important to ensure proper estimation of evaporation losses, especially in regions that are prone to drought. Changes in climatic…

Popular Physics · Physics 2021-10-12 Mustafa Al-Mukhtar

In the realm of Mobility-on-Demand (MoD) systems, the forecasting of rider demand is a cornerstone for operational decision-making and system optimization. Traditional forecasting methodologies primarily yield point estimates, thereby…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-06 Xiaoming Li , Hubert Normandin-Taillon , Chun Wang , Xiao Huang

Forecasting the weather is an increasingly data intensive exercise. Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models are becoming more complex, with higher resolutions, and there are increasing numbers of different models in operation. While the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-17 Charlie Kirkwood , Theo Economou , Henry Odbert , Nicolas Pugeault

Forecasting from atmospheric soundings is a fundamental task in operational meteorology, often requiring structured visual reasoning over Skew-T log-P diagrams by human forecasters. While recent advances in Vision-Language Models (VLMs)…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-08-19 ChangJae Lee , Heecheol Yang , Jonghak Choi

Convolutional neural network (CNN) have proven its success for semantic segmentation, which is a core task of emerging industrial applications such as autonomous driving. However, most progress in semantic segmentation of urban scenes is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-07-01 Jiawei Chen , Yuexiang Li , Kai Ma , Yefeng Zheng

The quantification and inference of predictive importance for exposure covariates have recently gained significant attention in the context of interpretable machine learning. Contemporary scientific investigations often involve data…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-31 Zitao Wang , Nian Si , Zijian Guo , Molei Liu

This paper describes a novel machine learning (ML) framework for tropical cyclone intensity and track forecasting, combining multiple ML techniques and utilizing diverse data sources. Our multimodal framework, called Hurricast, efficiently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-04 Léonard Boussioux , Cynthia Zeng , Théo Guénais , Dimitris Bertsimas

Four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4DVAR) is a cornerstone of numerical weather prediction, but its cost function is difficult to optimize and computationally intensive. We propose a neural field-based reformulation in which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Jaemin Oh

Dynamic Line Rating (DLR) systems are crucial for renewable energy integration in transmission networks. However, traditional methods relying on sensor data face challenges due to the impracticality of installing sensors on every pole or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Henri Manninen , Markus Lippus , Georg Rute

Rain precipitation prediction is a challenging task as it depends on weather and meteorological features which vary from location to location. As a result, a prediction model that performs well at one location does not perform well at other…

This work introduces a new class of four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4D-Var) methods grounded in data-consistent inversion (DCI) theory. The methods extend classical 4D-Var by incorporating a predictability-aware…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Rylan Spence , Troy Butler , Clint Dawson

Climate change is accelerating the frequency and severity of unprecedented events, deviating from established patterns. Predicting these out-of-distribution (OOD) events is critical for assessing risks and guiding climate adaptation. While…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Maria Conchita Agana Navarro , Geng Li , Theo Wolf , María Pérez-Ortiz

Accurate four-dimensional (4D) precipitation information is essential for understanding the Earth's energy and water cycles, yet remains observationally unresolved at global scales. Conventional theory holds that geostationary infrared…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Tianchi Xu , Ziqiang Ma , Andrea Marinoni , Yuanpeng He , Xiaoqing Li , Chuanfeng Zhao , Kang He , Jintao Xu , Bohan Zhou , Wenbo Zhao , Haoshuang Chen , Tun Wang , Dongdong Wang , Yang Hong

This paper demonstrates that pre-trained language models (PLMs) are strong foundation models for on-device meteorological variables modeling. We present LM-Weather, a generic approach to taming PLMs, that have learned massive sequential…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-03 Shengchao Chen , Guodong Long , Jing Jiang , Chengqi Zhang

As global climate change intensifies, accurate weather forecasting has become increasingly important, affecting agriculture, energy management, environmental protection, and daily life. This study introduces a hybrid model combining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Yuhao Gong , Yuchen Zhang , Fei Wang , Chi-Han Lee

Fast and accurate treatment of collisions in the context of modern N-body planet formation simulations remains a challenging task due to inherently complex collision processes. We aim to tackle this problem with machine learning (ML), in…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-10-26 Philip M. Winter , Christoph Burger , Sebastian Lehner , Johannes Kofler , Thomas I. Maindl , Christoph M. Schäfer

Accurate weather forecasting is essential for understanding and mitigating weather-related impacts. In this paper, we present PuYun, an autoregressive cascade model that leverages large kernel attention convolutional networks. The model's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Shengchen Zhu , Yiming Chen , Peiying Yu , Xiang Qu , Yuxiao Zhou , Yiming Ma , Zhizhan Zhao , Yukai Liu , Hao Mi , Bin Wang