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A $p$-beauty contest is a wide class of games of guessing the most popular strategy among other players. In particular, guessing a fraction of a mean of numbers chosen by all players is a classic behavioral experiment designed to test…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-23 Iuliia Alekseenko , Dmitry Dagaev , Sofia Paklina , Petr Parshakov

We introduce AgreeMate, a framework for training Large Language Models (LLMs) to perform strategic price negotiations through natural language. We apply recent advances to a negotiation setting where two agents (i.e. buyer or seller) use…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Ainesh Chatterjee , Samuel Miller , Nithin Parepally

Today's large language models (LLMs) are trained to align with user preferences through methods such as reinforcement learning. Yet models are beginning to be deployed not merely to satisfy users, but also to generate revenue for the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Addison J. Wu , Ryan Liu , Shuyue Stella Li , Yulia Tsvetkov , Thomas L. Griffiths

Many promising-looking ideas in AI research fail to deliver, but their validation takes substantial human labor and compute. Predicting an idea's chance of success is thus crucial for accelerating empirical AI research, a skill that even…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Jiaxin Wen , Chenglei Si , Yueh-han Chen , He He , Shi Feng

We present a deep learning solution to address the challenges of simulating realistic synthetic first-price sealed-bid auction data. The complexities encountered in this type of auction data include high-cardinality discrete feature spaces…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-13 Igor Sadoune , Andrea Lodi , Marcelin Joanis

Forecasting future events is important for policy and decision making. In this work, we study whether language models (LMs) can forecast at the level of competitive human forecasters. Towards this goal, we develop a retrieval-augmented LM…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-29 Danny Halawi , Fred Zhang , Chen Yueh-Han , Jacob Steinhardt

Generative AI (GenAI) is increasingly used in survey contexts to simulate human preferences. While many research endeavors evaluate the quality of synthetic GenAI data by comparing model-generated responses to gold-standard survey results,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Sarah Ball , Simeon Allmendinger , Frauke Kreuter , Niklas Kühl

The real estate market is vital to global economies but suffers from significant information asymmetry. This study examines how Large Language Models (LLMs) can democratize access to real estate insights by generating competitive and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Margot Geerts , Manon Reusens , Bart Baesens , Seppe vanden Broucke , Jochen De Weerdt

Large language models (LLMs) are often praised for exhibiting near-human performance on a wide range of tasks and valued for their ability to hold a general conversation. The rise of agentic AI systems is, however, ushering in a mass of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-17 Peter Belcak , Greg Heinrich , Shizhe Diao , Yonggan Fu , Xin Dong , Saurav Muralidharan , Yingyan Celine Lin , Pavlo Molchanov

The competitive auction was first proposed by Goldberg, Hartline, and Wright. In their paper, they introduce the competitive analysis framework of online algorithm designing into the traditional revenue-maximizing auction design problem.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Pinyan Lu , Zongqi Wan , Jialin Zhang

Large language models (LLMs) promise to democratize financial analysis by reducing information-processing costs. Yet equal access does not ensure equal outcomes, as the locus of friction may shift from processing information to evaluating…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-23 Edward Li , Min Shen , Zhiyuan Tu , Dexin Zhou

The observed similarities in the behavior of humans and Large Language Models (LLMs) have prompted researchers to consider the potential of using LLMs as models of human cognition. However, several significant challenges must be addressed…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-07 Jian-Qiao Zhu , Haijiang Yan , Thomas L. Griffiths

In the field of computational advertising, the integration of ads into the outputs of large language models (LLMs) presents an opportunity to support these services without compromising content integrity. This paper introduces novel auction…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-16 MohammadTaghi Hajiaghayi , Sébastien Lahaie , Keivan Rezaei , Suho Shin

Large Language Models (LLMs) demonstrate strong few-shot generalization through in-context learning, yet their reasoning in dynamic and stochastic environments remains opaque. Prior studies mainly focus on static tasks and overlook the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Jensen Zhang , Jing Yang , Keze Wang

As large language models (LLMs) increasingly act as autonomous agents in markets and organizations, their behavior in strategic environments becomes economically consequential. We document that off-the-shelf LLM agents exhibit systematic…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-16 Wei Lu , Amit Dhanda , Daniel L. Chen , Christian B. Hansen

Collecting high-quality training data is essential for fine-tuning Large Language Models (LLMs). However, acquiring such data is often costly and time-consuming, especially for non-English languages such as Italian. Recently, researchers…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Fatemeh Mohammadi , Tommaso Romano , Samira Maghool , Paolo Ceravolo

Large Language Models (LLMs) are already as persuasive as humans. However, we know very little about how they do it. This paper investigates the persuasion strategies of LLMs, comparing them with human-generated arguments. Using a dataset…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-04-23 Carlos Carrasco-Farre

Large language models (LLMs) like ChatGPT have significantly lowered the cost of producing written content. This paper studies how LLMs, through lowering writing costs, disrupt markets that traditionally relied on writing as a costly signal…

General Economics · Economics 2025-11-13 Anais Galdin , Jesse Silbert

LLMs are statistical models of language learning through stochastic gradient descent with a next token prediction objective. Prompting a popular view among AI modelers: LLMs are just next token predictors. While LLMs are engineered using…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-08-12 Stephen M. Downes , Patrick Forber , Alex Grzankowski

The growing scale of ad auctions on online advertising platforms has intensified competition, making manual bidding impractical and necessitating auto-bidding to help advertisers achieve their economic goals. Current auto-bidding methods…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Yewen Li , Zhiyi Lyu , Peng Jiang , Qingpeng Cai , Fei Pan , Bo An , Peng Jiang