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Learning high-dimensional distributions is a significant challenge in machine learning and statistics. Classical research has mostly concentrated on asymptotic analysis of such data under suitable assumptions. While existing works…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Sutanu Gayen , Sanket Kale , Sayantan Sen

We consider the notion of the matrix (tensor) distribution of a measurable function of several variables. On the one hand, it is an invariant of this function with respect to a certain group of transformations of variables; on the other…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-11-03 A. Vershik

The goal of this paper is to provide some tools for nonparametric estimation and inference in psychological and economic experiments. We consider an experimental framework in which each of $n$subjects provides $T$ responses to a vector of…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-12-10 Raffaello Seri , Samuele Centorrino , Michele Bernasconi

In this paper, we study the problem of estimation and learning under temporal distribution shift. Consider an observation sequence of length $n$, which is a noisy realization of a time-varying groundtruth sequence. Our focus is to develop…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Dheeraj Baby , Yifei Tang , Hieu Duy Nguyen , Yu-Xiang Wang , Rohit Pyati

Four types of explicit estimators are proposed here to estimate the loss rates of the links in a network with the tree topology and all of them are derived by the maximum likelihood principle. One of the four is developed from an estimator…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2017-07-05 Weiping Zhu

This paper investigates the distributionally robust filtering of signals generated by state-space models driven by exogenous disturbances with noisy observations in finite and infinite horizon scenarios. The exact joint probability…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-29 Taylan Kargin , Joudi Hajar , Vikrant Malik , Babak Hassibi

Suppose (standardized) measurements or statistics are monitored to raise an alarm when a threshold is exceeded. Often, the underlying population is heterogenous with respect to important discrete variables and thus samples may consist of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-10 Ansgar Steland

A general method to combine several estimators of the same quantity is investigated. In the spirit of model and forecast averaging, the final estimator is computed as a weighted average of the initial ones, where the weights are constrained…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-26 Frédéric Lavancier , Paul Rochet

Certain extremum estimators have asymptotic distributions that are non-Gaussian, yet characterizable as the distribution of the $\argmax$ of a Gaussian process. This paper presents high-level sufficient conditions under which such…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-24 Matias D. Cattaneo , Gregory Fletcher Cox , Michael Jansson , Kenichi Nagasawa

We examine a stochastic formulation for data-driven optimization wherein the decision-maker is not privy to the true distribution, but has knowledge that it lies in some hypothesis set and possesses a historical data set, from which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-21 Gar Goei Loke , Taozeng Zhu , Ruiting Zuo

Let $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ be independent identically distributed random vectors in $\mathbb{R}^d$. We consider upper bounds on $\max_x \mathbb{P}(a_1X_1+\cdots+a_nX_n=x)$ under various restrictions on $X_i$ and the weights $a_i$. When…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-04 Tomas Juškevičius , Valentas Kurauskas

Statistical samples, in order to be representative, have to be drawn from a population in a random and unbiased way. Nevertheless, it is common practice in the field of model-based diagnosis to make estimations from (biased) best-first…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-05 Patrick Rodler , Fatima Elichanova

We propose and analyze estimators for statistical functionals of one or more distributions under nonparametric assumptions. Our estimators are based on the theory of influence functions, which appear in the semiparametric statistics…

We characterize the existence of the maximum likelihood estimator for discrete exponential families. Our criterion is simple to apply as we show in various settings, most notably for exponential models of random graphs. As an application,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Krzysztof Bogdan , Michał Bosy , Tomasz Skalski

Tree ensembles are non-parametric methods widely recognized for their accuracy and ability to capture complex interactions. While these models excel at prediction, they are difficult to interpret and may fail to uncover useful relationships…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-01 Brian Liu , Rahul Mazumder , Peter Radchenko

In threshold-based anomaly detection, we want to tune the threshold of a detector to achieve an acceptable false alarm rate. However, tuning the threshold is often a non-trivial task due to unknown detector output distributions. A detector…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-02 David Umsonst , Justin Ruths , Henrik Sandberg

The state-of-the-art methods for estimating high-dimensional covariance matrices all shrink the eigenvalues of the sample covariance matrix towards a data-insensitive shrinkage target. The underlying shrinkage transformation is either…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-25 Man-Chung Yue , Yves Rychener , Daniel Kuhn , Viet Anh Nguyen

Recent works identified resolution limits for the distance between incoherent point sources. However, it remains unclear how to choose suitable observables and estimators to reach these limits in practical situations. Here, we show how…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-09-22 Giacomo Sorelli , Manuel Gessner , Mattia Walschaers , Nicolas Treps

We propose and analyze a new estimator of the covariance matrix that admits strong theoretical guarantees under weak assumptions on the underlying distribution, such as existence of moments of only low order. While estimation of covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-17 Stanislav Minsker , Xiaohan Wei

We obtain robust and computationally efficient estimators for learning several linear models that achieve statistically optimal convergence rate under minimal distributional assumptions. Concretely, we assume our data is drawn from a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-07 Ainesh Bakshi , Adarsh Prasad