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Despite decades of research and recent progress in adaptive control and reinforcement learning, there remains a fundamental lack of understanding in designing controllers that provide robustness to inherent non-asymptotic uncertainties…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-13 Benjamin Gravell , Tyler Summers

In this paper, we propose a probabilistic reduced-dimensional vector autoregressive (PredVAR) model with oblique projections. This model partitions the measurement space into a dynamic subspace and a static subspace that do not need to be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Yanfang Mo , Jiaxin Yu , S. Joe Qin

Robust Model Predictive Control (MPC) for nonlinear systems is a problem that poses significant challenges as highlighted by the diversity of approaches proposed in the last decades. Often compromises with respect to computational load,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-21 Daniel D. Leister , Justin P. Koeln

Reinforcement learning (RL) policies trained in simulation often suffer from severe performance degradation when deployed in real-world environments due to non-stationary dynamics. While Domain Randomization (DR) and meta-RL have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Aoi Yoshimura , Gouhei Tanaka

A Vector Auto-Regressive (VAR) model is commonly used to model multivariate time series, and there are many penalized methods to handle high dimensionality. However in terms of spatio-temporal data, most methods do not take the spatial and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-21 Zhenzhong Wang , Abolfazl Safikhani , Zhengyuan Zhu , David S. Matteson

Vector autoregression (VAR) is a fundamental tool for modeling multivariate time series. However, as the number of component series is increased, the VAR model becomes overparameterized. Several authors have addressed this issue by…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-09 William B. Nicholson , Ines Wilms , Jacob Bien , David S. Matteson

A new algorithm is presented for reconstructing stochastic nonlinear dynamical models from noisy time-series data. The approach is analytical; consequently, the resulting algorithm does not require an extensive global search for the model…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 V. N. Smelyanskiy , D. G. Luchinsky , D. A. Timucin , A. Bandrivskyy

The problem of estimating a random vector x from noisy linear measurements y = A x + w with unknown parameters on the distributions of x and w, which must also be learned, arises in a wide range of statistical learning and linear inverse…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-06-20 Alyson K. Fletcher , Mojtaba Sahraee-Ardakan , Philip Schniter , Sundeep Rangan

The relative degree limitation for adaptive observer-based synchronization schemes is overcome. The scheme is extended to nonpassifiable systems. Two synchronization methods are described and justified based on augmented error adaptive…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 V. O. Nikiforov , A. L. Fradkov , B. R. Andrievsky

We propose a two-phase risk-averse architecture for controlling stochastic nonlinear robotic systems. We present Risk-Averse Nonlinear Steering RRT* (RANS-RRT*) as an RRT* variant that incorporates nonlinear dynamics by solving a nonlinear…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-09-07 Sleiman Safaoui , Benjamin J. Gravell , Venkatraman Renganathan , Tyler H. Summers

Reservoir computing (RC) is a state-of-the-art machine learning method that makes use of the power of dynamical systems (the reservoir) for real-time inference. When using biological complex systems as reservoir substrates, it serves as a…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2026-03-03 Mario U. Gaimann , Miriam Klopotek

We derive an efficient stochastic algorithm for inverse problems that present an unknown linear forcing term and a set of nonlinear parameters to be recovered. It is assumed that the data is noisy and that the linear part of the problem is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Darko Volkov

We introduce a new class of adaptive non-linear autoregressive (Nlar) models incorporating the concept of momentum, which dynamically estimate both the learning rates and momentum as the number of iterations increases. In our method, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Ramin Okhrati

Unlike traditional model-based reinforcement learning approaches that estimate system parameters from data, non-model-based data-driven control learns the optimal policy directly from input-state data without any intermediate model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Leilei Cui , Zhong-Ping Jiang , Petter N. Kolm , Grégoire G. Macqueron

This paper deals with the tracking control problem for a very simple class of unknown nonlinear systems. In this paper, we presents a design strategy for tracking control of time-varying state constrained nonlinear systems in an adaptive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-12 Pankaj Kumar Mishra , Nishchal K Verma

A semi-parametric, non-linear regression model in the presence of latent variables is introduced. These latent variables can correspond to unmodeled phenomena or unmeasured agents in a complex networked system. This new formulation allows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-29 Jonathan Mei , José M. F. Moura

Recently, a general data driven numerical framework has been developed for learning and modeling of unknown dynamical systems using fully- or partially-observed data. The method utilizes deep neural networks (DNNs) to construct a model for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-18 Victor Churchill , Dongbin Xiu

In this paper, we propose a probabilistic reduced-dimensional vector autoregressive (PredVAR) model to extract low-dimensional dynamics from high-dimensional noisy data. The model utilizes an oblique projection to partition the measurement…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-05 Yanfang Mo , S. Joe Qin

This paper concerns the adaptive control problem for a class of nonlinear stochastic systems in which the state update is given by a nonlinear function of linear dynamics plus additive stochastic noise. Such systems arise in a wide range of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-09 Lantian Zhang , Bo Wahlberg , Silun Zhang

We propose a learning-based robust predictive control algorithm that compensates for significant uncertainty in the dynamics for a class of discrete-time systems that are nominally linear with an additive nonlinear component. Such systems…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-05 Rohan Sinha , James Harrison , Spencer M. Richards , Marco Pavone