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Predicting the future is an important component of decision making. In most situations, however, there is not enough information to make accurate predictions. In this paper, we develop a theory of causal reasoning for predictive inference…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Thomas L. Dean , Keiji Kanazawa

Causal inference is a study of causal relationships between events and the statistical study of inferring these relationships through interventions and other statistical techniques. Causal reasoning is any line of work toward determining…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-04-03 Patrick Chadbourne , Nasir Eisty

Bayesian inference has theoretical attractions as a principled framework for reasoning about beliefs. However, the motivations of Bayesian inference which claim it to be the only 'rational' kind of reasoning do not apply in practice. They…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-14 Sebastian Farquhar

Many real-world dynamic systems, both natural and artificial, are understood to be performing computations. For artificial dynamic systems, explicitly designed to perform computation - such as digital computers - by construction, we can…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-02-24 David H. Wolpert , Jan Korbel

The study and understanding of human behaviour is relevant to computer science, artificial intelligence, neural computation, cognitive science, philosophy, psychology, and several other areas. Presupposing cognition as basis of behaviour,…

In this paper we investigate the complexity of abduction, a fundamental and important form of non-monotonic reasoning. Given a knowledge base explaining the world's behavior it aims at finding an explanation for some observed manifestation.…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2010-06-28 Nadia Creignou , Johannes Schmidt , Michael Thomas

Pearl observes that causal knowledge enables predicting the effects of interventions, such as actions, whereas descriptive knowledge only permits drawing conclusions from observation. This paper extends Pearl's approach to causality and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Kilian Rückschloß , Felix Weitkämper

Engineering collective adaptive systems (CAS) with learning capabilities is a challenging task due to their multi-dimensional and complex design space. Data-driven approaches for CAS design could introduce new insights enabling system…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2020-08-11 Mirko D'Angelo , Sona Ghahremani , Simos Gerasimou , Johannes Grohmann , Ingrid Nunes , Sven Tomforde , Evangelos Pournaras

This article contains a proposal to add coinduction to the computational apparatus of natural language understanding. This, we argue, will provide a basis for more realistic, computationally sound, and scalable models of natural language…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-12-11 Wlodek W. Zadrozny

The application of Large Language Models to Question Answering has shown great promise, but important challenges such as hallucinations and erroneous reasoning arise when using these models, particularly in knowledge-intensive,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Ignacio Sastre , Guillermo Moncecchi , Aiala Rosá

Abductive explanations (AXp's) are widely used for understanding decisions of classifiers. Existing definitions are suitable when features are independent. However, we show that ignoring constraints when they exist between features may lead…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-09-19 Martin Cooper , Leila Amgoud

Modern software-based systems operate under rapidly changing conditions and face ever-increasing uncertainty. In response, systems are increasingly adaptive and reliant on artificial-intelligence methods. In addition to the ubiquity of…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Nelly Bencomo , Jordi Cabot , Marsha Chechik , Betty H. C. Cheng , Benoit Combemale , Andrzej Wąsowski , Steffen Zschaler

In complex inferential tasks like question answering, machine learning models must confront two challenges: the need to implement a compositional reasoning process, and, in many applications, the need for this reasoning process to be…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-03-08 Ronghang Hu , Jacob Andreas , Trevor Darrell , Kate Saenko

Recent large language models have demonstrated relevant capabilities in solving problems that require logical reasoning; however, the corresponding internal mechanisms remain largely unexplored. In this paper, we show that a small language…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Davide Maltoni , Matteo Ferrara

Despite significant achievements and current interest in machine learning and artificial intelligence, the quest for a theory of intelligence, allowing general and efficient problem solving, has done little progress. This work tries to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Abel Torres Montoya

Making sense of incomplete and conflicting narrative knowledge in the presence of abnormalities, unobservable processes, and other real world considerations is a challenge and crucial requirement for cognitive robotics systems. An added…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-06-05 Manfred Eppe , Mehul Bhatt

This paper proposes two kinds of fuzzy abductive inference in the framework of fuzzy rule base. The abductive inference processes described here depend on the semantic of the rule. We distinguish two classes of interpretation of a fuzzy…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Nedra Mellouli , Bernadette Bouchon-Meunier

Despite recent advances in modern machine learning algorithms, the opaqueness of their underlying mechanisms continues to be an obstacle in adoption. To instill confidence and trust in artificial intelligence systems, Explainable Artificial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-06 Zheng Zhang , Liangliang Xu , Levent Yilmaz , Bo Liu

Recent technological advances have led to unprecedented amounts of generated data that originate from the Web, sensor networks and social media. Analytics in terms of defeasible reasoning - for example for decision making - could provide…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Michael J. Maher , Ilias Tachmazidis , Grigoris Antoniou , Stephen Wade , Long Cheng

Computational creativity is an emerging branch of artificial intelligence that places computers in the center of the creative process. Broadly, creativity involves a generative step to produce many ideas and a selective step to determine…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2013-11-07 Lav R. Varshney , Florian Pinel , Kush R. Varshney , Debarun Bhattacharjya , Angela Schoergendorfer , Yi-Min Chee
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