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In this paper we outline methodology to efficiently simulate (jump) diffusion bridge sample paths without discretisation error. We achieve this by considering the simulation of conditioned (jump) diffusion bridge sample paths in light of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-13 Murray Pollock

We study analytically and numerically the mean fastest first-passage time (fFPT) to an immobile target for an ensemble of $N$ independent finite-speed random searchers driven by dichotomous noise and described by the telegrapher's equation.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-18 Denis S. Grebenkov , Ralf Metzler , Gleb Oshanin

Many transport processes in ecology, physics and biochemistry can be described by the average time to first find a site or exit a region, starting from an initial position. Typical mathematical treatments are based on formulations that…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-01-16 Thomas Hillen , Maria R. D'Orsogna , Jacob C. Mantooth , Alan E. Lindsay

Under some weak conditions, the first-passage time of the Brownian motion to a continuous curved boundary is an almost surely finite stopping time. Its probability density function (pdf) is explicitly known only in few particular cases.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-22 Samuel Herrmann , Etienne Tanré

Many biophysical processes begin when the fastest searcher finds a target out of many random searchers, which is called an extreme or fastest first passage time (fFPT). In some models, (i) the fFPT vanishes logarithmically as the number of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-14 Sean D Lawley

General upper bounds on fluctuations of trajectory observables were recently obtained. It turned out that the size of fluctuations of dynamical observable is limited from below and from above. For the moment generating function of general…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-05-13 V. V. Ryazanov

Designing efficient and rigorous numerical methods for sequential decision-making under uncertainty is a difficult problem that arises in many applications frameworks. In this paper we focus on the numerical solution of a subclass of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Alice Cleynen , Benoîte de Saporta

Hybrid systems, and Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes in particular, are widely used to model and numerically study systems exhibiting multiple time scales in biochemical reaction kinetics and related areas. In this paper an almost…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2011-12-07 Martin G. Riedler

This paper deals with the long run average continuous control problem of piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMP's) taking values in a general Borel space and with compact action space depending on the state variable. The control…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-09-03 O. L. V. Costa , F. Dufour

The distribution of the first-passage time (FPT)$T_a$ for a Brownian particle with drift $\mu$ subject to hitting an absorber at a level $a>0$ is well-known and given by its density $\gamma(t) = \frac{a}{\sqrt{2 \pi t^3} } e^{-\frac{(a-\mu…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-09-04 Alain Mazzolo

Numerous applications all the way from biology and physics to economics depend on the density of first crossings over a boundary. Motivated by the lack of analytical tools for computing first-passage time densities (FPTDs) for complex…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-02-18 Markus Nyberg , Tobias Ambjörnsson , Ludvig Lizana

In this paper, we develop a Monte Carlo based algorithm for estimating the FPT density of a time-homogeneous SDE through a time-dependent frontier. We consider Brownian bridges as well as localized Daniels curve approximations to obtain…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-02 Imene Allab , Francois Watier

We derive the asymptotic first passage time (FPT) distribution for space-dependent variable-order time-fractional diffusion, where the fractional exponent $\alpha(x)$ varies with position. For any sufficiently smooth $\alpha(x)$ on a finite…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-16 Wancheng Li , Daniel S. Han

We consider the first-crossing-time problem through a constant boundary for a Wiener process perturbed by random jumps driven by a counting process. On the base of a sample-path analysis of the jump-diffusion process we obtain explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-20 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Elvira Di Nardo , Luigi M. Ricciardi

In this paper, we establish a relationship between the asymptotic form of conditional boundary crossing probabilities and first passage time densities for diffusion processes. Namely, we show that, under broad assumptions, the first…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-18 Konstantin A. Borovkov , Andrew N. Downes

Discrete flow models offer a powerful framework for learning distributions over discrete state spaces and have demonstrated superior performance compared to the discrete diffusion models. However, their convergence properties and error…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Zhengyan Wan , Yidong Ouyang , Qiang Yao , Liyan Xie , Fang Fang , Hongyuan Zha , Guang Cheng

First passage time (FPT) theory is often used to estimate timescales in cellular and molecular biology. While the overwhelming majority of studies have focused on the time it takes a given single Brownian searcher to reach a target,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-13 Sean D. Lawley , Jacob B. Madrid

Piecewise-deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) are often used to model abrupt changes in the global environment or capabilities of a controlled system. This is typically done by considering a set of "operating modes" (each with its own…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-13 Marissa Gee , Alexander Vladimirsky

We present a novel computational method of first-passage times between a starting site and a target site of regular bounded lattices. We derive accurate expressions for all the moments of this first-passage time, validated by numerical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 S Condamin , O. Benichou , M. Moreau

We give a short overview of recent results on a specific class of Markov process: the Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs). We first recall the definition of these processes and give some general results. On more specific cases…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-25 Romain Azaïs , Jean-Baptiste Bardet , Alexandre Genadot , Nathalie Krell , Pierre-André Zitt
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