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Agent behavior is arguably the greatest source of uncertainty in trajectory planning for autonomous vehicles. This problem has motivated significant amounts of work in the behavior prediction community on learning rich distributions of the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-07-16 Allen Wang , Ashkan Jasour , Brian Williams

Many decision problems in economics, information technology, and industry can be transformed to an optimal stopping of adapted random vectors with some utility function over the set of Markov times with respect to filtration build by the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-04 Krzysztof Szajowski

We justify and discuss expressions for joint lower and upper expectations in imprecise probability trees, in terms of the sub- and supermartingales that can be associated with such trees. These imprecise probability trees can be seen as…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-19 Gert de Cooman , Jasper De Bock , Stavros Lopatatzidis

Suppose an online platform wants to compare a treatment and control policy, e.g., two different matching algorithms in a ridesharing system, or two different inventory management algorithms in an online retail site. Standard randomized…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-27 Peter Glynn , Ramesh Johari , Mohammad Rasouli

This paper studies a class of consensus dynamics where the interactions between agents are affected by a time-varying unknown scaling factor. This situation is encountered in the control of robotic fleets over a wireless network or in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-14 Zoltan Nagy , Irinel-Constantin Morarescu , Lucian Busoniu

We consider the problem of bounding mean first passage times for a class of continuous-time Markov chains that captures stochastic interactions between groups of identical agents. The quantitative analysis of such probabilistic population…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-07 Michael Backenköhler , Luca Bortolussi , Verena Wolf

We study the limit behaviour of upper and lower bounds on expected time averages in imprecise Markov chains; a generalised type of Markov chain where the local dynamics, traditionally characterised by transition probabilities, are now…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-10 Natan T'Joens , Jasper De Bock

We study the interpersonal trust of a population of agents, asking whether chance may decide if a population ends up in a high trust or low trust state. We model this by a discrete time, random matching stochastic coordination game. Agents…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-20 Benedikt V. Meylahn , Arnoud V. den Boer , Michel Mandjes

Multi-agent systems are prevalent in a wide range of domains including power systems, vehicular networks, and robotics. Two important problems to solve in these types of systems are how the intentions of non-coordinating agents can be…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Benjamin Alcorn , Eman Hammad

We study the problem of resilient strategies in the presence of uncertainty. Resilient strategies enable an agent to make decisions that are robust against disturbances. In particular, we are interested in those disturbances that are able…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Kush Grover , Markel Zubia , Debraj Chakraborty , Muqsit Azeem , Nils Jansen , Jan Kretinsky

We study the statistical properties of trainable agents moving in discrete space. After introducing the mathematical framework, we first analyze the dynamics of two completely random walkers, mutually competing in a chaser-target…

Suppose X and Y are two independent irreducible Markov chains on n states. We consider the intersection time, which is the first time their trajectories intersect. We show for reversible and lazy chains that the total variation mixing time…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-30 Yuval Peres , Thomas Sauerwald , Perla Sousi , Alexandre Stauffer

The planning domain has experienced increased interest in the formal synthesis of decision-making policies. This formal synthesis typically entails finding a policy which satisfies formal specifications in the form of some well-defined…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-30 George K. Atia , Andre Beckus , Ismail Alkhouri , Alvaro Velasquez

For a binary choice problem, the spatial coordination of decisions in an agent community is investigated both analytically and by means of stochastic computer simulations. The individual decisions are based on different local information…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Frank Schweitzer , Joerg Zimmermann , Heinz Muehlenbein

We review existing approaches to mathematical modeling and analysis of multi-agent systems in which complex collective behavior arises out of local interactions between many simple agents. Though the behavior of an individual agent can be…

Robotics · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Kristina Lerman , Aram Galstyan , Tad Hogg

We consider hundreds of thousands of individual economic transactions to ask: how predictable are consumers in their merchant visitation patterns? Our results suggest that, in the long-run, much of our seemingly elective activity is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-05-07 Coco Krumme , Alejandro Llorente , Manuel Cebrián , Alex , Pentland , Esteban Moro

We suggest a non-asymptotic matrix perturbation-theoretic approach to get sharp bounds on the expected meeting time of random walks on large (possibly random) graphs. We provide a formula for the expected meeting time in terms of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Thomas van Belle , Anton Klimovsky

We study stochastic multi-agent systems in which agents must cooperate to maximize the probability of achieving a common reach-avoid objective. In many applications, during the execution of the system, the communication between the agents…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Saleh Soudijani , Rayna Dimitrova

We define and analyze a multi-agent multi-armed bandit problem in which decision-making agents can observe the choices and rewards of their neighbors. Neighbors are defined by a network graph with heterogeneous and stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-22 Udari Madhushani , Naomi Ehrich Leonard

When interacting with other decision-making agents in non-adversarial scenarios, it is critical for an autonomous agent to have inferable behavior: The agent's actions must convey their intention and strategy. We model the inferability…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Mustafa O. Karabag , Sophia Smith , Negar Mehr , David Fridovich-Keil , Ufuk Topcu