English
Related papers

Related papers: Conformal Link Prediction with False Discovery Rat…

200 papers

Inequalities are key tools to prove FDR control of a multiple test. The present paper studies upper and lower bounds for the FDR under various dependence structures of p-values, namely independence, reverse martingale dependence and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-18 Philipp Heesen , Arnold Janssen

Conformal prediction (CP) offers a principled framework for uncertainty quantification, but it fails to guarantee coverage when faced with missing covariates. In addressing the heterogeneity induced by various missing patterns,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-17 Jiarong Fan , Juhyun Park. Thi Phuong Thuy Vo , Nicolas Brunel

As a fundamental problem in many different fields, link prediction aims to estimate the likelihood of an existing link between two nodes based on the observed information. Since this problem is related to many applications ranging from…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-10-01 Hao Liao , An Zeng , Yi-Cheng Zhang

Conformal Prediction (CP) has recently received a tremendous amount of interest, leading to a wide range of new theoretical and methodological results for predictive inference with formal theoretical guarantees. However, the vast majority…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-22 Manit Paul , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

We propose sequential multiple testing procedures which control the false discover rate (FDR) or the positive false discovery rate (pFDR) under arbitrary dependence between the data streams. This is accomplished by "optimizing" an upper…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-27 Michael Hankin , Jay Bartroff

Federated Learning (FL) is a machine learning framework where many clients collaboratively train models while keeping the training data decentralized. Despite recent advances in FL, the uncertainty quantification topic (UQ) remains…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-25 Vincent Plassier , Mehdi Makni , Aleksandr Rubashevskii , Eric Moulines , Maxim Panov

A large body of research on link prediction problem is devoted to finding missing links in single-layer (simplex) networks. The proposed link prediction methods compute a similarity measure between unconnected node pairs based on the…

Most popular dimension reduction (DR) methods like t-SNE and UMAP are based on minimizing a cost between input and latent pairwise similarities. Though widely used, these approaches lack clear probabilistic foundations to enable a full…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-06 Hugues Van Assel , Thibault Espinasse , Julien Chiquet , Franck Picard

Conformal prediction is a framework for providing prediction intervals with distribution-free validity, guaranteeing predictive coverage for data drawn from any distribution. Its two main variants are full conformal prediction and split…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Aabesh Bhattacharyya , Boxuan Zhang , Rina Foygel Barber

As artificial intelligence (AI) / machine learning (ML) gain widespread adoption, practitioners are increasingly seeking means to quantify and control the risk these systems incur. This challenge is especially salient when such systems have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Drew Prinster , Samuel Stanton , Anqi Liu , Suchi Saria

Dynamic Link Prediction (DLP) addresses the prediction of future links in evolving networks. However, accurately portraying the performance of DLP algorithms poses challenges that might impede progress in the field. Importantly, common…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Raphaël Romero , Maarten Buyl , Tijl De Bie , Jefrey Lijffijt

Competition-based approach to controlling the false discovery rate (FDR) recently rose to prominence when, generalizing it to sequential hypothesis testing, Barber and Cand\`es used it as part of their knockoff-filter. Control of the FDR…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-24 Arya Ebadi , Dong Luo , Jack Freestone , William Stafford Noble , Uri Keich

Conformal selection (CS) uses calibration data to identify test inputs whose unobserved outcomes are likely to satisfy a pre-specified minimal quality requirement, while controlling the false discovery rate (FDR). Existing methods fix the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Meiyi Zhu , Osvaldo Simeone

Many important tasks of large-scale recommender systems can be naturally cast as testing multiple linear forms for noisy matrix completion. These problems, however, present unique challenges because of the subtle bias-and-variance tradeoff…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-12 Wanteng Ma , Lilun Du , Dong Xia , Ming Yuan

In this paper, we present a novel approach for conformal prediction (CP), in which we aim to identify a set of promising prediction candidates -- in place of a single prediction. This set is guaranteed to contain a correct answer with high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-03 Adam Fisch , Tal Schuster , Tommi Jaakkola , Regina Barzilay

The aim of link prediction is to forecast connections that are most likely to occur in the future, based on examples of previously observed links. A key insight is that it is useful to explicitly model network dynamics, how frequently links…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-04-13 Alireza Hajibagheri , Gita Sukthankar , Kiran Lakkaraju

Link prediction, the problem of identifying missing links among a set of inter-related data entities, is a popular field of research due to its application to graph-like domains. Producing consistent evaluations of the performance of the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-28 Dario Garcia-Gasulla , Eduard Ayguadé , Jesús Labarta , Ulises Cortés

Gene covariation networks are commonly used to study biological processes. The inference of gene covariation networks from observational data can be challenging, especially considering the large number of players involved and the small…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2019-04-17 Anatoly Yambartsev , Michael Perlin , Yevgeniy Kovchegov , Natalia Shulzhenko , Karina L. Mine , Xiaoxi Dong , Andrey Morgun

Partial Label Learning (PLL) aims to train a classifier when each training instance is associated with a set of candidate labels, among which only one is correct but is not accessible during the training phase. The common strategy dealing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-28 Yao Yao , Chen Gong , Jiehui Deng , Jian Yang

We introduce a new class of methods for finite-sample false discovery rate (FDR) control in multiple testing problems with dependent test statistics where the dependence is fully or partially known. Our approach separately calibrates a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-22 William Fithian , Lihua Lei