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We focus on the problem of predicting future states of entities in complex, real-world driving scenarios. Previous research has used low-level signals to predict short time horizons, and has not addressed how to leverage key assets relied…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-06-24 Joey Hong , Benjamin Sapp , James Philbin

Learning or identifying dynamics from a sequence of high-dimensional observations is a difficult challenge in many domains, including reinforcement learning and control. The problem has recently been studied from a generative perspective…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Oliver Limoyo , Bryan Chan , Filip Marić , Brandon Wagstaff , Rupam Mahmood , Jonathan Kelly

Traffic flow forecasting is essential for managing congestion, improving safety, and optimizing various transportation systems. However, it remains a prevailing challenge due to the stochastic nature of urban traffic and environmental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Mayur Patil , Qadeer Ahmed , Shawn Midlam-Mohler

We investigate the benefit of using contextual information in data-driven demand predictions to solve the robust capacitated vehicle routing problem with time windows. Instead of estimating the demand distribution or its mean, we introduce…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-27 Ali İrfan Mahmutoğulları , Tias Guns

Uncertainty quantification is essential in safety-critical settings--from autonomous driving to aviation, finance, and health--where decisions must rely on conservative bounds rather than point estimates. Predictor-level intervals (e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 Ruirui Liu , Xuejie Hou , Yiping Jiang , Hui Ren

Stochastic reduced-order models are widely used to represent the effective dynamics of complex systems, but estimating their drift and diffusion coefficients from data remains challenging. Standard approaches often rely on short-time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-28 Ludovico T. Giorgini

Past research on pedestrian trajectory forecasting mainly focused on deterministic predictions which provide only point estimates of future states. These future estimates can help an autonomous vehicle plan its trajectory and avoid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Anshul Nayak , Azim Eskandarian , Zachary Doerzaph

The rapid evolution of automated vehicles (AVs) has the potential to provide safer, more efficient, and comfortable travel options. However, these systems face challenges regarding reliability in complex driving scenarios. Recent…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-27 Shihong Ling , Yue Wan , Xiaowei Jia , Na Du

This paper presents a learning from demonstration approach to programming safe, autonomous behaviors for uncommon driving scenarios. Simulation is used to re-create a targeted driving situation, one containing a road-side hazard creating a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-06-04 Priyam Parashar , Akansel Cosgun , Alireza Nakhaei , Kikuo Fujimura

Given the temporal GPS coordinates from a large set of human agents, how can we model their mobility behavior toward effective anomaly (e.g. bad-actor or malicious behavior) detection without any labeled data? Human mobility and trajectory…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-07 Haomin Wen , Shurui Cao , Zeeshan Rasheed , Khurram Hassan Shafique , Leman Akoglu

Sound is an information-rich medium that captures dynamic physical events. This work presents STReSSD, a framework that uses sound to bridge the simulation-to-reality gap for stochastic dynamics, demonstrated for the canonical case of a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-11-09 Carolyn Matl , Yashraj Narang , Dieter Fox , Ruzena Bajcsy , Fabio Ramos

We present large scale and detailed analysis of the microscopic empirical data of the traffic flow, focusing on the non-linear interactions between the vehicles when the traffic is congested. By implementing a "renormalisation" procedure…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-03-15 Bo Yang , Ji Wei Yoon , Christopher Monterola

The reliability assessment of a machine learning model's prediction is an important quantity for the deployment in safety critical applications. Not only can it be used to detect novel sceneries, either as out-of-distribution or anomaly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-12 Steve Dias Da Cruz , Bertram Taetz , Thomas Stifter , Didier Stricker

Human motion prediction is still an open problem extremely important for autonomous driving and safety applications. Due to the complex spatiotemporal relation of motion sequences, this remains a challenging problem not only for movement…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-01 Edgar Medina , Leyong Loh , Namrata Gurung , Kyung Hun Oh , Niels Heller

Although neural networks have seen tremendous success as predictive models in a variety of domains, they can be overly confident in their predictions on out-of-distribution (OOD) data. To be viable for safety-critical applications, like…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-11-17 Masha Itkina , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Understanding the context of crash occurrence in complex driving environments is essential for improving traffic safety and advancing automated driving. Previous studies have used statistical models and deep learning to predict crashes…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Meng Wang , Zach Noonan , Pnina Gershon , Bruce Mehler , Bryan Reimer , Shannon C. Roberts

Recently, multiple naturalistic traffic datasets of human-driven trajectories have been published (e.g., highD, NGSim, and pNEUMA). These datasets have been used in studies that investigate variability in human driving behavior, for example…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-16 Olger Siebinga , Arkady Zgonnikov , David Abbink

Traffic simulation models have long been popular in modern traffic planning and operation applications. Efficient calibration of simulation models is usually a crucial step in a simulation study. However, traditional calibration procedures…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Ran Sun , Zihao Wang , Xingmin Wang , Henry X. Liu

Stochastic simulation models are generative models that mimic complex systems to help with decision-making. The reliability of these models heavily depends on well-calibrated input model parameters. However, in many practical scenarios,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-11 Ziwei Su , Diego Klabjan

Recent transportation research highlights the potential of autonomous vehicles (AV) to improve traffic flow mobility as they are able to maintain smaller car-following distances. However, as a unique class of ground robots, AVs are…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Hangyu Li , Xiaotong Sun , Chenglin Zhuang , Xiaopeng Li
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