English
Related papers

Related papers: Note on a non-parametric method for change-point d…

200 papers

Detecting abrupt changes in the mean of a time series, so-called changepoints, is important for many applications. However, many procedures rely on the estimation of nuisance parameters (like long-run variance). Under the alternative (a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-14 Michal Pešta , Martin Wendler

An important assumption in the work on testing for structural breaks in time series consists in the fact that the model is formulated such that the stochastic process under the null hypothesis of "no change-point" is stationary. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-31 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu , Zhou Zhou

One common approach to detecting change-points is minimizing a cost function over possible numbers and locations of change-points. The framework includes several well-established procedures, such as the penalized likelihood and minimum…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-25 Xianyang Zhang , Trisha Dawn

In this paper we consider the problem of detecting a change in the parameters of an autoregressive process, where the moments of the innovation process do not necessarily exist. An empirical likelihood ratio test for the existence of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-07 Fumiya Akashi , Holger Dette , Yan Liu

Detecting regime shifts in chaotic time series is hard because observation-space signals are entangled with intrinsic variability. We propose Parameter--Space Changepoint Detection (Param--CPD), a two--stage framework that first amortizes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Xiangbo Deng , Cheng Chen , Peng Yang

We propose a grid-based methodology for online changepoint detection that allows offline changepoint tests to be applied to sequentially observed data. The methodology achieves low update and storage costs by testing for changepoints over a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-20 Per August Jarval Moen

This paper proposes a new minimum description length procedure to detect multiple changepoints in time series data when some times are a priori thought more likely to be changepoints. This scenario arises with temperature time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-14 Yingbo Li , Robert Lund , Anuradha Hewaarachchi

For data segmentation in high-dimensional linear regression settings, the regression parameters are often assumed to be sparse segment-wise, which enables many existing methods to estimate the parameters locally via $\ell_1$-regularised…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Haeran Cho , Tobias Kley , Housen Li

In this paper, we introduce two robust, nonparametric methods for multiple change-point detection in the variability of a multivariate sequence of observations. We demonstrate that changes in ranks generated from data depth functions can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Kelly Ramsay , Shoja'eddin Chenouri

This paper addresses a fundamental but largely unexplored challenge in sequential changepoint analysis: conducting inference following a detected change. We develop a very general framework to construct confidence sets for the unknown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-12 Aytijhya Saha , Aaditya Ramdas

Sequential change point tests aim at giving an alarm as soon as possible after a structural break occurs while controlling the asymptotic false alarm error. For such tests it is of particular importance to understand how quickly a break is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-20 Claudia Kirch , Christina Stoehr

The detection of change-points in a spatially or time ordered data sequence is an important problem in many fields such as genetics and finance. We derive the asymptotic distribution of a statistic recently suggested for detecting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-01 Gérard Biau , Kevin Bleakley , David Mason

In this paper we study the kernel change-point algorithm (KCP) proposed by Arlot, Celisse and Harchaoui (2012), which aims at locating an unknown number of change-points in the distribution of a sequence of independent data taking values in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-30 Damien Garreau , Sylvain Arlot

We investigate the significance of change-points within fully nonparametric regression contexts, with a particular focus on panel data where data generation processes vary across units, and error terms may display complex dependency…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-07 Likai Chen , Georg Keilbar , Liangjun Su , Weining Wang

In this paper, we study statistical inference of change-points (CPs) in multi-dimensional sequence. In CP detection from a multi-dimensional sequence, it is often desirable not only to detect the location, but also to identify the subset of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-19 Ryota Sugiyama , Hiroki Toda , Vo Nguyen Le Duy , Yu Inatsu , Ichiro Takeuchi

In this paper we introduce a robust to outliers Wilcoxon change-point testing procedure, for distinguishing between short-range dependent time series with a change in mean at unknown time and stationary long-range dependent time series. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-07 Carina Gerstenberger

We present a non-parametric change-point detection approach to detect potentially sparse changes in a time series of high-dimensional observations or non-Euclidean data objects. We target a change in distribution that occurs in a small,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-29 Alan Moore , Lynna Chu , Zhengyuan Zhu

The problem of identifying change points in high-dimensional Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) in an online fashion is of interest, due to new applications in biology, economics and social sciences. The offline version of the problem, where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-18 Hossein Keshavarz , George Michailidis

Change in the coefficients or in the mean of the innovation distribution of an INAR(p) process is a sign of disturbance that is important to detect. The methods of this paper can test for change in any one of these quantities separately, or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-18 Gyula Pap , Tamás T. Szabó

We study change point detection and localization for univariate data in fully nonparametric settings in which, at each time point, we acquire an i.i.d. sample from an unknown distribution. We quantify the magnitude of the distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-27 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Yi Yu , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo