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Learning exists in the context of data, yet notions of confidence typically focus on model predictions, not label quality. Confident learning (CL) is an alternative approach which focuses instead on label quality by characterizing and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-23 Curtis G. Northcutt , Lu Jiang , Isaac L. Chuang

Despite numerous studies of deep autoencoders (AEs) for unsupervised anomaly detection, AEs still lack a way to express uncertainty in their predictions, crucial for ensuring safe and trustworthy machine learning systems in high-stake…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-28 Bang Xiang Yong , Alexandra Brintrup

A few years ago, the first CNN surpassed human performance on ImageNet. However, it soon became clear that machines lack robustness on more challenging test cases, a major obstacle towards deploying machines "in the wild" and towards…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Robert Geirhos , Kantharaju Narayanappa , Benjamin Mitzkus , Tizian Thieringer , Matthias Bethge , Felix A. Wichmann , Wieland Brendel

We address the problem of learning to benchmark the best achievable classifier performance. In this problem the objective is to establish statistically consistent estimates of the Bayes misclassification error rate without having to learn a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-17 Morteza Noshad , Li Xu , Alfred Hero

Uncertainty quantification in time series prediction is challenging due to the temporal dependence and distribution shift on sequential data. Conformal inference provides a pivotal and flexible instrument for assessing the uncertainty of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-09 Junxi Wu , Dongjian Hu , Yajie Bao , Shu-Tao Xia , Changliang Zou

While in-context learning with large language models (LLMs) has shown impressive performance, we have discovered a unique miscalibration behavior where both correct and incorrect predictions are assigned the same level of confidence. We…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Wei Cheng , Tianlu Wang , Yanmin Ji , Fan Yang , Keren Tan , Yiyu Zheng

In this paper we study the consistency of an empirical minimum error entropy (MEE) algorithm in a regression setting. We introduce two types of consistency. The error entropy consistency, which requires the error entropy of the learned…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-12-18 Jun Fan , Ting Hu , Qiang Wu , Ding-Xuan Zhou

Processes are a crucial artefact in organizations, since they coordinate the execution of activities so that products and services are provided. The use of models to analyse the underlying processes is a well-known practice. However, due to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-12-13 Thomas Chatain , Mathilde Boltenhagen , Josep Carmona

Benchmarks for the evaluation of model performance play an important role in machine learning. However, there is no established way to describe and create new benchmarks. What is more, the most common benchmarks use performance measures…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-23 Alicja Gosiewska , Katarzyna Woźnica , Przemysław Biecek

Beyond assigning the correct class, an activity recognition model should also be able to determine, how certain it is in its predictions. We present the first study of how welthe confidence values of modern action recognition architectures…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Alina Roitberg , Monica Haurilet , Manuel Martinez , Rainer Stiefelhagen

Multiclass neural network classifiers are typically trained using cross-entropy loss but evaluated using metrics derived from the confusion matrix, such as Accuracy, $F_\beta$-Score, and Matthews Correlation Coefficient. This mismatch…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Deyuan Li , Taesoo Daniel Lee , Marynel Vázquez , Nathan Tsoi

It is common to evaluate the performance of a machine learning model by measuring its predictive power on a test dataset. This approach favors complicated models that can smoothly fit complex functions and generalize well from training data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-07 Hugo Cisneros , Josef Sivic , Tomas Mikolov

Reliable application of machine learning is of primary importance to the practical deployment of deep learning methods. A fundamental challenge is that models are often unreliable due to overconfidence. In this paper, we estimate a model's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Ailin Deng , Miao Xiong , Bryan Hooi

Customers of machine learning systems demand accountability from the companies employing these algorithms for various prediction tasks. Accountability requires understanding of system limit and condition of erroneous predictions, as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-12 Amita Misra , Zhe Liu , Jalal Mahmud

Benchmarks underpin how progress in large language models (LLMs) is measured and trusted. Yet our analyses reveal that apparent convergence in benchmark accuracy can conceal deep epistemic divergence. Using two major reasoning benchmarks -…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Eddie Yang , Dashun Wang

EEG decoding systems based on deep neural networks have been widely used in decision making of brain computer interfaces (BCI). Their predictions, however, can be unreliable given the significant variance and noise in EEG signals. Previous…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-04 Tiehang Duan , Zhenyi Wang , Sheng Liu , Sargur N. Srihari , Hui Yang

As AI systems develop in complexity it is becoming increasingly hard to ensure non-discrimination on the basis of protected attributes such as gender, age, and race. Many recent methods have been developed for dealing with this issue as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-21 Yair Horesh , Noa Haas , Elhanan Mishraky , Yehezkel S. Resheff , Shir Meir Lador

Electroencephalography foundation models (EEG-FMs) have advanced brain signal analysis, but the lack of standardized evaluation benchmarks impedes model comparison and scientific progress. Current evaluations rely on inconsistent protocols…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-16 Wei Xiong , Jiangtong Li , Jie Li , Kun Zhu , Changjun Jiang

Speech classification has attracted increasing attention due to its wide applications, particularly in classifying physical and mental states. However, these tasks are challenging due to the high variability in speech signals. Ensemble…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-25 Bagus Tris Atmaja , Felix Burkhardt

This paper proposes CES, a task to evaluate the abilities of LLMs in simulating program execution and using that reasoning in programming tasks. Besides measuring the correctness of variable predictions during execution simulation, CES…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Changshu Liu , Yang Chen , Reyhaneh Jabbarvand