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Predicting a potential collision with leading vehicles is an essential functionality of any autonomous/assisted driving system. One bottleneck of existing vision-based solutions is that their updating rate is limited to the frame rate of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Jinghang Li , Bangyan Liao , Xiuyuan LU , Peidong Liu , Shaojie Shen , Yi Zhou

This research introduces two efficient methods to estimate the collision risk of planned trajectories in autonomous driving under uncertain driving conditions. Deterministic collision checks of planned trajectories are often inaccurate or…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Marc Kaufeld , Johannes Betz

In order for autonomous vehicles to become a part of the Intelligent Transportation Ecosystem, they are required to guarantee a particular level of safety. For that to happen a safe vehicle control algorithms need to be developed, which…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Vladislav Kibalov , Oleg Shipitko

We revisit the computation of a probability of collision in the context of automotive collision avoidance (also referred to as conflict detection in other contexts). After reviewing existing approaches to the definition and computation of a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-20 Richard Altendorfer , Christoph Wilkmann

For driving safely and efficiently in highway scenarios, autonomous vehicles (AVs) must be able to predict future behaviors of surrounding object vehicles (OVs), and assess collision risk accurately for reasonable decision-making. Aiming at…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-04-13 Dejian Meng , Wei Xiao , Lijun Zhang , Zhuang Zhang , Zihao Liu

Real-time safety systems are crucial components of intelligent vehicles. This paper introduces a prediction-based collision risk assessment approach on highways. Given a point mass vehicle dynamics system, a stochastic forward reachable set…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-04 Xinwei Wang , Zirui Li , Javier Alonso-Mora , Meng Wang

This paper presents a prediction algorithm that estimates the vehicle trajectory every five milliseconds for an autonomous vehicle. A kinematic and a dynamic bicycle model are compared, with the dynamic model exhibiting superior accuracy at…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Marco Leon Rapp

Demand for high-performance, robust, and safe autonomous systems has grown substantially in recent years. These objectives motivate the desire for efficient safety-theoretic reasoning that can be embedded in core decision-making tasks such…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-12-27 Kristoffer M. Frey , Ted J. Steiner , Jonathan P. How

Many motion planning algorithms for automated driving require estimating the probability of collision (POC) to account for uncertainties in the measurement and estimation of the motion of road users. Common POC estimation techniques often…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Leon Tolksdorf , Arturo Tejada , Christian Birkner , Nathan van de Wouw

This paper develops a probabilistic anticipation algorithm for dynamic objects observed by an autonomous robot in an urban environment. Predictive Gaussian mixture models are used due to their ability to probabilistically capture continuous…

Robotics · Computer Science 2013-09-04 Frank Havlak , Mark Campbell

This paper offers a formal framework for the rare collision risk estimation of autonomous vehicles (AVs) with multi-agent situation awareness, affected by different sources of noise in a complex dynamic environment. In our proposed setting,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-03 Mahdieh Zaker , Henk A. P. Blom , Sadegh Soudjani , Abolfazl Lavaei

Advanced collision avoidance and driver hand-off systems can benefit from the ability to accurately predict, in real time, the probability a vehicle will be involved in a collision within an intermediate horizon of 10 to 20 seconds. The…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-02-06 Blake Wulfe , Sunil Chintakindi , Sou-Cheng T. Choi , Rory Hartong-Redden , Anuradha Kodali , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

We present new algorithms for estimating and testing \emph{collision probability}, a fundamental measure of the spread of a discrete distribution that is widely used in many scientific fields. We describe an algorithm that satisfies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-21 Robert Busa-Fekete , Umar Syed

Safety is a central requirement for automated vehicles. As such, the assessment of risk in automated driving is key in supporting both motion planning technologies and safety evaluation. In automated driving, risk is characterized by two…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Leon Tolksdorf , Arturo Tejada , Jonas Bauernfeind , Christian Birkner , Nathan van de Wouw

We present an efficient algorithm to compute tight upper bounds of collision probability between two objects with positional uncertainties, whose error distributions are represented with non-Gaussian forms. Our approach can handle noisy…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-12-17 Jae Sung Park , Dinesh Manocha

In this paper, we investigate a predictive approach for collision risk assessment in autonomous and assisted driving. A deep predictive model is trained to anticipate imminent accidents from traditional video streams. In particular, the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-04-02 Mark Strickland , Georgios Fainekos , Heni Ben Amor

Many state-of-the-art methods for safety assessment and motion planning for automated driving require estimation of the probability of collision (POC). To estimate the POC, a shape approximation of the colliding actors and probability…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Leon Tolksdorf , Christian Birkner , Arturo Tejada , Nathan van de Wouw

We introduce CollisionPro, a pioneering framework designed to estimate cumulative collision probability distributions using temporal difference learning, specifically tailored to applications in robotics, with a particular emphasis on…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Thomas Steinecker , Thorsten Luettel , Mirko Maehlisch

Motion prediction for intelligent vehicles typically focuses on estimating the most probable future evolutions of a traffic scenario. Estimating the gap acceptance, i.e., whether a vehicle merges or crosses before another vehicle with the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Max Bastian Mertens , Jona Ruof , Jan Strohbeck , Michael Buchholz

Computing collision-free trajectories is of prime importance for safe navigation. We present an approach for computing the collision probability under Gaussian distributed motion and sensing uncertainty with the robot and static obstacle…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-11-05 Antony Thomas , Fulvio Mastrogiovanni , Marco Baglietto
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