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We solve the Skorokhod embedding problem for a class of stochastic processes satisfying an inhomogeneous stochastic differential equation (SDE) of the form $d A_t =\mu (t, A_t) d t + \sigma(t, A_t) d W_t$. We provide sufficient conditions…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-19 Stefan Ankirchner , Stefan Engelhardt , Alexander Fromm , Goncalo dos Reis

Uncertainty quantification is a fundamental yet unsolved problem for deep learning. The Bayesian framework provides a principled way of uncertainty estimation but is often not scalable to modern deep neural nets (DNNs) that have a large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Lingkai Kong , Jimeng Sun , Chao Zhang

We present strong approximations with rate of convergence for the solution of a stochastic differential equation of the form $$ dX_t=b(X_t)dt+\sigma(X_t)dB^H_t, $$ where $b\in C^1_b$, $\sigma \in C^2_b$, $B^H$ is fractional Brownian motion…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-17 J. Garzón , L. G. Gorostiza , J. A. León

The objective of this work is to prove, in a first step, the existence and the uniqueness of a solution of the following multivalued deterministic differential equation: $dx(t)+\partial ^-\varphi (x(t))(dt)\ni dm(t),\ t>0$, $x(0)=x_0$,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-10-30 Rainer Buckdahn , Lucian Maticiuc , Etienne Pardoux , Aurel Răşcanu

We present a novel deep learning method for estimating time-dependent parameters in Markov processes through discrete sampling. Departing from conventional machine learning, our approach reframes parameter approximation as an optimization…

We propose a new model for regression and dependence analysis when addressing spatial data with possibly heavy tails and an asymmetric marginal distribution. We first propose a stationary process with $t$ marginals obtained through scale…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-20 M. Bevilacqua , C. Caamaño , R. B. Arellano Valle , V. Morales-Onñate

We consider an Ito stochastic differential equation with delay, driven by brownian motion, whose solution, by an appropriate reformulation, defines a Markov process $X$ with values in a space of continuous functions $\mathbf C$, with…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-10 Marco Fuhrman , Federica Masiero , Gianmario Tessitore

To study the nonlinear properties of complex natural phenomena, the evolution of the quantity of interest can be often represented by systems of coupled nonlinear stochastic differential equations (SDEs). These SDEs typically contain…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-22 Jan Bartsch , Robert Denk , Stefan Volkwein

This invited paper proposes and discusses several Bayesian attempts at nonparametric and semiparametric density estimation. The main categories of these ideas are as follows: 1) Build a nonparametric prior around a given parametric model.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Nils Lid Hjort

This article develops a stochastic differential equation (SDE) for modeling the temporal evolution of queue length dynamics at signalized intersections. Inspired by the observed quasiperiodic and self-similar characteristics of the queue…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-18 Shakib Mustavee , Shaurya Agarwal , Arvind Singh

We study stochastic delay differential equations (SDDE) where the coefficients depend on the moving averages of the state process. As a first contribution, we provide sufficient conditions under which a linear path functional of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-17 Salvatore Federico , Peter Tankov

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are popular tools to analyse time series data in many areas, such as mathematical finance, physics, and biology. They provide a mechanistic description of the phenomeon of interest, and their…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-01 Théo Michelot , Richard Glennie , Catriona Harris , Len Thomas

We obtain a stochastic differential equation (SDE) satisfied by the first $n$ coordinates of a Brownian motion on the unit sphere in $\mathbb{R}^{n+\ell}$. The SDE has non-Lipschitz coefficients but we are able to provide an analysis of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-14 Aleksandar Mijatović , Veno Mramor , Gerónimo Uribe Bravo

In various practical situations, we encounter data from stochastic processes which can be efficiently modelled by an appropriate parametric model for subsequent statistical analyses. Unfortunately, the most common estimation and inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 Rohan Hore , Abhik Ghosh

We consider a one-dimensional diffusion process $(X_t)$ which is observed at $n+1$ discrete times with regular sampling interval $\Delta$. Assuming that $(X_t)$ is strictly stationary, we propose nonparametric estimators of the drift and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Fabienne Comte , Valentine Genon-Catalot , Yves Rozenholc

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are of utmost importance in various scientific and industrial areas. They are the natural description of dynamical processes whose precise equations of motion are either not known or too expensive to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-08 Philipp Frank , Theo Steininger , Torsten A. Enßlin

This paper is concerned with nonlinear filtering of the coefficients in asset price models with stochastic volatility. More specifically, we assume that the asset price process $ S=(S_{t})_{t\geq0} $ is given by \[…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Jaksa Cvitanic , Robert Liptser , Boris Rozovskii

We consider two kinds of stochastic volatility models. Both kinds of models contain a stationary volatility process, the density of which, at a fixed instant in time, we aim to estimate. We discuss discrete time models where for instance a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Bert van Es , Peter Spreij , Harry van Zanten

We study the ergodic properties of finite-dimensional systems of SDEs driven by non-degenerate additive fractional Brownian motion with arbitrary Hurst parameter $H\in(0,1)$. A general framework is constructed to make precise the notions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Martin Hairer

In this paper, we study an analytically tractable SIS model with a non-linear incidence rate for the number of infectious individuals described through a stochastic differential equation (SDE). We guarantee the existence of a positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-23 J. S. Builes , Cristian F. Coletti , Leon A. Valencia