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Time series forecasting is crucial in many fields, yet current deep learning models struggle with noise, data sparsity, and capturing complex multi-scale patterns. This paper presents MFF-FTNet, a novel framework addressing these challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-27 Yangyang Shi , Qianqian Ren , Yong Liu , Jianguo Sun

We study a smart grid with wind power and battery storage. Traditionally, day-ahead planning aims to balance demand and wind power, yet actual wind conditions often deviate from forecasts. Short-term flexibility in storage and generation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-08 Thom S. Badings , Arnd Hartmanns , Nils Jansen , Marnix Suilen

In data streams, the data distribution of arriving observations at different time points may change - a phenomenon called concept drift. While detecting concept drift is a relatively mature area of study, solutions to the uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-11 Anjin Liu , Jie Lu , Guangquan Zhang

With industrial and technological development and the increasing demand for electric power, wind energy has gradually become the fastest-growing and most environmentally friendly new energy source. Nevertheless, wind power generation is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Yasmeen Aldossary , Nabil Hewahi , Abdulla Alasaadi

We propose a framework employing stochastic differential equations to facilitate the long-term stability analysis of power grids with intermittent wind power generations. This framework takes into account the discrete dynamics which play a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-03-10 Xiaozhe Wang , Tao Wang , Hsiao-Dong Chiang , Jianhui Wang , Hui Liu

The prediction of wind speed is very important when dealing with the production of energy through wind turbines. In this paper, we show a new nonparametric model, based on semi-Markov chains, to predict wind speed. Particularly we use an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-12-16 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni , Flavio Prattico

Performative prediction is a framework that captures distribution shifts that occur during the training of machine learning models due to their deployment. As the trained model is used, data generation causes the model to evolve, leading to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Xue Zheng , Tian Xie , Xuwei Tan , Aylin Yener , Xueru Zhang

Software project management makes extensive use of predictive modeling to estimate product size, defect proneness and development effort. Although uncertainty is acknowledged in these tasks, fuzzy inference systems, designed to cope well…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2021-02-08 Stephen G. MacDonell

This study develops a statistical conditional approach to evaluate climate model performance in wind speed and direction and to project their future changes under the representative concentration pathway 8.5 scenario over inland and…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-09 Qiuyi Wu , Julie Bessac , Whitney Huang , Jiali Wang

Persistence diagrams concisely represent the topology of a point cloud whilst having strong theoretical guarantees, but the question of how to best integrate this information into machine learning workflows remains open. In this paper we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-16 Thomas Davies , Jack Aspinall , Bryan Wilder , Long Tran-Thanh

This study aims to capture aerodynamic causality from snapshot data with a time-varying mode decomposition technique referred to as information-theoretic machine learning. The current approach extracts time-dependent informative vortical…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-19 Ryo Koshikawa , Ryo Araki , Qiong Liu , Kai Fukami

Existing studies on identifying outliers in wind speed-power datasets are often challenged by the complicated and irregular distributions of outliers, especially those being densely stacked yet staying close to normal data. This could…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-01 Limengqian Zheng , Lipeng Zhu , Weijia Wen , Jiayong Li , Cong Zhang

The world is moving towards clean and renewable energy sources, such as wind energy, in an attempt to reduce greenhouse gas emissions that contribute to global warming. To enhance the analysis and storage of wind data, we introduce a deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Alif Bin Abdul Qayyum , Xihaier Luo , Nathan M. Urban , Xiaoning Qian , Byung-Jun Yoon

The transportation of sensitive equipment often suffers from vibrations caused by terrain, weather, and motion speed, leading to inefficiencies and potential damage. To address this challenge, this paper explores an intelligent control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-10 Vuong Anh Trung , Thanh Son Pham , Truc Thanh Tran , Tran le Thang Dong , Tran Thuan Hoang

We present a new stochastic approach to describe and remodel the conversion process of a wind farm at a sampling frequency of 1Hz. When conditioning on various wind direction sectors, the dynamics of the conversion process appear as a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-09-11 Patrick Milan , Matthias Wächter , Joachim Peinke

Wind direction forecasting plays a crucial role in optimizing wind energy production, but faces significant challenges due to the circular nature of directional data, error accumulation in multi-step forecasting, and complex meteorological…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-10 Hailong Shu , Weiwei Song , Yue Wang , Jiping Zhang

High-quality wind power forecasting is crucial for the operation of modern power grids. However, prevailing data-driven paradigms either train a site-specific model which cannot generalize to other locations or rely on fine-tuning of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Hang Fan , Yu Shi , Zongliang Fu , Shuo Chen , Wei Wei , Wei Xu , Jian Li

The prediction of residential power usage is essential in assisting a smart grid to manage and preserve energy to ensure efficient use. An accurate energy forecasting at the customer level will reflect directly into efficiency improvements…

An important constraint of Fuzzy Inference Systems (FIS) is their structured rules defined based on evaluating all input variables. Indeed, the length of all fuzzy rules and the number of input variables are equal. However, in many…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-26 Armin Salimi-Badr

In this paper, we propose a new fuzzy clustering algorithm based on the mode-seeking framework. Given a dataset in $\mathbb{R}^d$, we define regions of high density that we call cluster cores. We then consider a random walk on a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-23 Thomas Bonis , Steve Oudot