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Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) provides a framework for training machine learning models that are able to perform well on a collection of related data distributions (the "uncertainty set"). This is done by solving a min-max…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-01 Paul Michel , Tatsunori Hashimoto , Graham Neubig

This paper studies Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO), a fundamental framework for enhancing the robustness and generalization of statistical learning and optimization. An effective ambiguity set for DRO must involve distributions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Jiaqi Wen , Jianyi Yang

Optimal-Transport Distributionally Robust Optimization (OT-DRO) robustifies data-driven decision-making under uncertainty by capturing the sampling-induced statistical error via optimal transport ambiguity sets. The standard OT-DRO pipeline…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-17 Jonas Ohnemus , Marta Fochesato , Riccardo Zuliani , John Lygeros

Emerging vehicular systems with increasing proportions of automated components present opportunities for optimal control to mitigate congestion and increase efficiency. There has been a recent interest in applying deep reinforcement…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Zhongxia Yan , Abdul Rahman Kreidieh , Eugene Vinitsky , Alexandre M. Bayen , Cathy Wu

Reliability of deep learning models is critical for deployment in high-stakes applications, where out-of-distribution or adversarial inputs may lead to detrimental outcomes. Evidential Deep Learning, an efficient paradigm for uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Charmaine Barker , Daniel Bethell , Simos Gerasimou

Evidential Deep Learning (EDL) is an emerging method for uncertainty estimation that provides reliable predictive uncertainty in a single forward pass, attracting significant attention. Grounded in subjective logic, EDL derives Dirichlet…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-02 Mengyuan Chen , Junyu Gao , Changsheng Xu

The full deployment of autonomous driving systems on a worldwide scale requires that the self-driving vehicle be operated in a provably safe manner, i.e., the vehicle must be able to avoid collisions in any possible traffic situation. In…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-05-08 Ivo Batkovic , Ankit Gupta , Mario Zanon , Paolo Falcone

Autonomous cars have to navigate in dynamic environment which can be full of uncertainties. The uncertainties can come either from sensor limitations such as occlusions and limited sensor range, or from probabilistic prediction of other…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-05-06 Liting Sun , Wei Zhan , Ching-Yao Chan , Masayoshi Tomizuka

We present a novel framework for distributionally robust optimization (DRO), called cost-aware DRO (CADRO). The key idea of CADRO is to exploit the cost structure in the design of the ambiguity set to reduce conservatism. Particularly, the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-17 Mathijs Schuurmans , Panagiotis Patrinos

Data-driven Distributionally Robust Optimization (DD-DRO) via optimal transport has been shown to encompass a wide range of popular machine learning algorithms. The distributional uncertainty size is often shown to correspond to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-12 Jose Blanchet , Yang Kang , Fan Zhang , Fei He , Zhangyi Hu

Autonomous driving in urban crowds at unregulated intersections is challenging, where dynamic occlusions and uncertain behaviors of other vehicles should be carefully considered. Traditional methods are heuristic and based on…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-09-20 Peide Cai , Sukai Wang , Hengli Wang , Ming Liu

A common goal in statistics and machine learning is to learn models that can perform well against distributional shifts, such as latent heterogeneous subpopulations, unknown covariate shifts, or unmodeled temporal effects. We develop and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-21 John Duchi , Hongseok Namkoong

In this work, we propose a novel learning-based model predictive control (MPC) framework for motion planning and control of urban self-driving. In this framework, instantaneous references and cost functions of online MPC are learned from…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-02-29 Yubin Wang , Zengqi Peng , Yusen Xie , Yulin Li , Hakim Ghazzai , Jun Ma

Safety is a core challenge of autonomous robot motion planning, especially in the presence of dynamic and uncertain obstacles. Many recent results use learning and deep learning-based motion planners and prediction modules to predict…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Sleiman Safaoui , Tyler H. Summers

As autonomous vehicles move from a simplified research setting to practical use, there exists a large gap between the dynamic behavior of a human driving and an autonomous system. Risk-aware behavior needs to naturally develop in order to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Jason Gibson , Bogdan Vlahov , Patrick Spieler , Evangelos A. Theodorou

Traversing terrain with good traction is crucial for achieving fast off-road navigation. Instead of manually designing costs based on terrain features, existing methods learn terrain properties directly from data via self-supervision to…

This paper questions the effectiveness of a modern predictive uncertainty quantification approach, called \emph{evidential deep learning} (EDL), in which a single neural network model is trained to learn a meta distribution over the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Maohao Shen , J. Jon Ryu , Soumya Ghosh , Yuheng Bu , Prasanna Sattigeri , Subhro Das , Gregory W. Wornell

While Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) achieve remarkable performance, their tendency to produce overconfident predictions. Evidential Deep Learning (EDL) mitigates this by formulating predictions as a Dirichlet distribution over class…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Jiawei Tang , Xinyan Du , Hui Liu , Junhui Hou , Yuheng Jia

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is attracting tremendous attention in the autonomous driving task as a powerful control technique. The success of an MPC controller strongly depends on an accurate internal dynamics model. However, the static…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-28 Yuan Zhang , Joschka Boedecker , Chuxuan Li , Guyue Zhou

Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) has emerged as a promising approach for developing more intelligent autonomous vehicles (AVs). A typical DRL application on AVs is to train a neural network-based driving policy. However, the black-box…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-05-15 Weitao Zhou , Zhong Cao , Nanshan Deng , Kun Jiang , Diange Yang