Related papers: A Novel Approach for Estimating Largest Lyapunov E…
We propose a method for training ordinary differential equations by using a control-theoretic Lyapunov condition for stability. Our approach, called LyaNet, is based on a novel Lyapunov loss formulation that encourages the inference…
The forecasting and computation of the stability of chaotic systems from partial observations are tasks for which traditional equation-based methods may not be suitable. In this computational paper, we propose data-driven methods to (i)…
In this paper we discuss Stochastic Differential-Algebraic Equations (SDAEs) and the asymptotic stability assessment for such systems via Lyapunov exponents (LEs). We focus on index-one SDAEs and their reformulation as ordinary stochastic…
This paper uses the assumptions of ergodicity and a microcanonical distribution to compute estimates of the largest Lyapunov exponents in lower-dimensional Hamiltonian systems. That the resulting estimates are in reasonable agreement with…
Machine Learning (ML) inspired algorithms provide a flexible set of tools for analyzing and forecasting chaotic dynamical systems. We here analyze the performance of one algorithm for the prediction of extreme events in the two-dimensional…
The efficient estimation of an approximate model order is very important for real applications with multi-dimensional data if the observed low-rank data is corrupted by additive noise. In this paper, we present a novel robust method for…
Controlling nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems involves substantial challenges when the dynamics contain unknown and unstructured nonlinear state-dependent terms. For such complex systems, deep neural networks can serve as powerful…
Linear birth-and-death processes (LBDPs) are foundational stochastic models in population dynamics, evolutionary biology, and hematopoiesis. Estimating parameters from discretely observed data is computationally demanding due to irregular…
Graphical continuous Lyapunov models offer a new perspective on modeling causally interpretable dependence structure in multivariate data by treating each independent observation as a one-time cross-sectional snapshot of a temporal process.…
The existing approaches to intrinsic dimension estimation usually are not reliable when the data are nonlinearly embedded in the high dimensional space. In this work, we show that the explicit accounting to geometric properties of unknown…
A new algorithm named EXPected Similarity Estimation (EXPoSE) was recently proposed to solve the problem of large-scale anomaly detection. It is a non-parametric and distribution free kernel method based on the Hilbert space embedding of…
The objective of this paper is to study detectability, observability and related Lyapunov-type theorems of linear discrete-time time-varying stochastic systems with multiplicative noise. Some new concepts such as uniform detectability,…
Training deep neural networks, particularly in computer vision tasks, often suffers from noisy gradients and unstable convergence, which hinder performance and generalization. In this paper, we propose LyAm, a novel optimizer that…
This paper addresses the open problem of conducting change-point analysis for interval-valued time series data using the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) framework. Motivated by financial time series, we analyze data that includes daily…
Time-series forecasting models often encounter abrupt changes in a given period of time which generally occur due to unexpected or unknown events. Despite their scarce occurrences in the training set, abrupt changes incur loss that…
The deterministic equations describing the dynamics of the atmosphere (and of the climate system) are known to display the property of sensitivity to initial conditions. In the ergodic theory of chaos this property is usually quantified by…
Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations (LIME) is a popular technique used to increase the interpretability and explainability of black box Machine Learning (ML) algorithms. LIME typically generates an explanation for a single…
This paper investigates the problem of solving discrete-time Lyapunov equations (DTLE) over a multi-agent system, where every agent has access to its local information and communicates with its neighbors. To obtain a solution to DTLE, a…
Machine learning algorithms have opened a breach in the fortress of the prediction of high-dimensional chaotic systems. Their ability to find hidden correlations in data can be exploited to perform model-free forecasting of spatiotemporal…
Statistical solutions of incompressible Euler describe turbulent dynamics as time-parameterized laws on $L^2$ whose multi-point correlations satisfy an infinite hierarchy of weak identities. Modern generative samplers for PDE forecasting…