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Temporal data such as time series can be viewed as discretized measurements of the underlying function. To build a generative model for such data we have to model the stochastic process that governs it. We propose a solution by defining the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-22 Marin Biloš , Kashif Rasul , Anderson Schneider , Yuriy Nevmyvaka , Stephan Günnemann

Recent studies have indicated that the coarse grained dynamics of a large class of traffic models and driven-diffusive systems may be described by urn models. We consider a class of one-dimensional urn models whereby particles hop from an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 E. Levine , D. Mukamel , G. Ziv

We consider a controlled second order differential equation which is partially observed with an additional fractional noise. we study the asymptotic (for large observation time) design problem of the input and give an efficient estimator of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-09 Chunhao Cai , Wujun LV

We present a Bayesian non-parametric way of inferring stochastic differential equations for both regression tasks and continuous-time dynamical modelling. The work has high emphasis on the stochastic part of the differential equation, also…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Martin Jørgensen , Marc Peter Deisenroth , Hugh Salimbeni

We consider the minor process of (Hermitian) matrix diffusions with constant diagonal drifts. At any given time, this process is determinantal and we provide an explicit expression for its correlation kernel. This is a measure on the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-04-24 Patrik L. Ferrari , René Frings

We propose a discrete-time, finite-state stationary process that can possess long-range dependence. Among the interesting features of this process is that each state can have different long-term dependency, i.e., the indicator sequence can…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-19 Jeonghwa Lee

This paper introduces a discrete-time fractional Poisson process defined as a renewal process, where the waiting times follow a discrete Mittag-Leffler distribution. We investigate its fundamental properties by explicitly deriving the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Naohiro Yoshida

We review and study a one-parameter family of functional transformations, denoted by $(S^{(\beta)})_{\beta\in \R}$, which, in the case $\beta<0$, provides a path realization of bridges associated to the family of diffusion processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-20 Larbi Alili , Pierre Patie

An asymmetric exclusion process comprising positive particles, negative particles and vacancies is introduced. The model is defined on a ring and the dynamics does not conserve the number of particles. We solve the steady state exactly and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 M. R. Evans , Y. Kafri , E. Levine , D. Mukamel

Of primary interest in this paper is the numerical approximation of a time dependent fractional, in space, diffusion equation where the domain is assumed to be nonhomogeneous, having different axial diffusion coefficients. This work is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-12 T. Catoe , V. J. Ervin

Subdiffusion on graphs is often modeled by time-fractional diffusion equations, yet its structural and dynamical consequences remain unclear. We show that subdiffusive transport on graphs is a memory-driven process generated by a random…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Nikita Deniskin , Ernesto Estrada

Diffusion on a quenched heterogeneous environment in the presence of bias is considered analytically. The first-passage-time statistics can be applied to obtain the drift and the diffusion coefficient in periodic quenched environments. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-05-06 Takuma Akimoto , Keiji Saito

We present a method for the numerical computation of Fourier-Bessel transforms on a finite or infinite interval. The function to be transformed needs to be evaluated on a grid of points that is independent of the argument of the Bessel…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-08-21 Markus Diehl , Oskar Grocholski

We develop a generalization of correlated trend-cycle decompositions that avoids prior assumptions about the long-run dynamic characteristics by modelling the permanent component as a fractionally integrated process and incorporating a…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-26 Tobias Hartl , Rolf Tschernig , Enzo Weber

We formulate dynamical rate equations for physical processes driven by a combination of diffusive growth, size fragmentation and fragment coagulation. Initially, we consider processes where coagulation is absent. In this case we solve the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Poul Olesen , Jesper Ferkinghoff-Borg , Mogens H. Jensen , Joachim Mathiesen

We study the regularity of a diffusion on a simplex with singular drift and reflecting boundary condition which describes a finite system of particles on an interval with Coulomb interaction and reflection between nearest neighbors. As our…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-31 Sebastian Andres , Max-K. von Renesse

Motivated by contemporary and rich applications of anomalous diffusion processes we propose a new statistical test for fractional Brownian motion, which is one of the most popular models for anomalous diffusion systems. The test is based on…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-10-17 Grzegorz Sikora

Fractional Poisson processes, a rapidly growing area of non-Markovian stochastic processes, are useful in statistics to describe data from counting processes when waiting times are not exponentially distributed. We show that the fractional…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2013-10-14 Markus Kreer , Ayse Kizilersu , Anthony W. Thomas

We consider the problem of detecting an abrupt change in the distribution of a sequentially observed stochastic process. We establish the optimality of the CUSUM test with respect to a modified version of Lorden's criterion for arbitrary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-13 Alexandra Chronopoulou , Georgios Fellouris

We consider the problem of nonparametric estimation of the drift of a continuously observed one-dimensional diffusion with periodic drift. Motivated by computational considerations, van der Meulen e.a. (2014) defined a prior on the drift as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-04 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Jan van Waaij