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Related papers: Contact process with viral load

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We consider the contact process with dormancy, where wake-up times follow a renewal process. Without infection between dormant individuals, we show that the process under certain conditions grows at most logarithmically. On the other hand,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-06 Noemi Kurt , Michel Reitmeier , András Tóbiás

In order to understand the cost of a potentially high infectiousness of symptomatic individuals or, on the contrary, the benefit of social distancing, quarantine, etc. in the course of an infectious disease, this paper considers a natural…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-29 Lamia Belhadji , Nicolas Lanchier , Max Mercer

We consider a symmetric finite-range contact process on $\mathbb{Z}$ with two types of particles (or infections), which propagate according to the same supercritical rate and die (or heal) at rate $1$. Particles of type 1 can occupy any…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-31 Mariela Pentón Machado

The contact process is a simple model for the spread of an infection in a structured population. We investigate the case when the underlying structure evolves dynamically as a degree-dependent dynamical percolation model. Starting with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Marcel Ortgiese , Marco Seiler , Anja Sturm

The contact process is a simple model for the spread of an infection in a structured population. We consider a variant of this process on Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson trees, where vertices are equipped with a random fitness representing…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-17 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Marcel Ortgiese

We investigate a non-Markovian analogue of the Harris contact process in a finite connected graph G=(V,E): an individual is attached to each site x in V, and it can be infected or healthy; the infection propagates to healthy neighbors just…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Luiz Renato Fontes , Pablo Almeida Gomes , Remy Sanchis

The quadratic contact process (QCP) is a natural extension of the well studied linear contact process where infected (1) individuals infect susceptible (0) neighbors at rate $\lambda$ and infected individuals recover ($1 \longrightarrow 0$)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-06-28 Chris Varghese , Rick Durrett

We introduce and study the mutating contact process, a variant of the multitype contact process, where one type mutates at a constant rate to the other type. We prove that on $\mathbb{Z}$ a single mutant cannot survive while on…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-08 Idan Alter , Gideon Amir

In this paper we introduce a contact process on a dynamical long range percolation (CPDLP) defined on a complete graph $(V,\mathcal{E})$. A dynamical long range percolation is a Feller process defined on the edge set $\mathcal{E}$, which…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-27 Marco Seiler , Anja Sturm

We study two one-dimensional variants of the contact process: the contact-and-barrier process, where the population evolves in a region delimited by a randomly moving barrier, and the multitype contact process, in which two species compete…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Isabella Alvarenga , Daniel Valesin

We show existence of a non-trivial phase transition for the contact process, a simple model for infection without immunity, on a network which reacts dynamically to the infection trying to prevent an epidemic. This network initially has the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-12 John Fernley , Peter Mörters , Marcel Ortgiese

We introduce a model of epidemics among moving particles on any locally finite graph. At any time, each vertex is empty, occupied by a healthy particle, or occupied by an infected particle. Infected particles recover at rate $1$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-04 M. Hilário , D. Ungaretti , D. Valesin , M. E. Vares

A complex contagion is an infectious process in which individuals may require multiple transmissions before changing state. These are used to model behaviors if an individual only adopts a particular behavior after perceiving a consensus…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-29 Joel C. Miller

We consider a symmetric finite-range contact process on $\mathbb{Z}$ with two types of particles (or infections), which propagate according to the same supercritical rate and die (or heal) at rate $1$. Particles of type $1$ can enter any…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-22 Mariela Pentón Machado

Consider the following stochastic model for immune response. Each pathogen gives birth to a new pathogen at rate $\lambda$. When a new pathogen is born, it has the same type as its parent with probability $1 - r$. With probability $r$, a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Thomas M. Liggett , Rinaldo B. Schinazi , Jason Schweinsberg

The contact process with an asymptomatic state, introduced in [Belhadji, Lanchier and Mercer, Stochastic Process. Appl., 176:104417, 2024], is a natural variant of the basic contact process that distinguishes between asymptomatic (state 1)…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-27 Nicolas Lanchier

In the multitype contact process, vertices of a graph can be empty or occupied by a type 1 or a type 2 individual; an individual of type $i$ dies with rate 1 and sends a descendant to a neighboring empty site with rate $\lambda_i$. We study…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Thomas Mountford , Pedro Luis Barrios Pantoja , Daniel Valesin

Stochastic modeling of disease dynamics has had a long tradition. Among the first epidemic models including a spatial structure in the form of local interactions is the contact process. In this article we investigate two extensions of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 L. Belhadji , N. Lanchier

The contact process on an infinite homogeneous tree is shown to exhibit at least two phase transitions as the infection parameter lambda is varied. For small values of lambda a single infection eventually dies out. For larger lambda the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Robin Pemantle

We study the fixation probability for two versions of the Moran process on the random graph $G_{n,p}$ at the threshold for connectivity. The Moran process models the spread of a mutant population in a network. Throughtout the process there…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-17 Alan Frieze , Wesley Pegden
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