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We study the spatio-temporal prediction problem and introduce a novel point-process-based prediction algorithm. Spatio-temporal prediction is extensively studied in Machine Learning literature due to its critical real-life applications such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-17 Oguzhan Karaahmetoglu , Suleyman S. Kozat

This paper focuses on the use of the theory of Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces in the statistical analysis of replicated point processes. We show that spatial point processes can be observed as random variables in a Reproducing Kernel…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-06 Amelia Simó

Random fields in nature often have, to a good approximation, Gaussian characteristics. We present the mathematical framework for a new and simple method for investigating the non-Gaussian contributions, based on counting the maxima and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-10-26 T. H. Beuman , A. M. Turner , V. Vitelli

The research work outlined in the present note highlights the essential role played by the simulation procedures implemented by us on CINECA supercomputers to complement the mathematical investigations carried within our group over the past…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Elvira Di Nardo , Amelia G. Nobile , Enrica Pirozzi , Luigi M. Ricciardi

A functional risk curve gives the probability of an undesirable event as a function of the value of a critical parameter of a considered physical system. In several applicative situations, this curve is built using phenomenological…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-26 Bertrand Iooss , Loïc Le Gratiet

For a finite set of points $P$ in $R^d$, the function $d_P: R^d \to R^+$ measures Euclidean distance to the set $P$. We study the number of critical points of $d_P$ when $P$ is a Poisson process. In particular, we study the limit behavior…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-12 Omer Bobrowski , Robert J. Adler

Superstatistics are superpositions of different statistics relevant for driven nonequilibrium systems with spatiotemporal inhomogeneities of an intensive variable (e.g., the inverse temperature). They contain Tsallis statistics as a special…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Hugo Touchette , Christian Beck

The intensity of a Gibbs point process is usually an intractable function of the model parameters. For repulsive pairwise interaction point processes, this intensity can be expressed as the Laplace transform of some particular function.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-11 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Frédéric Lavancier

We consider the behavior of extremal particles in $K$-symmetric exclusion on $\mathbb{Z}$ when the process starts from certain infinite-particle step configurations where there are no particles to the right of a maximal one. In such a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Michael Conroy , Adrián González Casanova , Sunder Sethuraman

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are Bayesian models that provide uncertainty estimates associated to the predictions made. They are also very flexible due to their non-parametric nature. Nevertheless, GPs suffer from poor scalability as the number…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Bahram Jafrasteh , Carlos Villacampa-Calvo , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

Gaussian processes are used in many machine learning applications that rely on uncertainty quantification. Recently, computational tools for working with these models in geometric settings, such as when inputs lie on a Riemannian manifold,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-31 Paul Rosa , Viacheslav Borovitskiy , Alexander Terenin , Judith Rousseau

We study the asymptotics of the point process induced by an interacting particle system with mean-field drift interaction. Under suitable assumptions, we establish propagation of chaos for this point process: it has the same weak limit as…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Nikolaos Kolliopoulos , Martin Larsson , Zeyu Zhang

Determinantal point processes (DPPs) are elegant probabilistic models of repulsion that arise in quantum physics and random matrix theory. In contrast to traditional structured models like Markov random fields, which become intractable and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-01-11 Alex Kulesza , Ben Taskar

In this paper, we consider a stochastic system described by a differential equation admitting a spatially varying random coefficient. The differential equation has been employed to model various static physics systems such as elastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-18 Jingchen Liu , Xiang Zhou

We introduce a broad class of models called semiparametric spatial point process for making inference between spatial point patterns and spatial covariates. These models feature an intensity function with both parametric and nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-24 Xindi Lin , Bumjun Park , Christopher Zahasky , Hyunseung Kang

In this work we consider time series with a finite number of discrete point changes. We assume that the data in each segment follows a different probability density functions (pdf). We focus on the case where the data in all segments are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Ali Mohammad-Djafari , Olivier Feron

In this paper, we study the asymptotic relation between the maximum of acontinuous order statistics process formed by stationary Gaussian processesand the maximum of this process sampled at discrete time points. It is shown that, these two…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-18 Zhongquan Tan

Preferential sampling is a common feature in geostatistics and occurs when the locations to be sampled are chosen based on information about the phenomena under study. In this case, point pattern models are commonly used as the probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-27 Douglas Mateus da Silva , Dani Gamerman

In this note we present new examples of determinantal point processes with infinitely many particles. The particles live on the half-lattice {1,2,...} or on the open half-line (0,+\infty). The main result is the computation of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-16 Leonid Petrov

The Gaussian process is a powerful and flexible technique for interpolating spatiotemporal data, especially with its ability to capture complex trends and uncertainty from the input signal. This chapter describes Gaussian processes as an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-11 Kien Nguyen , John Krumm , Cyrus Shahabi
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