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We derive the divergence-kernel formula for the linear response of random dynamical systems. Specifically, the pathwise expression is for the parameter-derivative of the marginal or stationary density, not an averaged observable. Our…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Angxiu Ni

We derive and prove the path-kernel formula for the linear response (parameter-derivative of averaged statistics) of SDEs. The parameter may affect the drift coefficient, the diffusion coefficient, and the initial condition. The formula…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-01 Angxiu Ni

We develop the no-propagate algorithm for sampling the linear response of random dynamical systems, which are non-uniform hyperbolic deterministic systems perturbed by noise with smooth density. We first derive a Monte-Carlo type formula…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-08-16 Angxiu Ni

We derive the adjoint path-kernel method for computing parameter-gradients (linear responses) of SDEs. Its cost is almost independent of the number of parameters, and it works for non-hyperbolic systems with parameter-controlled…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-11 Angxiu Ni

A low-dimensional dynamical system is observed in an experiment as a high-dimensional signal; for example, a video of a chaotic pendulums system. Assuming that we know the dynamical model up to some unknown parameters, can we estimate the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-24 Ofir Lindenbaum , Amir Sagiv , Gal Mishne , Ronen Talmon

Real-time Monte Carlo denoising aims at removing severe noise under low samples per pixel (spp) in a strict time budget. Recently, kernel-prediction methods use a neural network to predict each pixel's filtering kernel and have shown a…

Graphics · Computer Science 2022-02-28 Hangming Fan , Rui Wang , Yuchi Huo , Hujun Bao

To sample from a general target distribution $p_*\propto e^{-f_*}$ beyond the isoperimetric condition, Huang et al. (2023) proposed to perform sampling through reverse diffusion, giving rise to Diffusion-based Monte Carlo (DMC).…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-15 Xunpeng Huang , Difan Zou , Hanze Dong , Yian Ma , Tong Zhang

This paper introduces Discrete Markov Probabilistic Models (DMPMs), a novel discrete diffusion algorithm for discrete data generation. The algorithm operates in discrete bit space, where the noising process is a continuous-time Markov chain…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-09 Le-Tuyet-Nhi Pham , Dario Shariatian , Antonio Ocello , Giovanni Conforti , Alain Durmus

Non-linear systems of differential equations have attracted the interest in fields like system biology, ecology or biochemistry, due to their flexibility and their ability to describe dynamical systems. Despite the importance of such models…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-09 Javier González , Ivan Vujačić , Ernst Wit

This paper studies the original discrete-time denoising diffusion probabilistic model (DDPM) from a probabilistic point of view. We present three main theoretical results. First, we show that the time-dependent score function associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Yumiharu Nakano

The density estimation is one of the core problems in statistics. Despite this, existing techniques like maximum likelihood estimation are computationally inefficient due to the intractability of the normalizing constant. For this reason an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-14 Tsimboy Olga , Yermek Kapushev , Evgeny Burnaev , Ivan Oseledets

In this work, we propose a simple kernel ridge regression (KRR) framework with a dynamic-aware validation strategy for long-term prediction of complex dynamical systems. By employing a data-driven kernel derived from diffusion maps, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Jiwoo Song , Daning Huang , John Harlim

We introduce a novel kernel-based framework for learning differential equations and their solution maps that is efficient in data requirements, in terms of solution examples and amount of measurements from each example, and computational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-07 Yasamin Jalalian , Juan Felipe Osorio Ramirez , Alexander Hsu , Bamdad Hosseini , Houman Owhadi

We consider the problem of simultaneously learning to linearly combine a very large number of kernels and learn a good predictor based on the learnt kernel. When the number of kernels $d$ to be combined is very large, multiple kernel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-20 Arash Afkanpour , András György , Csaba Szepesvári , Michael Bowling

Prediction of dynamical time series with additive noise using support vector machines or kernel based regression has been proved to be consistent for certain classes of discrete dynamical systems. Consistency implies that these methods are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-21 Raymundo Navarrete , Divakar Viswanath

Diffusion models generate high-quality synthetic data. They operate by defining a continuous-time forward process which gradually adds Gaussian noise to data until fully corrupted. The corresponding reverse process progressively "denoises"…

Conditional density estimation is a general framework for solving various problems in machine learning. Among existing methods, non-parametric and/or kernel-based methods are often difficult to use on large datasets, while methods based on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-06 Hiroaki Sasaki , Aapo Hyvärinen

We propose a framework to perform Bayesian inference using conditional score-based diffusion models to solve a class of inverse problems in mechanics involving the inference of a specimen's spatially varying material properties from noisy…

We introduce a novel framework for efficient sampling from complex, unnormalised target distributions by exploiting multiscale dynamics. Traditional score-based sampling methods either rely on learned approximations of the score function or…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-04 Paula Cordero-Encinar , Andrew B. Duncan , Sebastian Reich , O. Deniz Akyildiz

We study strictly proper scoring rules in the Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space. We propose a general Kernel Scoring rule and associated Kernel Divergence. We consider conditions under which the Kernel Score is strictly proper. We then…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-25 Hamed Masnadi-Shirazi
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