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This paper studies the timing of trades under mean-reverting price dynamics subject to fixed transaction costs. We solve an optimal double stopping problem to determine the optimal times to enter and subsequently exit the market, when…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-21 Tim Leung , Xin Li , Zheng Wang

We study optimal stopping for diffusion processes with unknown model primitives within the continuous-time reinforcement learning (RL) framework developed by Wang et al. (2020), and present applications to option pricing and portfolio…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Min Dai , Yu Sun , Zuo Quan Xu , Xun Yu Zhou

This paper deals with optimal prediction in a regime-switching model driven by a continuous-time Markov chain. We extend existing results for geometric Brownian motion by deriving optimal stopping strategies that depend on the current…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-27 Yue Liu , Nicolas Privault

Motivated by the industry practice of pairs trading, we study the optimal timing strategies for trading a mean-reverting price spread. An optimal double stopping problem is formulated to analyze the timing to start and subsequently…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-15 Tim Leung , Xin Li

Model risk arises from the misspecification of probabilistic models used for pricing and hedging derivatives. While model risk for European-style claims has been widely studied, much less attention has been given to American-style…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-23 Luna Rigby , Rüdiger Frey , Erik Schlögl

A new method for stochastic control based on neural networks and using randomisation of discrete random variables is proposed and applied to optimal stopping time problems. The method models directly the policy and does not need the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-11 Thomas Deschatre , Joseph Mikael

We investigate a class of optimal stopping problems arising in, for example, studies considering the timing of an irreversible investment when the underlying follows a skew Brownian motion. Our results indicate that the local directional…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-17 Luis H. R. Alvarez E. , Paavo Salminen

We analyze an irreversible investment decision for a project which yields a flow of future operating profits given by a geometric Brownian motion with unknown drift. In contrast to similar optimal stopping problems with incomplete…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-19 Fabian Gierens , Berenice Anne Neumann

We consider the problem of the optimal trading strategy in the presence of linear costs, and with a strict cap on the allowed position in the market. Using Bellman's backward recursion method, we show that the optimal strategy is to switch…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-03-28 Joachim de Lataillade , Cyril Deremble , Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We study a specific class of finite-horizon mean field optimal stopping problems by means of the dynamic programming approach. In particular, we consider problems where the state process is not affected by the stopping time. Such problems…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-07 Andrea Cosso , Laura Perelli

This paper studies an infinite horizon optimal tracking portfolio problem using capital injection in incomplete market models. The benchmark process is modelled by a geometric Brownian motion with zero drift driven by some unhedgeable risk.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-01 Lijun Bo , Yijie Huang , Xiang Yu

This paper studies an optimal trading problem that incorporates the trader's market view on the terminal asset price distribution and uninformative noise embedded in the asset price dynamics. We model the underlying asset price evolution by…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-07 Tim Leung , Jiao Li , Xin Li

Even in the face of deteriorating and highly volatile demand, firms often invest in, rather than discard, aging technologies. In order to study this phenomenon, we model the firm's profit stream as a Brownian motion with negative drift. At…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-08 H. Dharma Kwon

In this paper a simple model for the evolution of the forward density of the future value of an asset is proposed. The model allows for a straightforward initial calibration to option prices and has dynamics that are consistent with…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-22 Henrik Hult , Filip Lindskog , Johan Nykvist

Consider a discrete finite-dimensional, Markovian market model. In this setting, discretely sampled American options can be priced using the so-called ``non-recombining'' tree algorithm. By successively increasing the number of exercise…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Frederik S Herzberg

We consider a reflected backward stochastic differential equations with default time and an optional barrier in a filtration generated by a one-dimensional Brownian motion and a defaultable process. We suppose that the barrier have…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Badr Elmansouri , Mohamed El Otmani

We consider the problem of optimal inside portfolio $\pi(t)$ in a financial market with a corresponding wealth process $X(t)=X^{\pi}(t)$ modelled by \begin{align}\label{eq0.1} \begin{cases} dX(t)&=\pi(t)X(t)[\alpha(t)dt+\beta(t)dB(t)];…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-12 Olfa Draouil , Bernt Øksendal

We propose a numerical procedure for computing the prices of European options, in which the underlying asset price is a Markovian strict local martingale. If the underlying process is a strict local martingale and the payoff is of linear…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-23 Yukihiro Tsuzuki

We study optimal investment problem for a diffusion market consisting of a finite number of risky assets (for example, bonds, stocks and options). Risky assets evolution is described by Ito's equation, and the number of risky assets can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Nikolai Dokuchaev

For an infinite-horizon continuous-time optimal stopping problem under non-exponential discounting, we look for an optimal equilibrium, which generates larger values than any other equilibrium does on the entire state space. When the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-15 Yu-Jui Huang , Zhou Zhou