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We present an optimization-based method for the joint estimation of system parameters and noise covariances of linear time-variant systems. Given measured data, this method maximizes the likelihood of the parameters. We solve the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-21 Léo Simpson , Andrea Ghezzi , Jonas Asprion , Moritz Diehl

In this paper, we analyze the finite sample complexity of stochastic system identification using modern tools from machine learning and statistics. An unknown discrete-time linear system evolves over time under Gaussian noise without…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-22 Anastasios Tsiamis , George J. Pappas

A parameter estimation problem is considered for a linear stochastic hyperbolic equation driven by additive space-time Gaussian white noise. The damping/amplification operator is allowed to be unbounded. The estimator is of spectral type…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-25 W. Liu , S. V. Lototsky

Calibration of expensive simulation models involves an emulator based on simulation outputs generated across various parameter settings to replace the actual model. Noisy outputs of stochastic simulation models require many simulation…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-08 Özge Sürer

Stochastic resonance is a phenomenon where a noise of appropriate intensity enhances the input signal strength. In this work, by employing the recently developed convex optimization methods in the context of dynamical systems and stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-09-22 Minjae Cho

We use a multifractal formalism to study the effect of stochastic resonance in a noisy bistable system driven by various input signals. To characterize the response of a stochastic bistable system we introduce a new measure based on the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 Alexander Silchenko , Chin-Kun Hu

Inferring dynamical models from low-resolution temporal data continues to be a significant challenge in biophysics, especially within transcriptomics, where separating molecular programs from noise remains an important open problem. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-05 Victor Chardès , Suryanarayana Maddu , Michael J. Shelley

Modeling real-world systems requires accounting for noise - whether it arises from unpredictable fluctuations in financial markets, irregular rhythms in biological systems, or environmental variability in ecosystems. While the behavior of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Matteo Bosso , Giovanni Franzese , Kushal Swamy , Maarten Theulings , Alejandro M. Aragón , Farbod Alijani

Complex systems are characterized by a huge number of degrees of freedom often interacting in a non-linear manner. In many cases macroscopic states, however, can be characterized by a small number of order parameters that obey stochastic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-02-20 David Kleinhans

We address the problem of estimating steady-state quantities associated to systems of stochastic chemical kinetics. In most cases of interest these systems are analytically intractable, and one has to resort to computational methods to…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-01-21 Andreas Milias-Argeitis , John Lygeros , Mustafa Khammash

Stochastic simulation models are generative models that mimic complex systems to help with decision-making. The reliability of these models heavily depends on well-calibrated input model parameters. However, in many practical scenarios,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-11 Ziwei Su , Diego Klabjan

The stochastic leverage effect, defined as the standardized covariation between the returns and their related volatility, is analyzed in a stochastic volatility model set-up. A novel estimator of the effect is defined using a pre-estimation…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-09 Imma Valentina Curato , Simona Sanfelici

Online system identification algorithms are widely used for monitoring, diagnostics and control by continuously adapting to time-varying dynamics. Typically, these algorithms consider a model structure that lacks parsimony and offers…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-28 Koen Classens , Rodrigo A. González , Tom Oomen

We propose a robust parameter estimation method for dynamical systems based on Statistical Learning techniques which aims to estimate a set of parameters that well fit the dynamics in order to obtain robust evidences about the qualitative…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-26 Diego Marcondes

Estimation of the covariance structure of spatial processes is of fundamental importance in spatial statistics. In the literature, several non-parametric and semi-parametric methods have been developed to estimate the covariance structure…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-06 Shu Yang , Zhengyuan Zhu

We consider a stochastic perturbation of a FitzHugh-Nagumo system. We show that it is possible to generate oscillations for values of parameters which do not allow oscillations for the deterministic system. We also study the appearance of a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2009-06-16 Catherine Doss , Michèle Thieullen

The paper proposes a method of damage detection in elastic materials, which is based on analyzing the time-dependent (dynamic) response of the material excited by an acoustic signal. A case study is presented consisting of experimental…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-24 Michael Oberguggenberger , Martin Schwarz

We consider the problem of parameter estimation, based on noisy chaotic signals, from the viewpoint of twisted modulation for waveform communication. In particular, we study communication systems where the parameter to be estimated is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-08-02 Neri Merhav

In this paper, we investigate diagonal estimation for large or implicit matrices, aiming to develop a novel and efficient stochastic algorithm that incorporates adaptive parameter selection. We explore the influence of different eigenvalue…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-16 Zongyuan Han , Wenhao Li , Shengxin Zhu

The recent experimental progresses in handling microscopic systems have allowed to probe them at levels where fluctuations are prominent, calling for stochastic modeling in a large number of physical, chemical and biological phenomena. This…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-03-08 Stefano Bo , Antonio Celani
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