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Model explanations provide transparency into a trained machine learning model's blackbox behavior to a model builder. They indicate the influence of different input attributes to its corresponding model prediction. The dependency of…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-09-09 Vasisht Duddu , Antoine Boutet

Selective Prediction is the task of rejecting inputs a model would predict incorrectly on. This involves a trade-off between input space coverage (how many data points are accepted) and model utility (how good is the performance on accepted…

A distribution inference attack aims to infer statistical properties of data used to train machine learning models. These attacks are sometimes surprisingly potent, but the factors that impact distribution inference risk are not well…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Anshuman Suri , Yifu Lu , Yanjin Chen , David Evans

Machine learning models only provide probabilistic guarantees on the expected loss of random samples from the distribution represented by their training data. As a result, a model with high accuracy, may or may not be reliable for…

Databases · Computer Science 2024-04-12 Nima Shahbazi , Abolfazl Asudeh

Clinical researchers often select among and evaluate risk prediction models using standard machine learning metrics based on confusion matrices. However, if these models are used to allocate interventions to patients, standard metrics…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-03 Alejandro Schuler , Aashish Bhardwaj , Vincent Liu

Membership inference attacks seek to infer membership of individual training instances of a model to which an adversary has black-box access through a machine learning-as-a-service API. In providing an in-depth characterization of…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-02-04 Stacey Truex , Ling Liu , Mehmet Emre Gursoy , Lei Yu , Wenqi Wei

Consumer protection rules require companies that deploy models to automate decisions in high-stakes settings to explain predictions to decision subjects. These rules are motivated, in part, by the belief that explanations can promote…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-30 Harry Cheon , Anneke Wernerfelt , Sorelle A. Friedler , Berk Ustun

There have been numerous advances in reinforcement learning, but the typically unconstrained exploration of the learning process prevents the adoption of these methods in many safety critical applications. Recent work in safe reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-02 David Isele , Alireza Nakhaei , Kikuo Fujimura

Machine learning models in safety-critical settings like healthcare are often blackboxes: they contain a large number of parameters which are not transparent to users. Post-hoc explainability methods where a simple, human-interpretable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-03 Aparna Balagopalan , Haoran Zhang , Kimia Hamidieh , Thomas Hartvigsen , Frank Rudzicz , Marzyeh Ghassemi

Artificial intelligence, particularly through recent advancements in deep learning, has achieved exceptional performances in many tasks in fields such as natural language processing and computer vision. In addition to desirable evaluation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-04 Sean Xie , Soroush Vosoughi , Saeed Hassanpour

In this paper the accuracy and robustness of quality measures for the assessment of machine learning models are investigated. The prediction quality of a machine learning model is evaluated model-independent based on a cross-validation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-07 Thomas Most , Lars Gräning , Sebastian Wolff

We are motivated by the problem of performing failure prediction for safety-critical robotic systems with high-dimensional sensor observations (e.g., vision). Given access to a black-box control policy (e.g., in the form of a neural…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-05-09 Alec Farid , David Snyder , Allen Z. Ren , Anirudha Majumdar

Before deploying a black-box model in high-stakes problems, it is important to evaluate the model's performance on sensitive subpopulations. For example, in a recidivism prediction task, we may wish to identify demographic groups for which…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-09 John J. Cherian , Emmanuel J. Candès

Accurately predicting the relevance of items to users is crucial to the success of many social platforms. Conventional approaches train models on logged historical data; but recommendation systems, media services, and online marketplaces…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Amir Feder , Guy Horowitz , Yoav Wald , Roi Reichart , Nir Rosenfeld

Real-world applications of machine learning models are often subject to legal or policy-based regulations. Some of these regulations require ensuring the validity of the model, i.e., the approximation error being smaller than a threshold. A…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-18 Sven Lämmle , Can Bogoclu , Robert Voßhall , Anselm Haselhoff , Dirk Roos

Prediction-powered inference is a recent methodology for the safe use of black-box ML models to impute missing data, strengthening inference of statistical parameters. However, many applications require strong properties besides valid…

Neural networks achieve outstanding accuracy in classification and regression tasks. However, understanding their behavior still remains an open challenge that requires questions to be addressed on the robustness, explainability and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-13 Anna-Kathrin Kopetzki , Stephan Günnemann

Conformal prediction is widely used to equip black-box machine learning models with uncertainty quantification, offering formal coverage guarantees under exchangeable data. However, these guarantees fail when faced with subpopulation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Nien-Shao Wang , Duygu Nur Yaldiz , Yavuz Faruk Bakman , Sai Praneeth Karimireddy

Predictive inference is a fundamental task in statistics, traditionally addressed using parametric assumptions about the data distribution and detailed analyses of how models learn from data. In recent years, conformal prediction has…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Matteo Sesia , Stefano Favaro

How can we explain the predictions of a black-box model? In this paper, we use influence functions -- a classic technique from robust statistics -- to trace a model's prediction through the learning algorithm and back to its training data,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-01 Pang Wei Koh , Percy Liang