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An efficient simulation-based methodology is proposed for the rolling window estimation of state space models, called particle rolling Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) with double block sampling. In our method, which is based on Sequential…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-17 Naoki Awaya , Yasuhiro Omori

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms offer various strategies for sampling; the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) family of samplers are MCMC algorithms which often exhibit improved mixing properties. The recently introduced magnetic HMC,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-16 James A. Brofos , Roy R. Lederman

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC), or particle filtering, is widely used in nonlinear state-space systems, but its performance often suffers from poorly approximated proposal and state-transition distributions. This work introduces a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Wessel L. van Nierop , Nir Shlezinger , Ruud J. G. van Sloun

Monte Carlo methods are widely used for approximating complicated, multidimensional integrals for Bayesian inference. Population Monte Carlo (PMC) is an important class of Monte Carlo methods, which utilizes a population of proposals to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-30 Chaofan Huang , V. Roshan Joseph , Simon Mak

A resampling scheme provides a way to switch low-weight particles for sequential Monte Carlo with higher-weight particles representing the objective distribution. The less the variance of the weight distribution is, the more concentrated…

Computation · Statistics 2023-09-19 Xiongming Dai , Gerald Baumgartner

Quantum Monte Carlo methods have proven to predict atomic and bulk properties of light and non-light elements with high accuracy. Here we report on the first variational quantum Monte Carlo (VMC) calculations for solid surfaces. Taking the…

Materials Science · Physics 2009-10-31 R. Bahnsen , H. Eckstein , W. Schattke , N. Fitzer , R. Redmer

We propose a new variational Monte Carlo (VMC) approach based on the Krylov subspace for large-scale shell-model calculations. A random walker in the VMC is formulated with the $M$-scheme representation, and samples a small number of…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2015-06-15 Noritaka Shimizu , Takahiro Mizusaki , Kazunari Kaneko

Training energy-based probabilistic models is confronted with apparently intractable sums, whose Monte Carlo estimation requires sampling from the estimated probability distribution in the inner loop of training. This can be approximately…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-13 Taesup Kim , Yoshua Bengio

We apply a series of projection techniques on top of tensor networks to compute energies of ground state wave functions with higher accuracy than tensor networks alone with minimal additional cost. We consider both matrix product states as…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2014-04-10 Bryan K. Clark , Hitesh J. Changlani

Quantum Monte Carlo methods are accurate and promising many body techniques for electronic structure calculations which, in the last years, are encountering a growing interest thanks to their favorable scaling with the system size and their…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2014-02-17 Andrea Zen , Ye Luo , Sandro Sorella , Leonardo Guidoni

In the last decade, sequential Monte-Carlo methods (SMC) emerged as a key tool in computational statistics. These algorithms approximate a sequence of distributions by a sequence of weighted empirical measures associated to a weighted…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 R. Douc , France E. Moulines

We present a unified theory of the variational Monte Carlo (VMC) and determinant quantum Monte Carlo (DQMC) methods using a novel density matrix formulation of VMC. We introduce an efficient algorithm for VMC to compute correlation…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2018-10-02 Mohammad-Sadegh Vaezi , Abolhassan Vaezi

Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo (PMCMC) is a general computational approach to Bayesian inference for general state space models. Our article scales up PMCMC in terms of the number of observations and parameters by generating the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-04 David Gunawan , Chris Carter , Robert Kohn

Sequential Monte Carlo squared (SMC$^2$) methods can be used for parameter inference of intractable likelihood state-space models. These methods replace the likelihood with an unbiased particle filter estimator, similarly to particle Markov…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-24 Imke Botha , Robert Kohn , Leah South , Christopher Drovandi

A compact yet accurate approach for representing the wave functions of members of the He and Li isoelectronic series is using explicitly correlated wave functions. These wave functions, however, often have nonlinear forms, which make them…

Atomic Physics · Physics 2023-10-03 D. J. Nader , B. M. Rubenstein

We introduce a `virtual-move' Monte Carlo (VMMC) algorithm for systems of pairwise-interacting particles. This algorithm facilitates the simulation of particles possessing attractions of short range and arbitrary strength and geometry, an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Stephen Whitelam , Phillip L. Geissler

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC), or particle filtering, is a popular class of methods for sampling from an intractable target distribution using a sequence of simpler intermediate distributions. Like other importance sampling-based methods,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-18 Shixiang Gu , Zoubin Ghahramani , Richard E. Turner

We consider symmetry-projected Hartree--Fock trial wave functions in constrained-path Monte Carlo (CPMC) calculations. Previous CPMC calculations have mostly employed Hartree--Fock (HF) trial wave functions, restricted or unrestricted. The…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2015-03-19 Hao Shi , Carlos A. Jiménez-Hoyos , R. Rodríguez-Guzmán , Gustavo E. Scuseria , Shiwei Zhang

State-space models have been used in many applications, including econometrics, engineering, medical research, etc. The maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of the static parameter of general state-space models is not straightforward because…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Yuxiong Gao , Wentao Li , Rong Chen

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods sample from unnormalized probability distributions and offer guarantees of exact sampling. However, in the continuous case, unfavorable geometry of the target distribution can greatly limit the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-09 Zengyi Li , Yubei Chen , Friedrich T. Sommer