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We present a time dependent variational method to learn the mechanisms of equilibrium reactive processes and efficiently evaluate their rates within a transition path ensemble. This approach builds off variational path sampling methodology…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-07-10 Aditya N. Singh , David T. Limmer

In this paper we present methods for the synthesis of polynomial invariants for probabilistic transition systems. Our approach is based on martingale theory. We construct invariants in the form of polynomials over program variables, which…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Anne Schreuder , C. -H. Luke Ong

In this paper, we consider a class of slow-fast systems of stochastic partial differential equations where the nonlinearity in the slow equation is not continuous and unbounded. We first provide conditions that ensure the existence of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-02 Sandra Cerrai , Yichun Zhu

Discovering causal direction from temporal observational data is particularly challenging for symbolic sequences, where functional models and noise assumptions are often unavailable. We propose a novel \emph{Dictionary Based Pattern Entropy…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-06 Harikrishnan N B , Shubham Bhilare , Aditi Kathpalia , Nithin Nagaraj

The combination of Monte Carlo methods and deep learning has recently led to efficient algorithms for solving partial differential equations (PDEs) in high dimensions. Related learning problems are often stated as variational formulations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-08 Lorenz Richter , Julius Berner

As an important tool characterizing the long time behavior of Markov processes, the Donsker-Varadhan LDP (large deviation principle) does not directly apply to distribution dependent SDEs/SPDEs since the solutions are non-Markovian. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-21 Panpan Ren , Feng-Yu Wang

The G-Brownian-motion-driven stochastic differential equations (G-SDEs) as well as the G-expectation, which were seminally proposed by Peng and his colleagues, have been extensively applied to describing a particular kind of uncertainty…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-08 Xiaoxiao Peng , Shijie Zhou , Wei Lin , Xuerong Mao

Motivated by entropic optimal transport, time reversal of diffusion processes is revisited. An integration by parts formula is derived for the carr\'e du champ of a Markov process in an abstract space. It leads to a time reversal formula…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-05 Patrick Cattiaux , Giovanni Conforti , Ivan Gentil , Christian Léonard

We demonstrate that backward stochastic differential equations (BSDE) may be reformulated as ordinary functional differential equations on certain path spaces. In this framework, neither It\^{o}'s integrals nor martingale representation…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-20 Gechun Liang , Terry Lyons , Zhongmin Qian

Equations governing physico-chemical processes are usually known at microscopic spatial scales, yet one suspects that there exist equations, e.g. in the form of Partial Differential Equations (PDEs), that can explain the system evolution at…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-31 Hassan Arbabi , Ioannis Kevrekidis

In Rajeev (2013), 'Translation invariant diffusion in the space of tempered distributions', it was shown that there is an one to one correspondence between solutions of a class of finite dimensional SDEs and solutions of a class of SPDEs in…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-26 Suprio Bhar

We are concerned with a stochastic mean curvature flow of graphs over a periodic domain of any space dimension. We establish existence of martingale solutions which are strong in the PDE sense and study their large-time behavior. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-13 Nils Dabrock , Martina Hofmanová , Matthias Röger

We present a new scientific machine learning method that learns from data a computationally inexpensive surrogate model for predicting the evolution of a system governed by a time-dependent nonlinear partial differential equation (PDE), an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-02-28 Elizabeth Qian , Ionut-Gabriel Farcas , Karen Willcox

We consider a class of parabolic semi-linear stochastic partial differential equations driven by space-time white noise on a compact space interval. Our aim is to obtain precise asymptotics of the transition times between metastable states.…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-24 Florent Barret

Let P2(Rd) be the space of probability measures on Rd with finite second moment. The path independence of additive functionals of McKean-Vlasov SDEs is characterized by PDEs on the product space Rd*P2(Rd) equipped with the usual derivative…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-07 Panpan Ren , Feng-Yu Wang

Motivated by recent developments in the calibration of stochastic volatility models (SVMs for short), we study continuous-time formulations of martingale optimal transport and martingale Schr\"odinger bridge problems. We establish duality…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Antonios Zitridis

We study the parameter estimation for parabolic, linear, second-order, stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) observing a mild solution on a discrete grid in time and space. A high-frequency regime is considered where the mesh of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-11 Markus Bibinger , Mathias Trabs

Let $\mathcal{X}$ be a real separable Hilbert space. Let $C$ be a linear, bounded and positive operator on $\mathcal{X}$ and let $A$ be the infinitesimal generator of a strongly continuous semigroup on $\mathcal{X}$. Let $\{W(t)\}_{t\geq…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-12 Davide A. Bignamini

We study a backward stochastic differential equation whose terminal condition is an integrable function of a local martingale and generator has bounded growth in $z$. When the local martingale is a strict local martingale, the BSDE admits…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-13 Hao Xing

We present the winning strategy for the EVA2025 Data Challenge, which aimed to estimate the probability of extreme precipitation events. These events occurred at most once in the dataset making the challenge fundamentally one of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Joseph de Vilmarest , Olivier Wintenberger
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