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Estimating a covariance matrix is an important task in applications where the number of variables is larger than the number of observations. Shrinkage approaches for estimating a high-dimensional covariance matrix are often employed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-18 Anestis Touloumis

The thresholding covariance estimator has nice asymptotic properties for estimating sparse large covariance matrices, but it often has negative eigenvalues when used in real data analysis. To simultaneously achieve sparsity and positive…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-08-29 Lingzhou Xue , Shiqian Ma , Hui Zou

The global minimum-variance portfolio is a typical choice for investors because of its simplicity and broad applicability. Although it requires only one input, namely the covariance matrix of asset returns, estimating the optimal solution…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-08 Sven Husmann , Antoniya Shivarova , Rick Steinert

We propose a distributionally robust formulation for simultaneously estimating the covariance matrix and the precision matrix of a random vector.The proposed model minimizes the worst-case weighted sum of the Frobenius loss of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-19 Renjie Chen , Viet Anh Nguyen , Huifu Xu

Expected Shortfall (ES), also known as superquantile or Conditional Value-at-Risk, has been recognized as an important measure in risk analysis and stochastic optimization, and is also finding applications beyond these areas. In finance, it…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-13 Xuming He , Kean Ming Tan , Wen-Xin Zhou

The contour maps of the error of historical resp. parametric estimates for large random portfolios optimized under the risk measure Expected Shortfall (ES) are constructed. Similar maps for the sensitivity of the portfolio weights to small…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-19 Fabio Caccioli , Imre Kondor , Gábor Papp

A new wave of work on covariance cleaning and nonlinear shrinkage has delivered asymptotically optimal analytical solutions for large covariance matrices. The same framework has been generalized to empirical cross-covariance matrices, whose…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-22 Efstratios Manolakis , Christian Bongiorno , Rosario Nunzio Mantegna

Repeated measurements are common in many fields, where random variables are observed repeatedly across different subjects. Such data have an underlying hierarchical structure, and it is of interest to learn covariance/correlation at…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-13 Sunpeng Duan , Guo Yu , Juntao Duan , Yuedong Wang

We present a method for estimating sparse high-dimensional inverse covariance and partial correlation matrices, which exploits the connection between the inverse covariance matrix and linear regression. The method is a two-stage estimation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-13 Samuel Erickson , Tobias Rydén

This note discusses some of the aspects of a model for the covariance of equity returns based on a simple "isotropic" structure in which all pairwise correlations are taken to be the same value. The effect of the structure on feasible…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-29 Graham L. Giller

In this work, we study the positive definiteness (PDness) problem in covariance matrix estimation. For high dimensional data, many regularized estimators are proposed under structural assumptions on the true covariance matrix including…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-16 Young-Geun Choi , Johan Lim , Anindya Roy , Junyong Park

A highly popular regularized (shrinkage) covariance matrix estimator is the shrinkage sample covariance matrix (SCM) which shares the same set of eigenvectors as the SCM but shrinks its eigenvalues toward the grand mean of the eigenvalues…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-29 Esa Ollila , Daniel P. Palomar , Frédéric Pascal

We address the problem of structured covariance matrix estimation for radar space-time adaptive processing (STAP). A priori knowledge of the interference environment has been exploited in many previous works to enable accurate estimators…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-18 Bosung Kang , Vishal Monga , Muralidhar Rangaswamy , Yuri I. Abramovich

Covariance matrices estimated from short, noisy, and non-Gaussian financial time series are notoriously unstable. Empirical evidence suggests that such covariance structures often exhibit power-law scaling, reflecting complex, hierarchical…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-13 Andres Garcia-Medina

Robust and reliable covariance estimates play a decisive role in financial and many other applications. An important class of estimators is based on Factor models. Here, we show by extensive Monte Carlo simulations that covariance matrices…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Daniel Bartz , Kerr Hatrick , Christian W. Hesse , Klaus-Robert Müller , Steven Lemm

We consider the problem of predicting several response variables using the same set of explanatory variables. This setting naturally induces a group structure over the coefficient matrix, in which every explanatory variable corresponds to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-03 Aviv Navon , Saharon Rosset

The kernel trick concept, formulated as an inner product in a feature space, facilitates powerful extensions to many well-known algorithms. While the kernel matrix involves inner products in the feature space, the sample covariance matrix…

Computation · Statistics 2017-07-20 Tomer Lancewicki

Portfolio optimization requires sophisticated covariance estimators that are able to filter out estimation noise. Non-linear shrinkage is a popular estimator based on how the Oracle eigenvalues can be computed using only data from the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-14 Christian Bongiorno , Damien Challet

In this paper, we exploit the spiked covariance structure of the clutter plus noise covariance matrix for radar signal processing. Using state-of-the-art techniques high dimensional statistics, we propose a nonlinear shrinkage-based…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-07 Shashwat Jain , Vikram Krishnamurthy , Muralidhar Rangaswamy , Bosung Kang , Sandeep Gogineni

This paper is concerned with optimizing the global minimum-variance portfolio's (GMVP) weights in high-dimensional settings where both observation and population dimensions grow at a bounded ratio. Optimizing the GMVP weights is highly…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-13 Maaz Mahadi , Tarig Ballal , Muhammad Moinuddin , Tareq Y. Al-Naffouri , Ubaid Al-Saggaf