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Ensuring that predicted probabilities align with observed frequencies is critical in high-stakes domains such as clinical decision support, autonomous driving and financial risk assessment. Existing calibration methods typically apply a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Tomer Lavi , Bracha Shapira , Nadav Rappoport

Client heterogeneity poses significant challenges to the performance of Quantum Federated Learning (QFL). To overcome these limitations, we propose a new approach leveraging deep unfolding, which enables clients to autonomously optimize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-26 Shanika Iroshi Nanayakkara , Shiva Raj Pokhrel

Cluster randomized trials (CRTs) randomly assign an intervention to groups of individuals (e.g., clinics or communities) and measure outcomes on individuals in those groups. While offering many advantages, this experimental design…

Accuracies of survival models for life expectancy prediction as well as critical-care applications are significantly compromised due to the sparsity of samples and extreme imbalance between the survival (usually, the majority) and mortality…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-16 Kahkashan Afrin , Gurudev Illangovan , Sanjay S. Srivatsa , Satish T. S. Bukkapatnam

Estimating individualized treatment rules is a central task for personalized medicine. [zhao2012estimating] and [zhang2012robust] proposed outcome weighted learning to estimate individualized treatment rules directly through maximizing the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-02 Yifan Cui , Ruoqing Zhu , Michael Kosorok

The manuscript discusses how to incorporate random effects for quantile regression models for clustered data with focus on settings with many but small clusters. The paper has three contributions: (i) documenting that existing methods may…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-24 Maria Laura Battagliola , Helle Sørensen , Anders Tolver , Ana-Maria Staicu

Random forests is a common non-parametric regression technique which performs well for mixed-type data and irrelevant covariates, while being robust to monotonic variable transformations. Existing random forest implementations target…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-04 Taylor Pospisil , Ann B. Lee

In this paper, error estimates of classification Random Forests are quantitatively assessed. Based on the initial theoretical framework built by Bates et al. (2023), the true error rate and expected error rate are theoretically and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-09 Ian Krupkin , Johanna Hardin

We investigate different methods for regularizing quantile regression when predicting either a subset of quantiles or the full inverse CDF. We show that minimizing an expected pinball loss over a continuous distribution of quantiles is a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-11 Taman Narayan , Serena Wang , Kevin Canini , Maya Gupta

Predicting registration error can be useful for evaluation of registration procedures, which is important for the adoption of registration techniques in the clinic. In addition, quantitative error prediction can be helpful in improving the…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-05-21 Hessam Sokooti , Gorkem Saygili , Ben Glocker , Boudewijn P. F. Lelieveldt , Marius Staring

The robustness of the kernel recursive least square (KRLS) algorithm has recently been improved by combining them with more robust information-theoretic learning criteria, such as minimum error entropy (MEE) and generalized MEE (GMEE),…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-09-07 Jiacheng He , Gang Wang , Kun Zhang , Shan Zhong , Bei Peng

Random Forest (Breiman, 2001) is a successful and widely used regression and classification algorithm. Part of its appeal and reason for its versatility is its (implicit) construction of a kernel-type weighting function on training data,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-13 Domagoj Ćevid , Loris Michel , Jeffrey Näf , Nicolai Meinshausen , Peter Bühlmann

Uncertainty analysis in the form of probabilistic forecasting can significantly improve decision making processes in the smart power grid when integrating renewable energy sources such as wind. Whereas point forecasting provides a single…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-27 Kostas Hatalis , Alberto J. Lamadrid , Katya Scheinberg , Shalinee Kishore

In this paper we explore different regression models based on Clusterwise Linear Regression (CLR). CLR aims to find the partition of the data into $k$ clusters, such that linear regressions fitted to each of the clusters minimize overall…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-01 Igor Gitman , Jieshi Chen , Eric Lei , Artur Dubrawski

Surface roughness is a crucial factor influencing the performance and functionality of additive manufactured components. Accurate prediction of surface roughness is vital for optimizing manufacturing processes and ensuring the quality of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-04-27 Akshansh Mishra , Vijaykumar S. Jatti

We develop a method to generate prediction intervals that have a user-specified coverage level across all regions of feature-space, a property called conditional coverage. A typical approach to this task is to estimate the conditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-05 Shai Feldman , Stephen Bates , Yaniv Romano

This paper presents a novel ensemble learning approach called Residual Likelihood Forests (RLF). Our weak learners produce conditional likelihoods that are sequentially optimized using global loss in the context of previous learners within…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-05 Yan Zuo , Tom Drummond

Random forests are widely used in regression. However, the decision trees used as base learners are poor approximators of linear relationships. To address this limitation we propose RaFFLE (Random Forest Featuring Linear Extensions), a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-17 Jakob Raymaekers , Peter J. Rousseeuw , Thomas Servotte , Tim Verdonck , Ruicong Yao

Quantile regression (QR) relies on the estimation of conditional quantiles and explores the relationships between independent and dependent variables. At high probability levels, classical QR methods face extrapolation difficulties due to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-16 Lucien M. Vidagbandji , Alexandre Berred , Cyrille Bertelle , Laurent Amanton

In the current study we examine an application of the machine learning methods to model the retention constants in the thin layer chromatography (TLC). This problem can be described with hundreds or even thousands of descriptors relevant to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-20 Miron B. Kursa , Łukasz Komsta , Witold R. Rudnicki
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