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Interval censoring occurs when event times are only known to fall between scheduled assessments, a common design in clinical trials, epidemiology, and reliability studies. Standard right-censoring methods, such as Kaplan-Meier and Cox…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-04 J. T. Korley

Conformal prediction (CP) provides a framework for constructing prediction sets with guaranteed coverage, assuming exchangeable data. However, real-world scenarios often involve distribution shifts that violate exchangeability, leading to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Shadi Alijani , Homayoun Najjaran

We propose generalized random forests, a method for non-parametric statistical estimation based on random forests (Breiman, 2001) that can be used to fit any quantity of interest identified as the solution to a set of local moment…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-06 Susan Athey , Julie Tibshirani , Stefan Wager

This paper investigates the tunability of the Random Survival Forest (RSF) model in predictive maintenance, where accurate time-to-failure estimation is crucial. Although RSF is widely used due to its flexibility and ability to handle…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-03 Yigitcan Yardımcı , Mustafa Cavus

Random Forests (RFs) are widely used Machine Learning models in low-power embedded devices, due to their hardware friendly operation and high accuracy on practically relevant tasks. The accuracy of a RF often increases with the number of…

Click-through rate (CTR) prediction becomes indispensable in ubiquitous web recommendation applications. Nevertheless, the current methods are struggling under the cold-start scenarios where the user interactions are extremely sparse. We…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Yujie Pan , Jiangchao Yao , Bo Han , Kunyang Jia , Ya Zhang , Hongxia Yang

In this paper, I apply the decision theory and empirical Bayesian approach to construct confidence intervals for selected populations when true parameters follow a mixture prior distribution. A loss function with two tuning parameters $k_1$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-16 Zhigen Zhao

Conformal prediction is a technique for constructing prediction intervals that attain valid coverage in finite samples, without making distributional assumptions. Despite this appeal, existing conformal methods can be unnecessarily…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-09 Yaniv Romano , Evan Patterson , Emmanuel J. Candès

Censored quantile regression has emerged as a prominent alternative to classical Cox's proportional hazards model or accelerated failure time model in both theoretical and applied statistics. While quantile regression has been extensively…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-27 Taehwa Choi , Seohyeon Park , Hunyong Cho , Sangbum Choi

Machine learning (ML) algorithms become increasingly important in the analysis of astronomical data. However, since most ML algorithms are not designed to take data uncertainties into account, ML based studies are mostly restricted to data…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-12-26 Itamar Reis , Dalya Baron , Sahar Shahaf

Random cut forest (RCF) algorithms have been developed for anomaly detection, particularly in time series data. The RCF algorithm is an improved version of the isolation forest (IF) algorithm. Unlike the IF algorithm, the RCF algorithm can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-10 Sijin Yeom , Jae-Hun Jung

Random Forest has become one of the most popular tools for feature selection. Its ability to deal with high-dimensional data makes this algorithm especially useful for studies in neuroimaging and bioinformatics. Despite its popularity and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-10-13 Ender Konukoglu , Melanie Ganz

Monitoring changes inside a reservoir in real time is crucial for the success of CO2 injection and long-term storage. Machine learning (ML) is well-suited for real-time CO2 monitoring because of its computational efficiency. However, most…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-12-12 Yanhua Liu , Xitong Zhang , Ilya Tsvankin , Youzuo Lin

This paper introduces a novel framework for enhancing Random Forest classifiers by integrating probabilistic feature sampling and hyperparameter tuning via Simulated Annealing. The proposed framework exhibits substantial advancements in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Kowshik Balasubramanian , Andre Williams , Ismail Butun

Constrained reinforcement learning (RL) is an area of RL whose objective is to find an optimal policy that maximizes expected cumulative return while satisfying a given constraint. Most of the previous constrained RL works consider expected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Whiyoung Jung , Myungsik Cho , Jongeui Park , Youngchul Sung

Adapting machine learning algorithms to better handle the presence of clusters or batch effects within training datasets is important across a wide variety of biological applications. This article considers the effect of ensembling Random…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-01 Maya Ramchandran , Rajarshi Mukherjee , Giovanni Parmigiani

We develop Clustered Random Forests, a random forests algorithm for clustered data, arising from independent groups that exhibit within-cluster dependence. The leaf-wise predictions for each decision tree making up clustered random forests…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-26 Elliot H. Young , Peter Bühlmann

Variational quantum algorithms (VQAs) are leading strategies for using near-term quantum devices, with a well-studied bottleneck being their trainability. Standard expectation-value objectives with expressive circuits frequently encounter…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-05 Yixian Qiu , Josep Lumbreras , Xiufan Li , Patrick Rebentrost

We demonstrate that adaptively controlling the size of individual regression trees in a random forest can improve predictive performance, contrary to the conventional wisdom that trees should be fully grown. A fast pruning algorithm,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-15 Nikola Surjanovic , Andrew Henrey , Thomas M. Loughin

Quantifying predictive uncertainty is essential for safe and trustworthy real-world AI deployment. Yet, fully nonparametric estimation of conditional distributions remains challenging for multivariate targets. We propose Tomographic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Takuya Kanazawa