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We develop a methodology to create data-driven predictive digital twins for optimal risk-aware clinical decision-making. We illustrate the methodology as an enabler for an anticipatory personalized treatment that accounts for uncertainties…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Anirban Chaudhuri , Graham Pash , David A. Hormuth , Guillermo Lorenzo , Michael Kapteyn , Chengyue Wu , Ernesto A. B. F. Lima , Thomas E. Yankeelov , Karen Willcox

Cancer remains a leading cause of death worldwide, necessitating personalized treatment approaches to improve outcomes. Theranostics, combining molecular-level imaging with targeted therapy, offers potential for precision oncology but…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-05-16 Binesh Sadanandan , Vahid Behzadan

We consider the effects of parameter uncertainty on the optimal radiation schedule in the context of the linear-quadratic model. Our interest arises from the observation that if inter-patient variations in OAR and tumor sensitivities to…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-05 Hamidreza Badri , Yoichi Watanabe , Kevin Leder

For many years Phase I and Phase II clinical trials were conducted separately, but there was a recent shift to combine these Phases. While a variety of Phase~I/II model-based designs for cytotoxic agents were proposed in the literature,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-19 Pavel Mozgunov , Thomas Jaki

In Phase I/II dose-finding trials, the objective is to find the Optimal Biological Dose (OBD), a dose that is both safe and efficacious that maximises some optimality criterion based on safety and efficacy. This is further complicated when…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-31 Helen Barnett , Oliver Boix , Dimitris Kontos , Thomas Jaki

The challenge of removing cancerous cells lies in the limitation of organ at risk, which restricts the ability to increase the radiation dose adequately for enhancing treatment effectiveness. This survey provides a comprehensive overview of…

Medical Physics · Physics 2023-07-27 Amir Moslemi , Navid Khaledi

When a novel treatment has successfully passed phase I, different options to design subsequent phase II trials are available. One approach is a single-arm trial, comparing the response rate in the intervention group against a fixed…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-03 Johannes Krisam , Dorothea Weber , Richard F. Schlenk , Meinhard Kieser

We propose a new integrated phase I/II trial design to identify the most efficacious dose combination that also satisfies certain safety requirements for drug-combination trials. We first take a Bayesian copula-type model for dose finding…

Applications · Statistics 2011-08-09 Ying Yuan , Guosheng Yin

Drug optimization has become increasingly crucial in light of fast-mutating virus strains and drug-resistant cancer cells. Nevertheless, it remains challenging as it necessitates retaining the beneficial properties of the original drug…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-12 Xuefeng Liu , Songhao Jiang , Ian Foster , Jinbo Xu , Rick Stevens

A fundamental model of tumor growth in the presence of cytotoxic chemotherapeutic agents is formulated. The model allows to study the role of the Norton-Simon hypothesis in the context of dose-dense chemotherapy. Dose-dense protocols aim at…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-05 Álvaro G. López , Kelly C. Iarosz , Antonio M. Batista , Jesús M. Seoane , Ricardo L. Viana , Miguel A. F. Sanjuán

Clinical trials are vital for evaluation of safety and efficacy of new treatments. However, clinical trials are resource-intensive, time-consuming and expensive to conduct, where errors in trial design, reduced efficacy, and safety events…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Trisha Das , Afrah Shafquat , Beigi Mandis , Jacob Aptekar , Jimeng Sun

In this paper, a methodology is proposed that enables to analyze the sensitivity of the outcome of a therapy to unavoidable high dispersion of the patient specific parameters on one hand and to the choice of the parameters that define the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-17 Mazen Alamir

While directly fine-tuning (FT) large-scale, pretrained models on task-specific data is well-known to induce strong in-distribution task performance, recent works have demonstrated that different adaptation protocols, such as linear probing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-27 Puja Trivedi , Danai Koutra , Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan

Interval designs are a class of phase I trial designs for which the decision of dose assignment is determined by comparing the observed toxicity rate at the current dose with a prespecified (toxicity tolerance) interval. If the observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-20 Suyu Liu , Ying Yuan

In this work, we propose a Machine Learning model that generates an adjustable 3D dose distribution for external beam radiation therapy for head-and-neck cancer treatments. In contrast to existing Machine Learning methods that provide a…

An important objective in the development of targeted therapies is to identify the populations where the treatment under consideration has positive benefit risk balance. We consider pivotal clinical trials, where the efficacy of a treatment…

A mathematical model for time development of metastases and their distribution in size and carrying capacity is presented. The model is used to theoretically investigate anti-cancer therapies such as surgery and chemical treatments…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2013-06-21 Sebastien Benzekry , Dominique Barbolosi , Assia Benabdallah , Florence Hubert , Philip Hahnfeldt

Personalized cancer treatment requires a thorough understanding of complex interactions between drugs and cancer cell lines in varying genetic and molecular contexts. To address this, high-throughput screening has been used to generate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-03 Vishal Dey , Xia Ning

With increasing interest in adaptive clinical trial designs, challenges are present to drug supply chain management which may offset the benefit of adaptive designs. Thus, it is necessary to develop an optimization tool to facilitate the…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-16 Jincheng Pang , Hong Yan , Zoe Hua

Uplift modeling is crucial in various applications ranging from marketing and policy-making to personalized recommendations. The main objective is to learn optimal treatment allocations for a heterogeneous population. A primary line of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-20 Preetam Nandy , Xiufan Yu , Wanjun Liu , Ye Tu , Kinjal Basu , Shaunak Chatterjee