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Conformal prediction is a model-agnostic approach to generating prediction sets that cover the true class with a high probability. Although its prediction set size is expected to capture aleatoric uncertainty, there is a lack of evidence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-24 Misgina Tsighe Hagos , Claes Lundström

Neural networks are powerful tools in various applications, and quantifying their uncertainty is crucial for reliable decision-making. In the deep learning field, the uncertainties are usually categorized into aleatoric (data) and epistemic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-21 Wang Zhang , Ziwen Ma , Subhro Das , Tsui-Wei Weng , Alexandre Megretski , Luca Daniel , Lam M. Nguyen

The consideration of predictive uncertainty in medical imaging with deep learning is of utmost importance. We apply estimation of both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty by variational Bayesian inference with Monte Carlo dropout to…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-27 Max-Heinrich Laves , Sontje Ihler , Jacob F. Fast , Lüder A. Kahrs , Tobias Ortmaier

In various situations one is given only the predictions of multiple classifiers over a large unlabeled test data. This scenario raises the following questions: Without any labeled data and without any a-priori knowledge about the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-31 Ariel Jaffe , Boaz Nadler , Yuval Kluger

In supervised learning, we typically leverage a fully labeled dataset to design methods for function estimation or prediction. In many practical situations, we are able to obtain alternative feedback, possibly at a low cost. A broad goal is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-27 Yichong Xu , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Aarti Singh , Artur Dubrawski

Class imbalance poses a significant challenge in classification tasks, where traditional approaches often lead to biased models and unreliable predictions. Undersampling and oversampling techniques have been commonly employed to address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Matt Clifford , Jonathan Erskine , Alexander Hepburn , Raúl Santos-Rodríguez , Dario Garcia-Garcia

Accurate sensor placement is critical for modeling spatio-temporal systems such as environmental and climate processes. Neural Processes (NPs), particularly Convolutional Conditional Neural Processes (ConvCNPs), provide scalable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Feyza Eksen , Stefan Oehmcke , Stefan Lüdtke

In real-world clinical settings, data distributions evolve over time, with a continuous influx of new, limited disease cases. Therefore, class incremental learning is of great significance, i.e., deep learning models are required to learn…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Yifei Yao , Hanrong Zhang

Active learning (AL) has found wide applications in medical image segmentation, aiming to alleviate the annotation workload and enhance performance. Conventional uncertainty-based AL methods, such as entropy and Bayesian, often rely on an…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-01-30 Siteng Ma , Haochang Wu , Aonghus Lawlor , Ruihai Dong

A central problem in business concerns the optimal allocation of limited resources to a set of available tasks, where the payoff of these tasks is inherently uncertain. In credit card fraud detection, for instance, a bank can only assign a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-10 Toon Vanderschueren , Bart Baesens , Tim Verdonck , Wouter Verbeke

Empirical analyses of ordinal outcomes using repeated cross-sectional data rely on marginal distributions, leaving the joint distribution unobserved and the sources of distributional change unidentified. This paper develops a framework to…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-28 Rami V. Tabri

Classification of ordinal data is one of the most important tasks of relation learning. In this thesis a novel framework for ordered classes is proposed. The technique reduces the problem of classifying ordered classes to the standard…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Jaime S. Cardoso

This paper tackles the challenge of detecting unreliable behavior in regression algorithms, which may arise from intrinsic variability (e.g., aleatoric uncertainty) or modeling errors (e.g., model uncertainty). First, we formally introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Andres Altieri , Marco Romanelli , Georg Pichler , Florence Alberge , Pablo Piantanida

Model inadequacy and measurement uncertainty are two of the most confounding aspects of inference and prediction in quantitative sciences. The process of scientific inference (the inverse problem) and prediction (the forward problem)…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-11-30 Amir Shahmoradi

In many real-world pattern recognition scenarios, such as in medical applications, the corresponding classification tasks can be of an imbalanced nature. In the current study, we focus on binary, imbalanced classification tasks, i.e.~binary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Peter Bellmann , Heinke Hihn , Daniel A. Braun , Friedhelm Schwenker

Active Learning (AL) is increasingly important in a broad range of applications. Two main AL principles to obtain accurate classification with few labeled data are refinement of the current decision boundary and exploration of poorly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-10-19 Jens Roeder , Boaz Nadler , Kevin Kunzmann , Fred A. Hamprecht

The precision of contouring target structures and organs-at-risk (OAR) in radiotherapy planning is crucial for ensuring treatment efficacy and patient safety. Recent advancements in deep learning (DL) have significantly improved OAR…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-30 Marvin Tom Teichmann , Manasi Datar , Lisa Kratzke , Fernando Vega , Florin C. Ghesu

In machine learning, classification tasks serve as the cornerstone of a wide range of real-world applications. Reliable, trustworthy classification is particularly intricate in biomedical settings, where the ground truth is often inherently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Aina Tersol Montserrat , Alexander R. Loftus , Yael Daihes

Universal anomaly detection still remains a challenging problem in machine learning and medical image analysis. It is possible to learn an expected distribution from a single class of normative samples, e.g., through epistemic uncertainty…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-03 Johanna P. Müller , Matthew Baugh , Jeremy Tan , Mischa Dombrowski , Bernhard Kainz

Despite AI's impressive achievements, including recent advances in generative and large language models, there remains a significant gap in the ability of AI systems to handle uncertainty and generalize beyond their training data. AI models…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Shireen Kudukkil Manchingal , Andrew Bradley , Julian F. P. Kooij , Keivan Shariatmadar , Neil Yorke-Smith , Fabio Cuzzolin
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