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Machine learning can significantly improve performance for decision-making under uncertainty across a wide range of domains. However, ensuring robustness guarantees requires well-calibrated uncertainty estimates, which can be difficult to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Christopher Yeh , Nicolas Christianson , Alan Wu , Adam Wierman , Yisong Yue

Supply chain management (SCM) has been recognized as an important discipline with applications to many industries, where the two-echelon stochastic inventory model, involving one downstream retailer and one upstream supplier, plays a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Mengxiao Zhang , Shi Chen , Haipeng Luo , Yingfei Wang

Accurately modeling the production of new ideas is crucial for innovation theory and endogenous growth models. This paper provides a comprehensive methodological survey of strategies for estimating idea production functions. We explore…

General Economics · Economics 2024-05-20 Ege Erdil , Tamay Besiroglu , Anson Ho

In cases of uncertainty, a multi-class classifier preferably returns a set of candidate classes instead of predicting a single class label with little guarantee. More precisely, the classifier should strive for an optimal balance between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-28 Thomas Mortier , Marek Wydmuch , Krzysztof Dembczyński , Eyke Hüllermeier , Willem Waegeman

In this paper, we address the task of setting up an optimal production plan taking into account an uncertain demand. The energy system is represented by a system of hyperbolic partial differential equations (PDEs) and the uncertain demand…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-13 Simone Göttlich , Oliver Kolb , Kerstin Lux

In this paper we study a continuous time stochastic inventory model for a commodity traded in the spot market and whose supply purchase is affected by price and demand uncertainty. A firm aims at meeting a random demand of the commodity at…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-06-12 Maria B. Chiarolla , Giorgio Ferrari , Gabriele Stabile

The assortment planning problem is a central piece in the revenue management strategy of any company in the retail industry. In this paper, we study a robust assortment optimization problem for substitutable products under a sequential…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Saharnaz Mehrani , Jorge A. Sefair

We can overcome uncertainty with uncertainty. Using randomness in our choices and in what we control, and hence in the decision making process, could potentially offset the uncertainty inherent in the environment and yield better outcomes.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-10-06 Ravi Kashyap

Globally operating suppliers face the rising challenge of wholesale pricing under scarce data about retail demand, in contrast to better informed, locally operating retailers. At the same time, as local businesses proliferate, markets…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-07-19 Costis Melolidakis , Stefanos Leonardos , Constandina Koki

This paper considers a stochastic production planning problem with regime switching. There are two regimes corresponding to different economic cycles. A factory is planning its production so as to minimize production costs. We analyze this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-26 Elena Cristina Canepa , Dragos-Patru Covei , Traian A. Pirvu

The presence of variable renewable energy resources with uncertain outputs in day-ahead electricity markets results in additional balancing needs in real-time. Addressing those needs cost-effectively and reliably within a competitive market…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-23 Elina Spyrou , Qiwei Zhang , Robin B. Hytowitz , Ben F. Hobbs , Siddharth Tyagi , Mengmeng Cai , Michael Blonsky

We consider data-driven inventory and pricing decisions in the feature-based newsvendor problem, where demand is influenced by both price and contextual features and is modeled without any structural assumptions. The unknown demand…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-14 Shijin Gong , Huihang Liu , Xinyu Zhang

Proceeding from the concept of rational expectations, a new dynamic model of supply and demand in a single market with one supplier, one buyer, and one kind of commodity is developed. Unlike the cob-web dynamic theories with adaptive…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 V. Granik , A. Granik

We study the warehouse problem, arising in the area of inventory management and production planning. Here, a merchant wants to decide an optimal trading policy that computes quantities of a single commodity to purchase, store and sell…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-01-22 Ishan Bansal , Oktay Günlük

A central problem in business concerns the optimal allocation of limited resources to a set of available tasks, where the payoff of these tasks is inherently uncertain. In credit card fraud detection, for instance, a bank can only assign a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-10 Toon Vanderschueren , Bart Baesens , Tim Verdonck , Wouter Verbeke

We study the problem of forecasting the number of units fulfilled (or ``drained'') from each inventory warehouse to meet customer demand, along with the associated outbound shipping costs. The actual drain and shipping costs are determined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Riccardo Savorgnan , Udaya Ghai , Carson Eisenach , Dean Foster

Stochastic choice-based discrete planning is a broad class of decision-making problems characterized by a sequential decision-making process involving a planner and a group of customers. The firm or planner first decides a subset of options…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-20 Jiajie Zhang , Yun Hui Lin , Gerardo Berbeglia

Mathematical programming formulations of influence diagrams can bridge the gap between representing and solving decision problems. However, they suffer from both modeling and computational limitations. Aiming to address modeling…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-19 Olli Herrala , Tommi Ekholm , Fabricio Oliveira

This paper considers endogenous uncertainty (EnU) in the stochastic economic dispatch (SED) problem, where the endogenous uncertainty means decision dependent uncertainty. In this problem, demand response (DR) commitment is the source of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-01 Nasrin Bayat , Qifeng Li , Joon-Hyuk Park

We consider a strategic decision-making problem where a logistics provider (LP) seeks to locate collection and delivery points (CDPs) with the objective to reduce total logistics costs. The customers maximize utility that depends on their…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-09 David Pinzon Ulloa , Ammar Metnani , Emma Frejinger