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We consider a branching random walk on a multi($Q$)-type, supercritical Galton-Watson tree which satisfies Kesten-Stigum condition. We assume that the displacements associated with the particles of type $Q$ have regularly varying tails of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Ayan Bhattacharya , Krishanu Maulik , Zbigniew Palmowski , Parthanil Roy

This contribution describes a search for the associated production of Standard Model vector bosons WZ where the W boson decays leptonically (W->l nu) and the Z boson decays to a heavy flavor quark pair (Z->b b-bar,c c-bar). At least one…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2019-08-13 Federico Sforza

Motivated by a recently proposed design for a DNA coded randomised algorithm that enables inference of the average generation of a collection of cells descendent from a common progenitor, here we establish strong convergence properties for…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-12 Gianfelice Meli , Tom S. Weber , Ken R. Duffy

In this paper, we study finite-sample properties of the least squares estimator in first order autoregressive processes. By leveraging a result from decoupling theory, we derive upper bounds on the probability that the estimate deviates by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Rodrigo A. González , Cristian R. Rojas

In this paper the asymptotic behavior of the conditional least squares estimators of the offspring mean matrix for a 2-type critical positively regular Galton-Watson branching process with immigration is described.We also study this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-10 Kristóf Körmendi , Gyula Pap

In this paper, we first form a method to calculate the probability generating function of the total progeny of multitype branching process. As examples, we calculate probability generating function of the total progeny of the multitype…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-01 Wang Huaming

Branching processes $(Z_n)_{n \ge 0}$ in a varying environment generalize the Galton-Watson process, in that they allow time-dependence of the offspring distribution. Our main results concern general criteria for a.s. extinction,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Götz Kersting

Approximate inference techniques are the cornerstone of probabilistic methods based on Gaussian process priors. Despite this, most work approximately optimizes standard divergence measures such as the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-06 Rui Zhang , Christian J. Walder , Edwin V. Bonilla , Marian-Andrei Rizoiu , Lexing Xie

This paper is a continuation of work arXiv:2006.09583 devoted to establishment of the convergence rate in the strong invariance principle for cumulative processes. We establish optimal rate of convergence for the case when regeneration…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-31 Elena Bashtova , Alexey Shashkin

Consider a random walk in random environment on a supercritical Galton--Watson tree, and let $\tau_n$ be the hitting time of generation $n$. The paper presents a large deviation principle for $\tau_n/n$, both in quenched and annealed cases.…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-11 Elie Aidekon

Birth-and-death processes are widely used to model the development of biological populations. Although they are relatively simple models, their parameters can be challenging to estimate, because the likelihood can become numerically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-26 Anthony C. Davison , Sophie Hautphenne , Andrea Kraus

We study deviation probabilities for the number of high positioned particles in branching Brownian motion, and confirm a conjecture of Derrida and Shi (2016). We also solve the corresponding problem for the two-dimensional discrete Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-22 Elie Aïdékon , Yueyun Hu , Zhan Shi

In the theory of lossy compression, the rate-distortion (R-D) function $R(D)$ describes how much a data source can be compressed (in bit-rate) at any given level of fidelity (distortion). Obtaining $R(D)$ for a given data source establishes…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Yibo Yang , Stephan Eckstein , Marcel Nutz , Stephan Mandt

We consider the problem of estimating the elapsed time since the most recent common ancestor of a finite random sample drawn from a population which has evolved through a Bienayme-Galton-Watson branching process. More specifically, we are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-04 Conrad J. Burden , Albert C. Soewongsono

Multi-type inhomogeneous Galton--Watson process with immigration is investigated, where the offspring mean matrix slowly converges to a critical mean matrix. Under general conditions we obtain limit distribution for the process, where the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-31 László Györfi , Márton Ispány , Péter Kevei , Gyula Pap

This paper proposes a novel scheme for reduced-rank Gaussian process regression. The method is based on an approximate series expansion of the covariance function in terms of an eigenfunction expansion of the Laplace operator in a compact…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-26 Arno Solin , Simo Särkkä

We study estimation of the intercept parameter in an integrated Galton-Watson process, a basic building-block for many count-valued time series models. In this unit root setting, the ordinary least squares estimator is inconsistent, whereas…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Yang Lu

This paper concentrates on the limit behavior of discrete-time branching process with circular mechanism. Three types of limit behaviour of discrete-time branching process with circular mechanism are given explicitly under various moment…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Junping Li , Mixuan Hou

Gaussian process (GP) methods have been widely studied recently, especially for large-scale systems with big data and even more extreme cases when data is sparse. Key advantages of these methods consist in: 1) the ability to provide…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-13 Chenyi Lyu , Xingchi Liu , Lyudmila Mihaylova

This paper studies sampling error bounds for denoising diffusion probabilistic models (DDPMs) in the 2-Wasserstein distance. Our contributions are threefold. (i) Under general Lipschitz-type conditions on the score function and for a broad…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Yuta Koike