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Generalization under distribution shift remains a core challenge in modern machine learning, yet existing learning bound theory is limited to narrow, idealized settings and is non-estimable from samples. In this paper, we bridge the gap…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-25 Hongbo Chen , Li Charlie Xia

Dealing with distribution shifts is one of the central challenges for modern machine learning. One fundamental situation is the covariate shift, where the input distributions of data change from training to testing stages while the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Yu-Jie Zhang , Zhen-Yu Zhang , Peng Zhao , Masashi Sugiyama

Contextual stochastic optimization is an advanced methodology to model uncertainty in the presence of contextual information during decision planning processes. Although classical methodologies focus on minimizing the expectation of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Man Yiu Tsang , Tony Sit , Hoi Ying Wong

We investigate the problem of jointly testing a pair of composite hypotheses and, depending on the test result, estimating a random parameter under distributional uncertainties. Specifically, it is assumed that the distribution of the data…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-27 Dominik Reinhard , Michael Fauß , Abdelhak M. Zoubir

Although adaptive optimization algorithms have been successful in many applications, there are still some mysteries in terms of convergence analysis that have not been unraveled. This paper provides a novel non-convex analysis of adaptive…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-08 Zhishuai Guo , Yi Xu , Wotao Yin , Rong Jin , Tianbao Yang

Change-point analysis has been successfully applied to the detect changes in multivariate data streams over time. In many applications, when data are observed over a graph/network, change does not occur simultaneously but instead spread…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Hanqing Cai , Tengyao Wang

We study the minmax optimization problem introduced in [22] for computing policies for batch mode reinforcement learning in a deterministic setting. First, we show that this problem is NP-hard. In the two-stage case, we provide two…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2012-10-31 Raphael Fonteneau , Damien Ernst , Bernard Boigelot , Quentin Louveaux

This paper reviews recent developments in fundamental limits and optimal algorithms for change point analysis. We focus on minimax optimal rates in change point detection and localisation, in both parametric and nonparametric models. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-04 Yi Yu

We study a variant of a recently introduced min-max optimization framework where the max-player is constrained to update its parameters in a greedy manner until it reaches a first-order stationary point. Our equilibrium definition for this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-04 Vijay Keswani , Oren Mangoubi , Sushant Sachdeva , Nisheeth K. Vishnoi

One of the most important problems in system identification and statistics is how to estimate the unknown parameters of a given model. Optimization methods and specialized procedures, such as Empirical Minimization (EM) can be used in case…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-09 Braghadeesh Lakshminarayanan , Cristian R. Rojas

Stochastic optimization problems often involve data distributions that change in reaction to the decision variables. This is the case for example when members of the population respond to a deployed classifier by manipulating their features…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy , Lin Xiao

We study minimax testing in a statistical inverse problem when the associated operator is unknown. In particular, we consider observations from an inverse Gaussian regression model where the associated operator is unknown but contained in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Clément Marteau , Theofanis Sapatinas

This work studies the computational aspects of multivariate convex regression in dimensions $d \ge 5$. Our results include the \emph{first} estimators that are minimax optimal (up to logarithmic factors) with polynomial runtime in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Gil Kur , Eli Putterman

Quantile estimation in deconvolution problems is studied comprehensively. In particular, the more realistic setup of unknown error distributions is covered. Our plug-in method is based on a deconvolution density estimator and is minimax…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-18 Itai Dattner , Markus Reiß , Mathias Trabs

A two-stage batch estimation algorithm for solving a class of nonlinear, static parameter estimation problems that appear in aerospace engineering applications is proposed. It is shown how these problems can be recast into a form suitable…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-18 Kerry Sun , Demoz Gebre-Egziabher

We consider the problem of estimating confidence intervals for the mean of a random variable, where the goal is to produce the smallest possible interval for a given number of samples. While minimax optimal algorithms are known for this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-19 Shengjia Zhao , Christopher Yeh , Stefano Ermon

Two-time-scale stochastic approximation is a popular iterative method for finding the solution of a system of two equations. Such methods have found broad applications in many areas, especially in machine learning and reinforcement…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-24 Thinh T. Doan , Justin Romberg

This paper proposes a statistically optimal approach for learning a function value using a confidence interval in a wide range of models, including general non-parametric estimation of an expected loss described as a stochastic programming…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-07 Arnab Ganguly , Tobias Sutter

Fluid approximation is a widely used approach for solving two-stage stochastic optimization problems, with broad applications in service system design such as call centers and healthcare operations. However, replacing the underlying random…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-19 Can Er , Mo Liu

Machine learning models have traditionally been developed under the assumption that the training and test distributions match exactly. However, recent success in few-shot learning and related problems are encouraging signs that these models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-15 James Lucas , Mengye Ren , Irene Kameni , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel