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We consider nonparametric regression under covariate shift, where we observe samples from both the target distribution and a related but distinct source distribution. We introduce a novel object, the transfer function, and show that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Petr Zamolodtchikov

A default assumption in many machine learning scenarios is that the training and test samples are drawn from the same probability distribution. However, such an assumption is often violated in the real world due to non-stationarity of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Tianyi Zhang , Ikko Yamane , Nan Lu , Masashi Sugiyama

The performance of decision policies and prediction models often deteriorates when applied to environments different from the ones seen during training. To ensure reliable operation, we analyze the stability of a system under distribution…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-13 Hongseok Namkoong , Yuanzhe Ma , Peter W. Glynn

Transfer learning is essential when sufficient data comes from the source domain, with scarce labeled data from the target domain. We develop estimators that achieve minimax linear risk for linear regression problems under distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-24 Qi Lei , Wei Hu , Jason D. Lee

We study nonparametric regression under covariate shift with structured data, where a small amount of labeled target data is supplemented by a large labeled source dataset. In many real-world settings, the covariates in the target domain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-02 Yuyao Wang , Nabarun Deb , Debarghya Mukherjee

Stochastic minimax optimization has drawn much attention over the past decade due to its broad applications in machine learning, signal processing and game theory. In some applications, the probability distribution of uncertainty depends on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-17 Yan Gao , Yongchao Liu , Zili Luo

The main challenge that sets transfer learning apart from traditional supervised learning is the distribution shift, reflected as the shift between the source and target models and that between the marginal covariate distributions. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-02 Zelin He , Ying Sun , Jingyuan Liu , Runze Li

The concept of a minimax classifier is well-established in statistical decision theory, but its implementation via neural networks remains challenging, particularly in scenarios with imbalanced training data having a limited number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Hansung Choi , Daewon Seo

This paper proposes a new algorithm -- the \underline{S}ingle-timescale Do\underline{u}ble-momentum \underline{St}ochastic \underline{A}pprox\underline{i}matio\underline{n} (SUSTAIN) -- for tackling stochastic unconstrained bilevel…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-16 Prashant Khanduri , Siliang Zeng , Mingyi Hong , Hoi-To Wai , Zhaoran Wang , Zhuoran Yang

We develop an approach for estimating models described via conditional moment restrictions, with a prototypical application being non-parametric instrumental variable regression. We introduce a min-max criterion function, under which the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-15 Nishanth Dikkala , Greg Lewis , Lester Mackey , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Consider a remote estimation problem where a sensor wants to communicate the state of an uncertain source to a remote estimator over a finite time horizon. The uncertain source is modeled as an autoregressive process with bounded noise.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-02-12 Mukul Gagrani , Yi Ouyang , Mohammad Rasouli , Ashutosh Nayyar

A typical assumption in supervised machine learning is that the train (source) and test (target) datasets follow completely the same distribution. This assumption is, however, often violated in uncertain real-world applications, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-17 Masahiro Nomura , Yuta Saito

This paper studies transfer learning for estimating the mean of random functions based on discretely sampled data, where, in addition to observations from the target distribution, auxiliary samples from similar but distinct source…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-29 T. Tony Cai , Dongwoo Kim , Hongming Pu

A common pursuit in modern statistical learning is to attain satisfactory generalization out of the source data distribution (OOD). In theory, the challenge remains unsolved even under the canonical setting of covariate shift for the linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-14 Yuanshi Liu , Haihan Zhang , Qian Chen , Cong Fang

Transfer learning for nonparametric regression is considered. We first study the non-asymptotic minimax risk for this problem and develop a novel estimator called the confidence thresholding estimator, which is shown to achieve the minimax…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-24 T. Tony Cai , Hongming Pu

Machine learning systems often experience a distribution shift between training and testing. In this paper, we introduce a simple variational objective whose optima are exactly the set of all representations on which risk minimizers are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-16 Yangjun Ruan , Yann Dubois , Chris J. Maddison

We consider a discrete time stochastic queueing system where a controller makes a 2-stage decision every slot. The decision at the first stage reveals a hidden source of randomness with a control-dependent (but unknown) probability…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2009-02-05 Michael J. Neely

Two-stage stochastic optimization is a framework for modeling uncertainty, where we have a probability distribution over possible realizations of the data, called scenarios, and decisions are taken in two stages: we make first-stage…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Andre Linhares , Chaitanya Swamy

In modern machine learning, users often have to collaborate to learn the distribution of the data. Communication can be a significant bottleneck. Prior work has studied homogeneous users -- i.e., whose data follow the same discrete…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-12 Xinmeng Huang , Donghwan Lee , Edgar Dobriban , Hamed Hassani

In massive data analysis, training and testing data often come from very different sources, and their probability distributions are not necessarily identical. A feature example is nonparametric classification in posterior drift model where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Ruiqi Liu , Kexuan Li , Zuofeng Shang
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