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Recent studies have proposed causal machine learning (CML) methods to estimate conditional average treatment effects (CATEs). In this study, I investigate whether CML methods add value compared to conventional CATE estimators by…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-07 Anthony Strittmatter

We develop a novel approach to tackle the common but challenging problem of conformal inference for missing data in machine learning, focusing on Missing at Random (MAR) data. We propose a new procedure Conformal prediction for Missing data…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-22 Wenlu Tang , Hongni Wang , Xingcai Zhou , Bei Jiang , Linglong Kong

Target trial emulation (TTE) enables causal questions to be studied with observational data when randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are infeasible. Yet treatment-effect methods often address causal estimation, missingness, and temporal…

Causal Machine Learning (CausalML) is an umbrella term for machine learning methods that formalize the data-generation process as a structural causal model (SCM). This perspective enables us to reason about the effects of changes to this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Jean Kaddour , Aengus Lynch , Qi Liu , Matt J. Kusner , Ricardo Silva

Disentangled representation learning (DRL) aims to identify and decompose underlying factors behind observations, thus facilitating data perception and generation. However, current DRL approaches often rely on the unrealistic assumption…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Baao Xie , Qiuyu Chen , Yunnan Wang , Zequn Zhang , Xin Jin , Wenjun Zeng

Disentangled Representation Learning (DRL) aims to learn a model capable of identifying and disentangling the underlying factors hidden in the observable data in representation form. The process of separating underlying factors of variation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Xin Wang , Hong Chen , Si'ao Tang , Zihao Wu , Wenwu Zhu

The cumulative incidence is the probability of failure from the cause of interest over a certain time period in the presence of other risks. A semiparametric regression model proposed by Fine and Gray (1999) has become the method of choice…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-02 Lu Mao , D. Y. Lin

The partitioning of data for estimation and calibration critically impacts the performance of propensity score based estimators like inverse probability weighting (IPW) and double/debiased machine learning (DML) frameworks. We extend recent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-20 Sven Klaassen , Jan Rabenseifner , Jannis Kueck , Philipp Bach

Model-based Reinforcement Learning (RL) is a popular learning paradigm due to its potential sample efficiency compared to model-free RL. However, existing empirical model-based RL approaches lack the ability to explore. This work studies a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Yuda Song , Wen Sun

Scaling laws have allowed Pre-trained Language Models (PLMs) into the field of causal reasoning. Causal reasoning of PLM relies solely on text-based descriptions, in contrast to causal discovery which aims to determine the causal…

Economists often estimate continuous treatment effects in panel data using linear two-way fixed effects models (TWFE). When the treatment-outcome relationship is nonlinear, TWFE is misspecifed and potentially biased for the average partial…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-14 Sylvia Klosin , Max Vilgalys

Deep Metric Learning (DML) is a group of techniques that aim to measure the similarity between objects through the neural network. Although the number of DML methods has rapidly increased in recent years, most previous studies cannot…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-02 Chenkang Zhang , Lei Luo , Bin Gu

Tabular data have been playing a mostly important role in diverse real-world fields, such as healthcare, engineering, finance, etc. With the recent success of deep learning, many tabular machine learning (ML) methods based on deep networks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Hangting Ye , Wei Fan , Xiaozhuang Song , Shun Zheng , He Zhao , Dandan Guo , Yi Chang

Doubly Robust (DR) estimation of treatment effect relies on an untestable assumption that is the absence of unobserved confounding. This assumption is par- ticularly problematic in the context of healthcare research, where variables like…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-07 Sahil Shikalgar , Md. Noor-E-Alam

Double Machine Learning is widely used to estimate causal treatment effects in large-scale observational data. The ``residuals-on-residuals'' regression estimator (RORR) is especially popular for its simplicity and computational…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-27 Apoorva Lal , Winston Chou

Temporal link prediction is crucial for rapidly growing social networks. Existing methods often overlook the underlying causal mechanisms that drive link formation, making it difficult for algorithms to adapt to complex structures that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Hantong Feng , Duxin Chen , Wenwu Yu

Referring Expression Comprehension (REC) aims to localize an image region of a given object described by a natural-language expression. While promising performance has been demonstrated, existing REC algorithms make a strong assumption that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Heng Tao Shen , Cheng Chen , Peng Wang , Lianli Gao , Meng Wang , Jingkuan Song

The motivations of users to make interactions can be divided into static preference and dynamic interest. To accurately model user representations over time, recent studies in sequential recommendation utilize information propagation and…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Qingtian Bian , Jiaxing Xu , Hui Fang , Yiping Ke

Causal Temporal Representation Learning (Ctrl) methods aim to identify the temporal causal dynamics of complex nonstationary temporal sequences. Despite the success of existing Ctrl methods, they require either directly observing the domain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-06 Xiangchen Song , Zijian Li , Guangyi Chen , Yujia Zheng , Yewen Fan , Xinshuai Dong , Kun Zhang

Temporal knowledge graph reasoning (TKGR) is increasingly gaining attention for its ability to extrapolate new events from historical data, thereby enriching the inherently incomplete temporal knowledge graphs. Existing graph-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-27 Jinze Sun , Yongpan Sheng , Lirong He , Yongbin Qin , Ming Liu , Tao Jia