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In this article we study post-model selection estimators that apply ordinary least squares (OLS) to the model selected by first-step penalized estimators, typically Lasso. It is well known that Lasso can estimate the nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-21 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov

We provide a principled way for investigators to analyze randomized experiments when the number of covariates is large. Investigators often use linear multivariate regression to analyze randomized experiments instead of simply reporting the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-08 Adam Bloniarz , Hanzhong Liu , Cun-Hui Zhang , Jasjeet Sekhon , Bin Yu

This note develops a simple two-stage least squares (2SLS) procedure to estimate the causal effect of some endogenous regressors on a randomly right censored outcome in the linear model. The proposal replaces the usual ordinary least…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-12 Jad Beyhum

Scientists have been interested in estimating causal peer effects to understand how people's behaviors are affected by their network peers. However, it is well known that identification and estimation of causal peer effects are challenging…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-07 Naoki Egami , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

In contrast to problems of interference in (exogenous) treatments, models of interference in unit-specific (endogenous) outcomes do not usually produce a reduced-form representation where outcomes depend on other units' treatment status…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-17 Konrad Menzel

Network interference occurs when treatments assigned to some units affect the outcomes of others. Traditional approaches often assume that the observed network correctly specifies the interference structure. However, in practice,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Bar Weinstein , Daniel Nevo

This paper combines causal mediation analysis with double machine learning to control for observed confounders in a data-driven way under a selection-on-observables assumption in a high-dimensional setting. We consider the average indirect…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-17 Helmut Farbmacher , Martin Huber , Lukáš Lafférs , Henrika Langen , Martin Spindler

In this paper, we analyze the effects of random sampling on adaptive diffusion networks. These networks consist in a collection of nodes that can measure and process data, and that can communicate with each other to pursue a common goal of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-27 Daniel G. Tiglea , Renato Candido , Magno T. M. Silva

We discuss techniques of estimation and inference for nonstationary nonlinear cohort panels with learning from experience, showing, inter alia, the consistency and asymptotic normality of the nonlinear least squares estimator used in…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-07 Alexander Mayer , Michael Massmann

Completely randomized experiments, originally developed by Fisher and Neyman in the 1930s, are still widely used in practice, even in online experimentation. However, such designs are of limited value for answering standard questions in…

In randomized experiments, interactions between units might generate a treatment diffusion process. This is common when the treatment of interest is an actual object or product that can be shared among peers (e.g., flyers, booklets,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-17 Costanza Tortú , Irene Crimaldi , Fabrizia Mealli , Laura Forastiere

The machine learning community has recently devoted much attention to the problem of inferring causal relationships from statistical data. Most of this work has focused on uncovering connections among scalar random variables. We generalize…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-07-10 Doris Entner , Patrik O. Hoyer

Unmeasured confounding and selection bias are often of concern in observational studies and may invalidate a causal analysis if not appropriately accounted for. Under outcome-dependent sampling, a latent factor that has causal effects on…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-03 Kendrick Qijun Li , Xu Shi , Wang Miao , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

This study investigated the problem posed by using ordinary least squares (OLS) to estimate parameters of simple linear regression under a specific context of special relativity, where an independent variable is restricted to an open…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-06-01 Si Hyung Joo

In this paper, an algorithm for estimation and compensation of second-order nonlinearity in wireless sensor setwork (WSN) in distributed estimation framework is proposed. First, the effect of second-order nonlinearity on the performance of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-19 Hadi Zayyani , Mehdi Korki

This paper studies a structural failure of subsample-based estimation in dynamic time series models. Even under oracle knowledge of contamination locations, removing contaminated observations does not restore the uncontaminated objective.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Yukai Yang , Rickard Sandberg

The main object of investigation in this paper is a very general regression model in optional setting - when an observed process is an optional semimartingale depending on an unknown parameter. It is well-known that statistical data may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-16 Mohamed Abdelghani , Alexander Melnikov , Andrey Pak

For learned models to be trustworthy, it is essential to verify their robustness to perturbations in the training data. Classical approaches involve uncertainty quantification via confidence intervals and bootstrap methods. In contrast,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Eyar Azar , Michael J. Feldman , Boaz Nadler

A growing area of research in epidemiology is the identification of health-related sibling spillover effects, or the effect of one individual's exposure on their sibling's outcome. The health and health care of family members may be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-06 David C. Mallinson , Felix Elwert

This paper studies linear time series regressions with many regressors. Weak exogeneity is the most used identifying assumption in time series. Weak exogeneity requires the structural error to have zero conditional expectation given the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-18 Anna Mikusheva , Mikkel Sølvsten