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Survival modeling in healthcare relies on explainable statistical models; yet, their underlying assumptions are often simplistic and, thus, unrealistic. Machine learning models can estimate more complex relationships and lead to more…

In survival analysis, Cox model is widely used for most clinical trial data. Alternatives include the additive hazard model, the accelerated failure time (AFT) model and a more general transformation model. All these models assume that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-03-24 Cheng Zheng , Ying Qing Chen

Understanding the influence of activity on dense amorphous assemblies is crucial for biological processes such as wound healing, embryogenesis, or cancer progression. Here, we study the effect of self-propulsion forces of amplitude $f_0$…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2026-01-27 Puneet Pareek , Peter Sollich , Saroj Kumar Nandi , Ludovic Berthier

This paper examines whether repeated payday loan use, commonly known as the debt trap, harms borrowers' financial wellbeing. Using Open Banking data from 1,815 UK borrowers observed between 2017 and 2018, we model borrowing intensity using…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-08 Victor Medina-Olivares , Raffaella Calabrese

This paper presents an approach to estimating the health effects of an environmental hazard. The approach is general in nature, but is applied here to the case of air pollution. It uses a computer model involving ambient pollution and…

Applications · Statistics 2007-11-01 Gavin Shaddick , Duncan Lee , James V. Zidek , Ruth Salway

Intensive longitudinal data (ILD) collected in mobile health (mHealth) studies contain rich information on multiple outcomes measured frequently over time that have the potential to capture short-term and long-term dynamics. Motivated by an…

We combine observations from different vantage points to perform a detailed study of a long duration eruptive C7 class flare that occurred on 17 April 2021 and was partially occulted from Earth view. The dynamics and thermal properties of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-03-29 J. Saqri , A. M. Veronig , E. C. M. Dickson , T. Podladchikova , A. Warmuth , H. Xiao , D. E. Gary , A. F. Battaglia , S. Krucker

K-line profiles emitted from a warm dense plasma environment are used for diagnostics of Ar droplet plasmas created by high energy laser pulses. Analyzing the temporally and spacially integrated spectra, we infer temperature gradients…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2017-09-26 A Sengebusch , H Reinholz , G Röpke

In the statistical literature, a number of methods have been proposed to ensure valid inference about marginal effects of variables on a longitudinal outcome in settings with irregular monitoring times. However, the potential biases due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-23 Janie Coulombe , Erica E M Moodie , Robert W Platt

Hawkes processes are a self-exciting stochastic process used to describe phenomena whereby past events increase the probability of the occurrence of future events. This work presents a flexible approach for modelling a variant of these,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-08 Raiha Browning , Judith Rousseau , Kerrie Mengersen

We propose a homotopy continuation method called FLUX for approximating complicated probability density functions. It is based on progressive processing for smoothly morphing a given density into the desired one. Distributed ordinary…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-08-09 Uwe D. Hanebeck

This study performs parameter inference in a partial differential equations system of pulmonary circulation. We use a fluid dynamics network model that takes selected parameter values and mimics the behaviour of the pulmonary haemodynamics…

A coarse-grained computational model is used to investigate the effect of a fluctuating fluid membrane on the dynamics of patchy-particle assembly into virus capsid-like cores. Results from simulations for a broad range of parameters are…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2014-11-18 Richard Matthews , Christos N. Likos

When drawing causal inferences about the effects of multiple treatments on clustered survival outcomes using observational data, we need to address implications of the multilevel data structure, multiple treatments, censoring and unmeasured…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-18 Liangyuan Hu , Jiayi Ji , Ronald D. Ennis , Joseph W. Hogan

We present an SI epidemic model whereby a continuous variable captures variability in proliferative potential and resistance to infection among susceptibles. The occurrence of heritable, spontaneous changes in these phenotype and the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-30 Tommaso Lorenzi , Andrea Pugliese , Mattia Sensi , Agnese Zardini

Stochastic infectious disease models capture uncertainty in public health outcomes and have become increasingly popular in epidemiological practice. However, calibrating these models to observed data is challenging with existing methods for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-18 Prayag Chatha , Fan Bu , Jeffrey Regier , Evan Snitkin , Jon Zelner

Unobserved individual heterogeneity is a common challenge in population cancer survival studies. This heterogeneity is usually associated with the combination of model misspecification and the failure to record truly relevant variables. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-06 F. J. Rubio , H. Putter , A. Belot

The association between visit-to-visit systolic blood pressure variability and cardiovascular events has recently received a lot of attention in the cardiovascular literature. But blood pressure variability is usually estimated on a…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-25 Jessica K. Barrett , Raphael Huille , Richard Parker , Yuichiro Yano , Michael Griswold

Predicting the risk of mortality for patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) using electronic health records (EHRs) data can help identify risky patients who might need more tailored care. In our previous work, we built…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-30 Seyedeh Neelufar Payrovnaziri , Laura A. Barrett , Daniel Bis , Jiang Bian , Zhe He

Stochastic volatility often implies increasing risks that are difficult to capture given the dynamic nature of real-world applications. We propose using arc length, a mathematical concept, to quantify cumulative variations (the total…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-21 Yan Gao , Rodney A. Sparapani , Sanjib Basu
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