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Hyperkalemia is a potentially life-threatening condition that can lead to fatal arrhythmias. Early identification of high risk patients can inform clinical care to mitigate the risk. While hyperkalemia is often a complication of acute…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-28 Gloria Hyunjung Kwak , Christina Chen , Lowell Ling , Erina Ghosh , Leo Anthony Celi , Pan Hui

This work presents a new model and estimation procedure for the illness-death survival data where the hazard functions follow accelerated failure time (AFT) models. A shared frailty variate induces positive dependence among failure times of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-10 Lea Kats , Malka Gorfine

In this article, we consider models for time-to-event data obtained from experiments in which stress levels are altered at intermediate stages during the observation period. These experiments, known as step-stress tests, belong to the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-04 Nandini Kannan , Debasis Kundu

Progression to dialysis or end-stage renal disease is a rare but clinically important outcome. Clinicians need evidence on how medication exposures influence downstream risk. We constructed a fixed-window EHR cohort (90-day observation,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Kalyani P. Pande , Evan Yang , Bryan Zhu , Sandeep K. Mallipattu , Alisa Yurovsky , Tengfei Ma

Accelerated failure time (AFT) models are used widely in medical research, though to a much lesser extent than proportional hazards models. In an AFT model, the effect of covariates act to accelerate or decelerate the time to event of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-15 Michael J. Crowther , Patrick Royston , Mark Clements

We present a two-stage methodology for reconstructing Alzheimer's disease (AD) incidence over time using ensemble Kalman inversion (EKI) applied to mortality data. In the first stage, we use EKI to infer temporal trends in all-cause and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Giulia Bertaglia , Elisa Iacomini , Alex Viguerie

Cookstove replacement trials have found mixed results on their impact on respiratory health. The limited range of concentrations and small sample sizes of individual studies are important factors that may be limiting their statistical…

In observational studies, exposures are often continuous rather than binary or discrete. At the same time, sensitivity analysis is an important tool that can help determine the robustness of a causal conclusion to a certain level of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-15 Jeffrey Zhang

We propose and study a fully efficient method to estimate associations of an exposure with disease incidence when both, incident cases and prevalent cases, i.e. individuals who were diagnosed with the disease at some prior time point and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-20 Marlena Maziarz , Yukun Liu , Jing Qin , Ruth Pfeiffer

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality. AF prevalence increases with age, which is attributed to pathophysiological changes that aid AF initiation and perpetuation. Current state-of-the-art models are only…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2015-10-05 Julie Eatock , Yen Ting Lin , Eugene T. Y. Chang , Tobias Galla , Richard H. Clayton

Predicting long-term loan defaults is hard because borrower behavior often changes and data distributions shift over time. This paper presents HYDRA-EI, a hybrid ensemble incremental learning framework. It uses several stages of feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Jiajing Wang

Acute kidney injury (AKI) commonly occurs in hospitalized patients and can lead to serious medical complications. In order to optimally predict AKI before it develops at any time during a hospital stay, we present a novel framework in which…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-28 Rohit J. Kate , Noah Pearce , Debesh Mazumdar , Vani Nilakantan

Airborne infection risk analysis is usually performed for enclosed spaces where susceptible individuals are exposed to infectious airborne respiratory droplets by inhalation. It is usually based on exponential, dose-response models of which…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-01 Yannis Drossinos , Nikolaos I. Stilianakis

The use of instrumental variables for estimating the effect of an exposure on an outcome is popular in econometrics, and increasingly so in epidemiology. This increasing popularity may be attributed to the natural occurrence of instrumental…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-03 T. Martinussen , S. Vansteelandt , E. J. Tchetgen Tchetgen , D. M. Zucker

To better understand effects of exposure to food allergens, food challenge studies are designed to slowly increase the dose of an allergen delivered to allergic individuals until an objective reaction occurs. These dose-to-failure studies…

Applications · Statistics 2019-08-30 Matthew W. Wheeler , Joost Westerhout , Joe L. Baumert , Benjamin C. Remington

Numerical modeling of turbulent spray combustion provides a promising tool for advanced engine design. In spray flames, the droplet evaporation not only reduces the ambient gas temperature, but also influences flame structure by generating…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-07-03 Dong Wang , Min Zhang , Ruixin Yang , Zhi X. Chen

We develop a Bayesian semi-parametric model for the estimating the impact of dynamic treatment rules on survival among patients diagnosed with pediatric acute myeloid leukemia (AML). The data consist of a subset of patients enrolled in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-12 Arman Oganisian , Kelly D. Getz , Todd A. Alonzo , Richard Aplenc , Jason A. Roy

Assessing the causal effect of time-varying exposures on recurrent event processes is challenging in the presence of a terminating event. Our objective is to estimate both the short-term and delayed marginal causal effects of exposures on…

An important task in survival analysis is choosing a structure for the relationship between covariates of interest and the time-to-event outcome. For example, the accelerated failure time (AFT) model structures each covariate effect as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-08 Harrison T. Reeder , Kyu Ha Lee , Sebastien Haneuse

Evaluating the influence of continuous covariates, like exposure time or dose, on a response variable is a pivotal objective in the assessment of a compound's effect, particularly when determining toxicity in pre-clinical research or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Lucia Ameis , Niklas Hagemann , Kathrin Möllenhoff
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