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A Brownian motion tree (BMT) model is a Gaussian model whose associated set of covariance matrices is linearly constrained according to common ancestry in a phylogenetic tree. We study the complexity of inferring the maximum likelihood (ML)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Jane Ivy Coons , Shelby Cox , Aida Maraj , Ikenna Nometa

The Brownian force model (BFM) is the mean-field model for the avalanches of an elastic interface slowly driven in a random medium. It describes the spatio-temporal statistics of the velocity field, and, to some extent is analytically…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-23 Pierre Le Doussal

We consider a Brownian tree consisting of a collection of one-dimensional Brownian paths started from the origin, whose genealogical structure is given by the Continuum Random Tree (CRT). This Brownian tree may be generated from the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jean-Francois Le Gall , Mathilde Weill

We study the energy minimization problem for an elastic interface in a random potential plus a quadratic well. As the position of the well is varied, the ground state undergoes jumps, called shocks or static avalanches. We introduce an…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-03 Pierre Le Doussal , Kay Joerg Wiese

We generalize the Green-Kubo approach, previously applied to bulk systems of spherically symmetric active particles [J. Chem. Phys. 145, 161101 (2016)], to include spatially inhomogeneous activity. The method is applied to predict the…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2017-09-20 Abhinav Sharma , Joseph Brader

Contraction properties of transport maps between probability measures play an important role in the theory of functional inequalities. The actual construction of such maps, however, is a non-trivial task and, so far, relies mostly on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Dan Mikulincer , Yair Shenfeld

A number of phenomena in various fields such as geology, atmospheric sciences, economics, to list a few, can be modeled as a fractional Brownian motion indexed by Hurst exponent $H$. This exponent is related to the degree of regularity and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-05 Minkyoung Kang , Brani Vidakovic

In this paper we present a dynamical system to generate Brownian motion based on the Langevin equation without stochastic term and using fractional derivatives, i.e., a deterministic Brownian motion model is proposed. The stochastic process…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-05-09 H. E. Gilardi-Velázquez , E. Campos-Cantón

Fractional Brownian motion (fBm) has been used as a theoretical framework to study real time series appearing in diverse scientific fields. Because its intrinsic non-stationarity and long range dependence, its characterization via the Hurst…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-13 Lucas Lacasa , Bartolo Luque , Jordi Luque , Juan Carlos Nuno

Bayesian phylogenetic inference is currently done via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) with simple proposal mechanisms. This hinders exploration efficiency and often requires long runs to deliver accurate posterior estimates. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-24 Cheng Zhang , Frederick A. Matsen

For a continuous function $f \in \mathcal{C}([0,1])$, define the Vervaat transform $V(f)(t):=f(\tau(f)+t \mod1)+f(1)1_{\{t+\tau(f) \geq 1\}}-f(\tau(f))$, where $\tau(f)$ corresponds to the first time at which the minimum of $f$ is attained.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-11 Titus Lupu , Jim Pitman , Wenpin Tang

We study the stationary reflected Brownian motion in a non-convex wedge, which, compared to its convex analogue model, has been much rarely analyzed in the probabilistic literature. We prove that its stationary distribution can be found by…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Guy Fayolle , Sandro Franceschi , Kilian Raschel

Consider the fractional Brownian Motion (fBM) $B^H=\{B^H(t): t \in [0,1] \}$ with Hurst index $H\in (0,1)$. We construct a probability space supporting both $B^H$ and a fully simulatable process $\hat B_{\epsilon}^H $ such that $$\sup_{t\in…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-22 Yi Chen , Jing Dong , Hao Ni

This analysis derives the maximum likelihood estimator and applies Bayesian inference to model geometric Brownian motion, incorporating jump diffusion to account for sudden market shifts. The Bayesian approach is implemented using Markov…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-14 Yifei Yan , Juan Sosa , Carlos Martínez

We introduce a resetting Brownian bridge as a simple model to study search processes where the total search time $t_f$ is finite and the searcher returns to its starting point at $t_f$. This is simply a Brownian motion with a Poissonian…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-05-23 Benjamin De Bruyne , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

Bayesian inference problems require sampling or approximating high-dimensional probability distributions. The focus of this paper is on the recently introduced Stein variational gradient descent methodology, a class of algorithms that rely…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-14 A. Duncan , N. Nuesken , L. Szpruch

Variational Inference (VI) provides a scalable framework for Bayesian inference by optimizing the Evidence Lower Bound (ELBO), but convergence analysis remains challenging due to the objective's non-convexity and non-smoothness in Euclidean…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-20 Sushil Bohara , Amedeo Roberto Esposito

We investigate the typical sizes and shapes of sets of points obtained by irregularly tracking two-dimensional Brownian bridges. The tracking process consists of observing the path location at the arrival times of a non-homogeneous Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Abdulrahman Alsolami , James Burridge , Michal Gnacik

A Brownian spatial tree is defined to be a pair $(\mathcal{T},\phi)$, where $\mathcal{T}$ is the rooted real tree naturally associated with a Brownian excursion and $\phi$ is a random continuous function from $\mathcal{T}$ into…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-07-27 David A. Croydon

The approach to the theory of a relativistic random process is considered by the path integral method as Brownian motion taking into account the boundedness of speed. An attempt was made to build a relativistic analogue of the Wiener…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-05-30 E. A. Kurianovich , A. I. Mikhailov , I. V. Volovich
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