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Related papers: Nonparametric Bayesian analysis for the Galton-Wat…

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In this paper, we study a parallel version of Galton-Watson processes for the random generation of tree-shaped structures. Random trees are useful in many situations (testing, binary search, simulation of physics phenomena,...) as attests…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2016-06-22 Olivier Bodini , Camille Coti , Julien David

Posterior contractions rates (PCRs) strengthen the notion of Bayesian consistency, quantifying the speed at which the posterior distribution concentrates on arbitrarily small neighborhoods of the true model, with probability tending to 1 or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-31 Federico Camerlenghi , Emanuele Dolera , Stefano Favaro , Edoardo Mainini

Recently, the Bayesian nonparametric approach in survival studies attracts much more attentions. Because of multi modality in survival data, the mixture models are very common in this field. One of the famous priors on Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-26 S. B. Hajjar , S. Khazaei

Deep Gaussian processes have recently been proposed as natural objects to fit, similarly to deep neural networks, possibly complex features present in modern data samples, such as compositional structures. Adopting a Bayesian nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-04 Ismaël Castillo , Thibault Randrianarisoa

A key challenge in the practical application of Gaussian processes (GPs) is selecting a proper covariance function. The moving average, or process convolutions, construction of GPs allows some additional flexibility, but still requires…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-19 Thomas M. McDonald , Magnus Ross , Michael T. Smith , Mauricio A. Álvarez

We study the problem of non-parametric Bayesian estimation of the intensity function of a Poisson point process. The observations are $n$ independent realisations of a Poisson point process on the interval $[0,T]$. We propose two related…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-31 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

Population genetic processes, such as the adaptation of a quantitative trait to directional selection, may occur on longer time scales than the sweep of a single advantageous mutation. To study such processes in finite populations,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Reinhard Bürger

We propose a nested Gaussian process (nGP) as a locally adaptive prior for Bayesian nonparametric regression. Specified through a set of stochastic differential equations (SDEs), the nGP imposes a Gaussian process prior for the function's…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-01-24 Bin Zhu , David B. Dunson

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a probabilistic nonparametric representation of functions in regression, classification, and other problems. Unfortunately, exact learning with GPs is intractable for large datasets. A variety of approximate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-02-23 Yuan Qi , Ahmed H. Abdel-Gawad , Thomas P. Minka

In this paper, we present two classes of Bayesian approaches to the two-sample problem. Our first class of methods extends the Bayesian t-test to include all parametric models in the exponential family and their conjugate priors. Our second…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-06-23 Karsten M. Borgwardt , Zoubin Ghahramani

Bayesian paradigm takes advantage of well fitting complicated survival models and feasible computing in survival analysis owing to the superiority in tackling the complex censoring scheme, compared with the frequentist paradigm. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-10 Chong Zhong , Zhihua Ma , Junshan Shen , Catherine Liu

In this somewhat didactic note we give a detailed alternative proof of the known result due to Wei and Winnicki (1989) which states that under second order moment assumptions on the offspring and immigration distributions the sequence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Matyas Barczy , Dániel Bezdány , Gyula Pap

Background: Continuous traits evolution of a group of taxa that are correlated through a phylogenetic tree is commonly modelled using parametric stochastic differential equations to represent deterministic change of trait through time,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-03 Bayu Brahmantio , Krzysztof Bartoszek , Etka Yapar

We consider a nonparametric Bayesian approach to estimate the diffusion coefficient of a stochastic differential equation given discrete time observations over a fixed time interval. As a prior on the diffusion coefficient, we employ a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-22 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

Analysing non-Gaussian spatial-temporal data requires introducing spatial as well as temporal dependence in generalised linear models through the link function of an exponential family distribution. Unlike in Gaussian likelihoods, inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-29 Soumyakanti Pan , Lu Zhang , Jonathan R. Bradley , Sudipto Banerjee

Distributed Gaussian process (DGP) is a popular approach to scale GP to big data which divides the training data into some subsets, performs local inference for each partition, and aggregates the results to acquire global prediction. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-08 Hamed Jalali , Gjergji Kasneci

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a powerful tool for probabilistic inference over functions. They have been applied to both regression and non-linear dimensionality reduction, and offer desirable properties such as uncertainty estimates,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-01 Yarin Gal , Mark van der Wilk , Carl E. Rasmussen

While Bayesian inference provides a principled framework for reasoning under uncertainty, its widespread adoption is limited by the intractability of exact posterior computation, necessitating the use of approximate inference. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 George Whittle , Juliusz Ziomek , Jacob Rawling , Maike A. Osborne

Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) are hierarchical generalizations of Gaussian Processes that combine well calibrated uncertainty estimates with the high flexibility of multilayer models. One of the biggest challenges with these models is that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-13 Marton Havasi , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Juan José Murillo-Fuentes

We introduce a nonparametric prior on the conditional distribution of a (univariate or multivariate) response given a set of predictors. The prior is constructed in the form of a two-stage generative procedure, which in the first stage…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-16 Li Ma