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Related papers: Bayes linear estimator in the general linear model

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This paper introduces a general framework for estimating variance components in the linear mixed models via general unbiased estimating equations, which include some well-used estimators such as the restricted maximum likelihood estimator.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-18 Tatsuya Kubokawa , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Hiromasa Tamae , Sanjay Chaudhuri

When the regressors of a econometric linear model are nonorthogonal, it is well known that their estimation by ordinary least squares can present various problems that discourage the use of this model. The ridge regression is the most…

We identify the critical deviation scale governing Bayesian evidence accumulation in regular parametric testing. Under integrated Bayes risk with zero-one loss, the risk-optimal rejection boundary lies in a moderate deviation regime, with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-23 Jyotishka Datta , Nicholas G. Polson , Vadim Sokolov , Daniel Zantedeschi

In this paper, we aim to design and analyze distributed Bayesian estimation algorithms for sensor networks. The challenges we address are to (i) derive a distributed provably-correct algorithm in the functional space of probability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Parth Paritosh , Nikolay Atanasov , Sonia Martinez

The linear minimum mean squared error (LMMSE) estimator is the best linear estimator for a Bayesian linear inverse problem with respect to the mean squared error. It arises as the solution operator to a Tikhonov-type regularized inverse…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-02 Gernot Holler

As machine learning is increasingly used to make real-world decisions, recent research efforts aim to define and ensure fairness in algorithmic decision making. Existing methods often assume a fixed set of observable features to define…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-11 YooJung Choi , Golnoosh Farnadi , Behrouz Babaki , Guy Van den Broeck

We study the optimal linear prediction of a random function that takes values in an infinite dimensional Hilbert space. We begin by characterizing the mean square prediction error (MSPE) associated with a linear predictor and discussing the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Won-Ki Seo

Tree reconstruction methods are often judged by their accuracy, measured by how close they get to the true tree. Yet most reconstruction methods like ML do not explicitly maximize this accuracy. To address this problem, we propose a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-22 Peter Huggins , Wenbin Li , David Haws , Thomas Friedrich , Jinze Liu , Ruriko Yoshida

We consider the problem of estimating the means $\mu_i$ of $n$ random variables $Y_i \sim N(\mu_i,1)$, $i=1,\ldots ,n$. Assuming some structure on the $\mu$ process, e.g., a state space model, one may use a summary statistics for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-05 E. Greenshtein , A. Mansura , Y. Ritov

We propose a method to improve the efficiency and accuracy of amortized Bayesian inference by leveraging universal symmetries in the joint probabilistic model of parameters and data. In a nutshell, we invert Bayes' theorem and estimate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Marvin Schmitt , Desi R. Ivanova , Daniel Habermann , Ullrich Köthe , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Stefan T. Radev

We develop an adaptive monotone shrinkage estimator for regression models with the following characteristics: i) dense coefficients with small but important effects; ii) a priori ordering that indicates the probable predictive importance of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-08 Zhuang Ma , Dean Foster , Robert Stine

Consider the Gaussian sequence model under the additional assumption that a fixed fraction of the means is known. We study the problem of variance estimation from a frequentist Bayesian perspective. The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-19 Gianluca Finocchio , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

We study a simple model of unsupervised learning where the single symmetry breaking vector has binary components $\pm 1$. We calculate exactly the Bayes-optimal performance of an estimator which is required to lie in the same discrete…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 M. Copelli , C. Van den Broeck , M. Opper

A bias-reduced estimator is proposed for the mean absolute deviation parameter of a median regression model. A workaround is devised for the lack of smoothness in the sense conventionally required in general bias-reduced estimation. A local…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-04 Michele Lambardi di San Miniato

We analyze the connection between minimizers with good generalizing properties and high local entropy regions of a threshold-linear classifier in Gaussian mixtures with the mean squared error loss function. We show that there exist…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-03 Carlo Baldassi , Enrico M. Malatesta , Matteo Negri , Riccardo Zecchina

In this work, we propose a mean-squared error-based risk that enables the comparison and optimization of estimators of squared calibration errors in practical settings. Improving the calibration of classifiers is crucial for enhancing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-24 Sebastian G. Gruber , Francis Bach

The Barankin bound is generalized to the vector case in the mean square error sense. Necessary and sufficient conditions are obtained to achieve the lower bound. To obtain the result, a simple finite dimensional real vector valued…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-03 Bruno Cernuschi-Frias

Inference in the presence of outliers is an important field of research as outliers are ubiquitous and may arise across a variety of problems and domains. Bayesian optimization is method that heavily relies on probabilistic inference. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-14 Ruben Martinez-Cantin , Kevin Tee , Michael McCourt

In partially linear single-index models, we obtain the semiparametrically efficient profile least-squares estimators of regression coefficients. We also employ the smoothly clipped absolute deviation penalty (SCAD) approach to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-16 Hua Liang , Xiang Liu , Runze Li , Chih-Ling Tsai

Statistical modeling is a key component in the extraction of physical results from lattice field theory calculations. Although the general models used are often strongly motivated by physics, many model variations can frequently be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-10 William I. Jay , Ethan T. Neil
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