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Predicting the response at an unobserved location is a fundamental problem in spatial statistics. Given the difficulty in modeling spatial dependence, especially in non-stationary cases, model-based prediction intervals are at risk of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-09 Huiying Mao , Ryan Martin , Brian Reich

Many problems in computational science and engineering become one-to-many after coarse graining, partial observation, or inverse reconstruction: a resolved state may not determine a unique subgrid forcing, a structural descriptor may not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-28 Junfeng Chen

The abelian sandpile model is a simple combinatorial model for critical behaviour which has the "abelian property" that the order in which we make moves does not change the final outcome of the game. This might seem to restrict the model's…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-03-26 Hannah Cairns

Conformal prediction is a non-parametric technique for constructing prediction intervals or sets from arbitrary predictive models under the assumption that the data is exchangeable. It is popular as it comes with theoretical guarantees on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-01 Jase Clarkson , Wenkai Xu , Mihai Cucuringu , Yvik Swan , Gesine Reinert

The use of available disturbance predictions within a nominal model predictive control formulation is studied. The main challenge that arises is the loss of recursive feasibility and stability guarantees when a persistent disturbance is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-31 Pablo R Baldivieso-Monasterios , Paul A. Trodden

Fitting model parameters to experimental data is a common yet often challenging task, especially if the model contains many parameters. Typically, algorithms get lost in regions of parameter space in which the model is unresponsive to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-01-31 M. K. Transtrum , B. B. Machta , J. P. Sethna

In the stable marriage and roommates problems, a set of agents is given, each of them having a strictly ordered preference list over some or all of the other agents. A matching is a set of disjoint pairs of mutually accepted agents. If any…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2016-06-01 Ágnes Cseh , David F. Manlove

We consider the task of detecting a hidden bipartite subgraph in a given random graph. This is formulated as a hypothesis testing problem, under the null hypothesis, the graph is a realization of an Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi random graph over $n$…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-03-07 Asaf Rotenberg , Wasim Huleihel , Ofer Shayevitz

Tipping points occur in many real-world systems, at which the system shifts suddenly from one state to another. The ability to predict the occurrence of tipping points from time series data remains an outstanding challenge and a major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Chengzuo Zhuge , Jiawei Li , Wei Chen

Information leakage can have dramatic consequences on systems security. Among harmful information leaks, the timing information leakage occurs whenever an attacker successfully deduces confidential internal information. In this work, we…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-10-05 Étienne André , Didier Lime , Dylan Marinho , Jun Sun

It is difficult to analyze the stability of systems with time-varying delays. One approach is to construct a time-transformation that converts the system into a form with a constant delay but with a time-varying scalar appearing in the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-18 Jungbae Chun , Sengiyumva Kisole , Matthew M. Peet , Peter Seiler

The susceptibility of timestepping algorithms to numerical instabilities is an important consideration when simulating partial differential equations (PDEs). Here we identify and analyze a pernicious numerical instability arising in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-28 Benjamin A. Hyatt , Daniel Lecoanet , Evan H. Anders , Keaton J. Burns

We consider the pattern formation problem in coupled identical systems after the global synchronized state becomes unstable. Based on analytical results relating the coupling strengths and the instability of each spatial mode (pattern) we…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2009-11-10 Govindan Rangarajan , Yonghong Chen , Mingzhou Ding

We consider a biological population whose environment varies periodically in time, exhibiting two very different "seasons" : one is favorable and the other one is unfavorable. For monotone differential models with concave nonlinearities, we…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-04-23 Martin Strugarek , Hongjun Ji

Conformal prediction is an uncertainty quantification method that constructs a prediction set for a previously unseen datum, ensuring the true label is included with a predetermined coverage probability. Adaptive conformal prediction has…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

Saddle point problems arise from many wireless applications, and primal-dual iterative algorithms are widely applied to find the saddle points. In the existing literature, the convergence results of such algorithms are established assuming…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-04-26 Junting Chen , Vincent K. N. Lau

The stochastic sandpile model (SSM) is a generalisation of the standard Abelian sandpile model (ASM), in which topplings of unstable vertices are made random. When unstable, a vertex sends one grain to each of its neighbours independently…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-13 Thomas Selig

When multiple model predictive controllers are implemented on a shared control area network (CAN), their performance may degrade due to the inhomogeneous timing and delays among messages. The priority based real-time scheduling of messages…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-09-22 Zhenwu Shi , Fumin Zhang

Conditional differential entropy provides an intuitive measure for relatively ranking time-series complexity by quantifying uncertainty in future observations given past context. However, its direct computation for high-dimensional…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-24 Jacob Ayers , Richard Hahnloser , Julia Ulrich , Lothar Sebastian Krapp , Remo Nitschke , Sabine Stoll , Balthasar Bickel , Reinhard Furrer

We propose a consistent polynomial-time method for the unseeded node matching problem for networks with smooth underlying structures. Despite widely conjectured by the research community that the structured graph matching problem to be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-24 Yuan Zhang
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