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A general theory for computing information transfers in nonlinear stochastic systems driven by deterministic forcing and additive and/or multiplicative noises, is presented. It extends the Liang-Kleeman framework of causality inference to…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2023-10-12 Carlos A. Pires , David Docquier , Stéphane Vannitsem

Human interactions are mediated by social influence. During crises like the COVID-19 pandemic, social influence determines whether life-saving information is adopted or immunization campaigns meet their targets. The literature on online…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Rohit Ram , Marian-Andrei Rizoiu

Understanding how opinions spread through a community or how consensus emerges in noisy environments can have a significant impact on our comprehension of social relations among individuals. In this work a model for the dynamics of opinion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 V. Schwammle , M. C. Gonzalez , A. A. Moreira , J. S. Jr. Andrade , H. J. Herrmann

Information flow between components of a system takes many forms and is key to understanding the organization and functioning of large-scale, complex systems. We demonstrate three modalities of information flow from time series X to time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-08-22 Ryan G. James , Blanca Daniella Mansante Ayala , Bahti Zakirov , James P. Crutchfield

How can we model influence between individuals in a social system, even when the network of interactions is unknown? In this article, we review the literature on the "influence model," which utilizes independent time series to estimate how…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-02-28 Wei Pan , Manuel Cebrian , Wen Dong , Taemie Kim , James Fowler , Alex Pentland

An important characteristic of flocks of birds, school of fish, and many similar assemblies of self-propelled particles is the emergence of states of collective order in which the particles move in the same direction. When noise is added…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-01-19 M. Aldana , V. Dossetti , C. Huepe , V. M. Kenkre , H. Larralde

This essay considers a simple model of observers that are influenced by the world around them. Consistent quantification of information about such influences results in a great deal of familiar physics. The end result is a new perspective…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-08-16 Kevin H. Knuth

We combine philosophical theories with quantitative analyses of online data to propose a sophisticated approach to social media influencers. Identifying influencers as communication systems emerging from a dialectic interactional process…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-05-10 Hubert Etienne , François Charton

Phase transitions abound in nature and society, and, from species extinction to stock market collapse, their prediction is of widespread importance. In earlier work we showed that Global Transfer Entropy, a general measure of information…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-04-12 Joshua Brown , Terry Bossomaier , Lionel Barnett

Influence functions (IFs) elucidate how training data changes model behavior. However, the increasing size and non-convexity in large-scale models make IFs inaccurate. We suspect that the fragility comes from the first-order approximation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Hyeonsu Lyu , Jonggyu Jang , Sehyun Ryu , Hyun Jong Yang

What are the key-features that enable an information diffusion model to explain the inherent dynamic, and often competitive, nature of real-world propagation phenomena? In this paper we aim to answer this question by proposing a novel class…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-05-30 Antonio Caliò , Andrea Tagarelli

Data attribution methods trace model behavior back to its training dataset, offering an effective approach to better understand ''black-box'' neural networks. While prior research has established quantifiable links between model output and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Tong Xie , Haoyu Li , Andrew Bai , Cho-Jui Hsieh

Complex networks are abundant in nature and many share an important structural property: they contain a few nodes that are abnormally highly connected (hubs). Some of these hubs are called influencers because they couple strongly to the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2024-09-04 Ralf Tönjes , Carlos E. Fiore , Tiago Pereira

Complex networks, from neuronal assemblies to social systems, can exhibit abrupt, system-wide transitions without external forcing. These endogenously generated ``noise-induced transitions'' emerge from the intricate interplay between…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Casper van Elteren , Rick Quax , Peter Sloot

We study binary opinion formation in a large population where individuals are influenced by the opinions of other individuals. The population is characterised by the existence of (i) communities where individuals share some similar…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-30 Delia Coculescu , Médéric Motte , Huyên Pham

We consider the prediction of weak effects in a multiple-output regression setup, when covariates are expected to explain a small amount, less than $\approx 1%$, of the variance of the target variables. To facilitate the prediction of the…

We propose a microscopic model to describe how individual opinions shared between interacting agents initiate excessive collective expectations about a new idea or an innovation, followed by a swift collapse towards a dramatic collective…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-08-15 Fariba Hashemi , Olivier Gallay , Max-Olivier Hongler

We propose a novel tensor-based formalism for inferring causal structures from time series. An information theoretical analysis of transfer entropy, shows that transfer entropy results from transmission of information over a set of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-04-22 David Sigtermans

Influence diagnosis is important since presence of influential observations could lead to distorted analysis and misleading interpretations. For high-dimensional data, it is particularly so, as the increased dimensionality and complexity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-27 Junlong Zhao , Chenlei Leng , Lexin Li , Hansheng Wang

We propose an opinion dynamics model based on Latan\'e's social impact theory. Actors in this model are heterogeneous and, in addition to opinions, are characterised by their varying levels of persuasion and support. The model is tested for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-13 Agnieszka Kowalska-Styczeń , Krzysztof Malarz
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