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Models are often defined through conditional rather than joint distributions, but it can be difficult to check whether the conditional distributions are compatible, i.e. whether there exists a joint probability distribution which generates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-18 Joseph Muré

In this article, we first derive an explicit expression for the marginal best linear invariant predictor (BLIP) of an unobserved future order statistic based on a set of early observed ordered statistics. We then derive the joint BLIPs of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-29 Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan , Ritwik Bhattacharya

For a given target density, there exist an infinite number of diffusion processes which are ergodic with respect to this density. As observed in a number of papers, samplers based on nonreversible diffusion processes can significantly…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-17 A. B. Duncan , G. A. Pavliotis , K. C. Zygalakis

Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

We revisit the classical problem of estimating an unknown distribution from its samples by fitting a mixture model that minimizes cross-entropy loss. Framing the task as a stochastic convex optimization problem over the space of $ M…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Mohammadreza Ahmadypour , Tara Javidi , Farinaz Koushanfar

To minimize data movement, state-of-the-art parallel sorting algorithms use techniques based on sampling and histogramming to partition keys prior to redistribution. Sampling enables partitioning to be done using a representative subset of…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2019-04-30 Vipul Harsh , Laxmikant Kale , Edgar Solomonik

We introduce a generalization of the Adaptive Multilevel Splitting algorithm in the discrete time dynamic setting, namely when it is applied to sample rare events associated with paths of Markov chains. By interpreting the algorithm as a…

This paper concerns the use of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for posterior sampling in Bayesian nonparametric mixture models with normalized random measure priors. Making use of some recent posterior characterizations for the class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-03 Stefano Favaro , Yee Whye Teh

More than twenty years after its introduction, Annealed Importance Sampling (AIS) remains one of the most effective methods for marginal likelihood estimation. It relies on a sequence of distributions interpolating between a tractable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-25 Arnaud Doucet , Will Grathwohl , Alexander G. D. G. Matthews , Heiko Strathmann

In this paper we present a random shuffling scheme to apply with adaptive sorting algorithms. Adaptive sorting algorithms utilize the presortedness present in a given sequence. We have probabilistically increased the amount of presortedness…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-08-31 Md. Enamul Karim , Abdun Naser Mahmood

For distributions over discrete product spaces $\prod_{i=1}^n \Omega_i'$, Glauber dynamics is a Markov chain that at each step, resamples a random coordinate conditioned on the other coordinates. We show that $k$-Glauber dynamics, which…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-07-11 Holden Lee

Mixtures of linear mixed models (MLMMs) are useful for clustering grouped data and can be estimated by likelihood maximization through the EM algorithm. The conventional approach to determining a suitable number of components is to compare…

Applications · Statistics 2014-05-26 Siew Li Tan , David J. Nott

Graphical models are powerful tools for capturing conditional dependence structures in complex systems but remain underexplored in analyzing ordinal data, especially in sports analytics. Ordinal variables, such as team rankings, player…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-05 Wang Wen , Ziqi Chen , Guanyu Hu

Many production-grade algorithms benefit from combining an asymptotically efficient algorithm for solving big problem instances, by splitting them into smaller ones, and an asymptotically inefficient algorithm with a very small…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-04-14 Margarita Markina , Maxim Buzdalov

We analyze the complexity of Gibbs samplers for inference in crossed random effect models used in modern analysis of variance. We demonstrate that for certain designs the plain vanilla Gibbs sampler is not scalable, in the sense that its…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-28 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth O. Roberts , Giacomo Zanella

Solving ill-posed inverse problems by Bayesian inference has recently attracted considerable attention. Compared to deterministic approaches, the probabilistic representation of the solution by the posterior distribution can be exploited to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-11-03 Felix Lucka

Generative molecular optimization aims to design molecules with properties surpassing those of existing compounds. However, such candidates are rare and expensive to evaluate, yielding sample efficiency essential. Additionally, surrogate…

The Metropolis-Hastings algorithm is a fundamental Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method for sampling and inference. With the advent of Big Data, distributed and parallel variants of MCMC methods are attracting increased attention. In this…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-07-16 Weiming Feng , Thomas P. Hayes , Yitong Yin

Bayesian feature allocation models are a popular tool for modelling data with a combinatorial latent structure. Exact inference in these models is generally intractable and so practitioners typically apply Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Computation · Statistics 2020-01-28 Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Andrew Roth

In the study of natural and artificial complex systems, responses that are not completely determined by the considered decision variables are commonly modelled probabilistically, resulting in response distributions varying across decision…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-07 Athénaïs Gautier , David Ginsbourger , Guillaume Pirot
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